玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1118.811.23-2.2201.16-6.6654.82N/A-
2024/1018.596.66-3.31182.35-7.154.11N/A-
2024/917.42-3.73-7.02163.76-7.5154.120.56-
2024/818.1-2.65-17.82146.34-7.5753.660.57-
2024/718.599.595.55128.24-5.9254.040.56-
2024/616.97-8.19-9.47109.64-7.6253.380.45-
2024/518.483.04-7.5292.68-7.2755.530.43-
2024/417.93-6.180.2574.2-7.2153.010.45-
2024/319.1219.82-8.5656.26-9.3656.260.37-
2024/215.95-24.71-22.8337.15-9.7757.210.36-
2024/121.195.623.3921.193.3960.50.34-
2023/1220.064.29-20.73235.6-4.5258.530.52-
2023/1119.240.07-14.83215.54-2.6757.20.53-
2023/1019.222.57-12.57196.3-1.2959.990.51-
2023/918.74-14.91-9.46177.080.1158.380.51-
2023/822.0325.030.72158.341.3858.380.51-
2023/717.62-6.0-2.02136.311.4856.340.53-
2023/618.74-6.21-8.14118.692.0356.610.55-
2023/519.9811.711.299.954.1958.780.53-
2023/417.89-14.43-6.8279.974.9759.470.53-
2023/320.911.12-3.5562.088.9462.080.49-
2023/220.670.8640.9341.1716.6266.490.46-
2023/120.5-19.02-0.6520.5-0.6568.40.44-
2022/1225.3112.0541.99246.7720.569.890.5-
2022/1122.592.727.3221.4618.4565.280.54-
2022/1021.996.2210.61198.8719.8764.560.54-
2022/920.7-5.3325.41176.8821.1360.550.49-
2022/821.8721.6133.77156.1820.5860.250.49-
2022/717.98-11.8715.51134.3118.6858.130.51-
2022/620.43.3150.15116.3319.1859.350.58售價受國際原料行情波動影響,及受國內市場供需影響。
2022/519.752.8520.2595.9314.1760.630.56-
2022/419.2-11.430.1676.1812.755.550.61-
2022/321.6847.7720.0756.9817.6656.980.5-
2022/214.67-28.96.535.316.2353.130.54-
2022/120.6315.7424.320.6324.359.510.48-
2021/1217.83-15.32-3.38204.7817.4158.760.42-
2021/1121.055.932.06186.9519.8757.440.43-
2021/1019.8820.4231.11165.918.4852.730.47-
2021/916.510.987.34146.0216.9548.420.59-
2021/816.355.0112.15129.5218.345.50.63-
2021/715.5714.556.22113.1719.2445.570.62-
2021/613.59-17.25-4.6497.621.6249.180.71-
2021/516.42-14.3229.5584.0227.2953.640.65-
2021/419.176.1652.2467.626.7551.00.68售價受國際原料行情波動影響,及受國內市場供需影響。
2021/318.0531.0732.348.4318.8748.430.48-
2021/213.77-17.0212.0530.3712.1148.820.47-
2021/116.6-10.0312.1616.612.1650.990.45-
2020/1218.4515.7414.18174.411.6949.550.21-
2020/1115.945.1410.78155.960.3946.480.22-
2020/1015.16-1.42.02140.02-0.6645.110.23-
2020/915.385.515.96124.86-0.9744.610.37-
2020/814.57-0.54-3.05109.48-1.8843.480.38-
2020/714.652.832.9194.91-1.741.580.4-
2020/614.2512.426.6280.25-2.4939.520.55-
2020/512.680.67-9.8866.0-4.2638.910.56-
2020/412.59-7.73-5.2353.33-2.8238.530.57-
2020/313.6511.02-5.0740.74-2.0540.740.47-
2020/212.29-16.9411.5827.09-0.4643.250.44-
2020/114.8-8.41-8.6514.8-8.650.0N/A-
2019/1216.1612.2910.42171.51.180.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/121.192023/120.52022/120.632021/116.62020/114.8
2024/215.952023/220.672022/214.672021/213.772020/212.29
2024/319.122023/320.912022/321.682021/318.052020/313.65
2024/417.932023/417.892022/419.22021/419.172020/412.59
2024/518.482023/519.982022/519.752021/516.422020/512.68
2024/616.972023/618.742022/620.42021/613.592020/614.25
2024/718.592023/717.622022/717.982021/715.572020/714.65
2024/818.12023/822.032022/821.872021/816.352020/814.57
2024/917.422023/918.742022/920.72021/916.512020/915.38
2024/1018.592023/1019.222022/1021.992021/1019.882020/1015.16
2024/1118.812023/1119.242022/1122.592021/1121.052020/1115.94
N/AN/A2023/1220.062022/1225.312021/1217.832020/1218.45
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.5233.3335.14
24Q2 (19)0.15-65.91-83.87
24Q1 (18)0.44175.0-2.22
23Q4 (17)0.16-56.76-73.77
23Q3 (16)0.37-60.2237.04
23Q2 (15)0.93106.6793.75
23Q1 (14)0.45-26.23-2.17
22Q4 (13)0.61125.93103.33
22Q3 (12)0.27-43.7542.11
22Q2 (11)0.484.35108.7
22Q1 (10)0.4653.3376.92
21Q4 (9)0.357.89-42.31
21Q3 (8)0.19-17.39-45.71
21Q2 (7)0.23-11.54-34.29
21Q1 (6)0.26-50.0100.0
20Q4 (5)0.5248.57205.88
20Q3 (4)0.350.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.35169.230.0
20Q1 (2)0.13-23.530.0
19Q4 (1)0.170.00.0

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