玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1162.3917.01-6.06668.260.4166.66N/A-
2024/1053.324.66-15.68605.651.22160.66N/A-
2024/950.94-9.66-27.87552.113.5167.970.45-
2024/856.4-6.98-13.16500.988.5177.220.42-
2024/760.630.72-1.3444.1812.17190.340.4-
2024/660.19-13.415.97382.0714.09199.590.51-
2024/569.51-0.5321.62320.7114.87212.360.48-
2024/469.89-4.210.47249.8812.36176.90.57-
2024/372.96114.2112.04178.2612.06177.320.71-
2024/234.06-51.55-41.64104.711.25171.060.73-
2024/170.35.3995.1970.395.19203.430.62去年同期係由於農曆春節假期,下游客戶需求少所致
2023/1266.70.4222.77731.970.51196.370.46-
2023/1166.425.0413.6665.57-1.25200.30.45-
2023/1063.24-10.4724.64598.31-2.78198.820.45-
2023/970.638.7538.52533.44-5.21197.010.5-
2023/864.955.7228.55461.73-9.47183.180.54-
2023/761.438.152.5395.96-13.73175.380.56-
2023/656.8-0.62-18.05334.86-15.96177.210.55-
2023/557.15-9.65-17.71279.18-15.08185.530.52-
2023/463.26-2.84-2.86222.38-14.12186.740.52-
2023/365.1211.56-20.27159.07-17.13159.50.64-
2023/258.3762.0519.2294.11-13.76148.710.69-
2023/136.02-33.7-39.7936.02-39.79148.820.69-
2022/1254.33-7.07-28.56728.21-11.13163.530.54-
2022/1158.4715.25-20.43674.05-9.31160.190.56-
2022/1050.73-0.5-26.06615.44-8.1152.240.58-
2022/950.990.91-31.35562.8-6.28161.440.53-
2022/850.52-15.69-34.09510.08-3.24179.760.48-
2022/759.93-13.52-18.6458.981.69198.70.43-
2022/669.31-0.21-0.49398.465.06203.890.57-
2022/569.466.648.4328.775.98216.260.54-
2022/465.13-20.25-14.24258.975.0195.760.59-
2022/381.6766.8213.19191.9612.12190.450.68-
2022/248.96-18.1624.48109.129.95184.840.7-
2022/159.82-21.34-0.259.82-0.2209.370.61-
2021/1276.063.524.86819.4457.97218.160.4產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/1173.487.0928.98743.2662.48216.380.4產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/1068.62-7.6238.99669.7267.43219.560.39產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/974.28-3.146.0600.5471.31224.580.51產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/876.664.1165.88527.2176.03219.940.52產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/773.635.7171.51451.3478.09207.350.56產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/669.658.765.84379.2379.78209.670.48產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/564.07-15.6355.88310.2182.96212.170.48產品價格較去年同期增加。
2021/475.955.2588.3246.6291.29187.430.54去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情影響,石油價格下跌、大陸地區下游客戶開工率尚未全數恢復正常,營收下滑。
2021/372.1583.4691.5171.292.6171.430.54去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情影響石油價格重挫、大陸地區下游客戶開工不足及高庫存、交通管制等影響,營收下滑。
2021/239.33-34.39124.2799.2493.52160.180.58去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情延燒,石油價格重挫、大陸地區下游客戶延長復工、交通管制等影響,營收下滑。
2021/159.94-1.5877.3559.9477.35177.830.52營收較去年同期增加77.35%,主要係去年1月逢農曆春節連假。
2020/1260.916.916.63518.71-17.29167.250.35-
2020/1156.9715.4-1.15457.43-20.03157.210.37-
2020/1049.37-2.972.87399.98-22.52146.460.4-
2020/950.8810.09-5.24350.54-25.43140.020.43-
2020/846.217.65-6.6299.5-28.34131.140.46-
2020/742.932.21-23.08253.42-31.2126.030.48-
2020/642.02.17-15.78210.94-32.6123.430.47-
2020/541.11.9-21.47169.55-35.59119.110.49-
2020/440.337.04-29.38128.92-38.8995.550.61-
2020/337.68114.86-38.7288.88-42.1589.010.76-
2020/217.54-48.11-45.6851.28-44.18108.460.63-
2020/133.8-40.82-43.0933.8-43.090.0N/A-
2019/1257.12-0.89-10.06627.162.40.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/170.32023/136.022022/159.822021/159.942020/133.8
2024/234.062023/258.372022/248.962021/239.332020/217.54
2024/372.962023/365.122022/381.672021/372.152020/337.68
2024/469.892023/463.262022/465.132021/475.952020/440.33
2024/569.512023/557.152022/569.462021/564.072020/541.1
2024/660.192023/656.82022/669.312021/669.652020/642.0
2024/760.632023/761.432022/759.932021/773.632020/742.93
2024/856.42023/864.952022/850.522021/876.662020/846.21
2024/950.942023/970.632022/950.992021/974.282020/950.88
2024/1053.322023/1063.242022/1050.732021/1068.622020/1049.37
2024/1162.392023/1166.422022/1158.472021/1173.482020/1156.97
N/AN/A2023/1266.72022/1254.332021/1276.062020/1260.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.21%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.1256.48-6.32
24Q2 (19)4.55-12.84-27.89
24Q1 (18)5.2212.5-17.8
23Q4 (17)4.64-38.95-23.56
23Q3 (16)7.620.448.26
23Q2 (15)6.31-0.630.64
23Q1 (14)6.354.61-11.44
22Q4 (13)6.07-13.53-33.66
22Q3 (12)7.0211.96-25.24
22Q2 (11)6.27-12.55-19.31
22Q1 (10)7.17-21.6418.51
21Q4 (9)9.15-2.5646.87
21Q3 (8)9.3920.8536.28
21Q2 (7)7.7728.4385.89
21Q1 (6)6.05-2.8966.67
20Q4 (5)6.23-9.588.92
20Q3 (4)6.8964.830.0
20Q2 (3)4.1815.150.0
20Q1 (2)3.63-36.540.0
19Q4 (1)5.720.00.0

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