玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11181.4715.2910.61835.95-0.27505.27N/A-
2024/10157.39-5.42-3.471654.48-1.34485.21N/A-
2024/9166.423.10.311497.1-1.11504.920.5-
2024/8161.41-8.86-7.771330.68-1.29509.020.49-
2024/7177.13.866.391169.27-0.32521.580.48-
2024/6170.52-1.987.28992.17-1.43511.090.5-
2024/5173.964.416.35821.66-3.06517.170.5-
2024/4166.61-5.652.86647.69-5.32472.530.55-
2024/3176.636.55-12.21481.08-7.86481.080.46-
2024/2129.33-26.16-26.88304.49-5.13454.790.48-
2024/1175.1616.5421.57175.1621.57489.530.45-
2023/12150.3-8.38-9.791991.39-20.86477.430.45-
2023/11164.060.61-5.511841.09-21.65493.010.43-
2023/10163.06-1.7-4.31677.02-22.93503.970.43-
2023/9165.89-5.21-9.181513.96-24.52507.360.41-
2023/8175.025.140.291348.07-26.05500.410.42-
2023/7166.454.72-16.51173.05-28.84488.950.43-
2023/6158.94-2.82-33.581006.6-30.54484.470.48-
2023/5163.560.98-34.17847.66-29.94526.70.44-
2023/4161.97-19.48-35.58684.1-28.85540.020.43-
2023/3201.1713.73-24.01522.13-26.46522.130.44-
2023/2176.8822.76-14.1320.96-27.92487.580.47-
2023/1144.08-13.52-39.81144.08-39.81484.340.48-
2022/12166.62-4.04-33.872516.47-8.02510.660.44-
2022/11173.641.89-29.192349.85-5.39526.70.43-
2022/10170.4-6.71-30.962176.22-2.79527.570.42-
2022/9182.664.67-14.772005.810.69556.530.43-
2022/8174.51-12.46-24.641823.152.56613.190.39-
2022/7199.36-16.69-10.771648.646.63687.140.35-
2022/6239.32-3.684.331449.289.58739.240.36-
2022/5248.47-1.192.041209.9610.68764.670.35-
2022/4251.46-5.013.19961.513.15722.120.37-
2022/3264.7428.565.81710.0417.16710.040.33-
2022/2205.92-13.9725.8445.2925.14697.290.33-
2022/1239.38-5.024.57239.3824.57736.610.31-
2021/12251.992.7527.852735.9847.24744.070.33-
2021/11245.24-0.6434.652483.9949.54706.410.35-
2021/10246.8415.1647.692238.7551.37692.760.35去年受疫情影響,石化產品價格大跌,今年疫情趨緩且供給減少,推升行情,因此累計合併營收比去年增加51.38%。
2021/9214.34-7.4435.341991.9151.84669.360.32去年受疫情影響,石化產品價格大跌,今年疫情趨緩且供給減少,推升行情,因此累計合併營收比去年增加51.85%。
2021/8231.593.6458.371777.5854.11684.410.31去年受疫情影響,石化產品價格大跌,今年疫情趨緩且供給減少,推升行情,因此8月和累計合併營收分別比去年增加58.38%和54.11%。
2021/7223.44-2.5842.171545.9953.49696.30.31去年1~7月受疫情影響,石化產品價格大跌,今年因疫情趨緩且供給減少,推升行情,因此今年累計合併營收較去年同期增加53.49%。
2021/6229.38-5.7855.231322.5555.58716.530.29去年6月受疫情影響,石化產品價格大跌,今年因疫情趨緩且供給減少,推升行情,因此今年6月合併營收較去年同期增加55.23%。
2021/5243.48-0.0780.951093.1755.66737.340.28去年5月受疫情影響,需求與產品價格下跌,今年全球疫情趨緩,需求及產品價格回升,因此今年5月合併營收較去年同期增加80.95%。
2021/4243.67-2.665.17849.6949.66657.530.31去年4月受疫情影響,需求急凍,產品價格崩跌,今年疫情趨緩,需求及產品價格回升,因此今年4月合併營收較去年同期增加65.18%。
2021/3250.1952.8562.45606.0244.22606.020.31去年3月受疫情影響,需求急凍,產品價格崩跌,今年疫情趨緩,需求及產品價格回升,因此今年3月合併營收較去年同期增加62.46%。
2021/2163.67-14.8228.26355.8333.67552.930.34-
2021/1192.16-2.538.66192.1638.66571.380.33-
2020/12197.18.2225.951858.13-10.6546.350.31-
2020/11182.138.9711.591661.03-13.57507.610.33-
2020/10167.125.530.771478.91-15.91471.710.35-
2020/9158.368.293.811311.78-17.65461.750.32-
2020/8146.22-6.95-13.731153.42-19.92451.150.33-
2020/7157.166.35-10.241007.2-20.75439.480.34-
2020/6147.779.81-19.48850.03-22.42429.840.36-
2020/5134.55-8.78-29.2702.27-23.02436.080.36-
2020/4147.52-4.21-23.2567.71-21.39429.130.36-
2020/3154.020.68-17.62420.19-20.73420.190.46-
2020/2127.61-7.91-13.87266.19-22.43422.670.46-
2020/1138.58-11.44-28.93138.58-28.930.0N/A-
2019/12156.49-4.11-13.72078.49-9.770.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1175.162023/1144.082022/1239.382021/1192.162020/1138.58
2024/2129.332023/2176.882022/2205.922021/2163.672020/2127.61
2024/3176.62023/3201.172022/3264.742021/3250.192020/3154.0
2024/4166.612023/4161.972022/4251.462021/4243.672020/4147.52
2024/5173.962023/5163.562022/5248.472021/5243.482020/5134.55
2024/6170.522023/6158.942022/6239.322021/6229.382020/6147.77
2024/7177.12023/7166.452022/7199.362021/7223.442020/7157.16
2024/8161.412023/8175.022022/8174.512021/8231.592020/8146.22
2024/9166.422023/9165.892022/9182.662021/9214.342020/9158.36
2024/10157.392023/10163.062022/10170.42021/10246.842020/10167.12
2024/11181.472023/11164.062022/11173.642021/11245.242020/11182.13
N/AN/A2023/12150.32022/12166.622021/12251.992020/12197.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.06%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.73-21.29-50.26
24Q2 (19)8.55-25.33-45.68
24Q1 (18)11.45-12.6-36.46
23Q4 (17)13.1-3.18-34.6
23Q3 (16)13.53-14.04-30.76
23Q2 (15)15.74-12.65-19.98
23Q1 (14)18.02-10.03-11.28
22Q4 (13)20.032.510
22Q3 (12)19.54-0.660
22Q2 (11)19.67-3.150
22Q1 (10)20.3100

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