玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.4-2.54-5.8441.21-11.5712.48N/A-
2024/94.5226.94-9.9136.68-12.4611.640.68-
2024/83.56-0.07-30.0632.1-12.9911.240.7-
2024/73.56-13.57-18.6828.46-10.5311.970.66-
2024/64.12-3.76-10.8124.85-9.6513.110.53-
2024/54.28-8.96-5.6220.68-10.0812.770.55-
2024/44.724.3711.9216.34-11.6911.750.59-
2024/33.7816.0-33.611.55-19.3111.520.72-
2024/23.26-27.17-32.547.74-10.3313.220.63-
2024/14.48-18.2716.884.4816.8815.490.54-
2023/125.48-0.9817.8157.61-21.5615.690.5-
2023/115.5318.29-8.2452.15-24.215.220.52-
2023/104.68-6.75-22.1846.6-25.8314.780.54-
2023/95.02-1.44-21.141.9-26.2514.490.63-
2023/85.0916.18-17.5536.89-26.8414.090.65-
2023/74.38-5.2-37.9231.81-28.1213.540.67-
2023/64.621.83-32.6227.51-26.0313.360.59-
2023/54.547.95-10.9323.01-24.114.440.55-
2023/44.2-26.210.6718.51-26.714.730.54-
2023/35.717.86-21.214.32-31.5914.360.62-
2023/24.8326.17-15.578.64-36.4313.310.67-
2023/13.83-17.62-51.033.83-51.0314.510.61主因疫情及1月農曆年長假工作天數少
2022/124.65-22.88-43.673.410.3516.690.61-
2022/116.030.32-18.2468.86.0418.40.55-
2022/106.01-5.45-9.7962.849.3318.540.55-
2022/96.362.986.0156.8111.8719.590.62-
2022/86.17-12.5111.4150.4312.5120.090.6-
2022/77.062.8720.8344.2612.619.010.64-
2022/66.8634.6320.2337.1611.016.130.73-
2022/55.0922.0215.330.319.2316.50.71-
2022/44.17-42.24-25.1425.258.2617.130.69-
2022/37.2326.282.5120.9218.020.780.6-
2022/25.72-26.8236.713.5927.4121.790.57-
2022/17.82-5.1220.817.8220.8123.440.53-
2021/128.2511.813.873.1618.6422.280.6-
2021/117.3810.698.7864.8819.3720.030.66-
2021/106.6611.14.6857.4720.9718.20.73-
2021/96.08.22-9.2850.7823.5517.380.82-
2021/85.54-5.128.4144.8229.9717.090.83-
2021/75.842.370.8839.3133.7615.960.89-
2021/65.729.115.0433.4441.4215.70.84-
2021/54.42-20.7710.7227.7551.617.050.77主要去年同期受疫情影響復工延緩
2021/45.58-20.9147.1923.3262.2116.820.78主要去年同期受疫情影響復工延緩
2021/37.0568.4187.1517.7366.817.710.72主要去年同期受疫情影響復工延緩。
2021/24.19-35.3394.4710.6655.1117.910.71主要去年同期受疫情影響復工延緩。
2021/16.48-10.6236.756.4836.7520.50.62-
2020/127.256.86-2.2561.66-16.9920.390.52-
2020/116.786.52-3.6554.35-19.0819.750.54-
2020/106.36-3.71-4.447.51-21.2618.090.59-
2020/96.6129.334.4441.12-23.7117.510.54-
2020/85.11-11.71-23.0434.48-27.8216.330.57-
2020/75.796.58-4.0829.39-28.7915.210.62-
2020/65.4336.1-7.7723.67-32.8913.210.62-
2020/53.995.3-36.6918.3-37.7611.550.71-
2020/43.790.56-37.6714.38-37.869.710.85-
2020/33.7774.99-43.0810.63-37.610.660.78-
2020/22.15-54.52-42.856.87-33.1614.30.58-
2020/14.74-36.11-27.044.74-27.0419.180.43-
2019/127.415.3327.8874.38-7.740.0N/A-
2019/117.045.69-12.8667.17-10.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.482023/13.832022/17.822021/16.482020/14.74
2024/23.262023/24.832022/25.722021/24.192020/22.15
2024/33.782023/35.72022/37.232021/37.052020/33.77
2024/44.72023/44.22022/44.172021/45.582020/43.79
2024/54.282023/54.542022/55.092021/54.422020/53.99
2024/64.122023/64.622022/66.862021/65.72020/65.43
2024/73.562023/74.382022/77.062021/75.842020/75.79
2024/83.562023/85.092022/86.172021/85.542020/85.11
2024/94.522023/95.022022/96.362021/96.02020/96.61
2024/104.42023/104.682022/106.012021/106.662020/106.36
N/AN/A2023/115.532022/116.032021/117.382020/116.78
N/AN/A2023/125.482022/124.652021/128.252020/127.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.76%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.0748.6181.36
24Q2 (19)0.72-25.7746.94
24Q1 (18)0.9721.2553.97
23Q4 (17)0.835.59-22.33
23Q3 (16)0.5920.41-51.24
23Q2 (15)0.49-22.22-59.5
23Q1 (14)0.63-38.83-63.37
22Q4 (13)1.03-14.88-22.56
22Q3 (12)1.210.011.01
22Q2 (11)1.21-29.655.22
22Q1 (10)1.7229.32107.23
21Q4 (9)1.3322.0226.67
21Q3 (8)1.09-5.2214.74
21Q2 (7)1.1538.5525.0
21Q1 (6)0.83-20.95-52.02
20Q4 (5)1.0510.53-35.58
20Q3 (4)0.953.260.0
20Q2 (3)0.92-46.820.0
20Q1 (2)1.736.130.0
19Q4 (1)1.630.00.0

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