玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1530.00.0-0.89-15.58-30.88-0.6812.825.56-2.32-62.24-24.060.78-41.79-46.58-28.406.9832.97-133.25-50.02-77.19-173.78-98.06-143.76-1.0412.615.45-1.36-15.25-30.77-173.79-98.1-143.85-173.78-98.06-143.7617.26-16.12-1.80
24Q2 (19)1530.00.0-0.77-16.67-20.31-0.78-16.42-13.04-1.43-116.67-20.171.3476.32-19.28-30.5354.3612.55-88.8234.05-39.79-87.7433.71-48.28-1.19-15.53-13.33-1.18-16.83-20.41-87.7334.26-50.17-87.7433.71-48.2815.6932.89-11.39
24Q1 (18)1530.00.0-0.6682.45-20.0-0.67-6.35-13.56-0.6688.3-20.00.76-44.93-32.74-66.90-92.35-76.38-134.67-92.63-64.07-132.3668.32-76.34-1.03-7.29-11.96-1.0182.43-18.82-133.4668.07-70.99-132.3668.32-76.34-25.20-185.253.08
23Q4 (17)1530.00.0-3.76-452.94-415.07-0.6312.510.0-5.64-201.6-100.711.38-5.48-0.72-34.7817.915.87-69.917.036.61-417.75-485.99-419.65-0.9612.737.69-5.75-452.88-413.39-417.92-486.39-433.13-417.75-485.99-419.65-8.77-229.594.08
23Q3 (16)1530.00.0-0.68-6.2511.69-0.72-4.351.37-1.87-57.1410.11.46-12.0521.67-42.37-21.379.25-75.20-18.3518.94-71.29-20.4827.02-1.1-4.760.9-1.04-6.1211.11-71.27-22.026.74-71.29-20.4827.0217.42-11.30-10.65
23Q2 (15)1530.00.0-0.64-16.365.88-0.69-16.952.82-1.19-116.369.161.6646.944.35-34.917.9642.7-63.5422.5932.3-59.1721.1734.78-1.05-14.132.78-0.98-15.296.67-58.4225.1535.67-59.1721.1734.7814.094.15-0.62
23Q1 (14)1530.00.0-0.5524.6612.7-0.5915.7114.49-0.5580.4312.71.13-18.71-9.6-37.93-2.6537.19-82.08-9.642.86-75.066.632.67-0.9211.5413.21-0.8524.1111.46-78.050.43-0.81-75.066.632.67-1.4414.939.91
22Q4 (13)1530.00.0-0.735.1942.06-0.704.1136.94-2.81-35.116.121.3915.83-25.67-36.9520.8646.11-74.8619.3117.36-80.3917.7121.8-1.046.3138.82-1.124.2741.97-78.3919.4323.66-80.3917.7121.810.09-4.030.65
22Q3 (12)1530.00.0-0.77-13.248.33-0.73-2.8217.05-2.08-58.780.481.24.35-32.96-46.6923.3717.67-92.771.15-23.17-97.69-7.68-36.48-1.11-2.7817.78-1.17-11.438.59-97.29-7.12-35.75-97.69-7.68-36.48-1.83-10.59-2.86
22Q2 (11)1530.00.0-0.68-7.9412.82-0.71-2.917.44-1.31-107.94-4.81.15-8.0-30.3-60.93-0.89-9.88-93.85-11.07-18.05-90.72-17.63-26.0-1.08-1.8917.56-1.05-9.3811.76-90.82-17.31-25.88-90.72-17.63-26.0-20.5821.0317.47
22Q1 (10)1530.00.0-0.6350.0-31.25-0.6937.84-23.21-0.6381.19-31.251.25-33.165.04-60.3911.93-25.47-84.506.72-14.61-77.1224.98-26.12-1.0637.65-20.45-0.9650.26-31.51-77.4224.6-22.25-77.1224.98-26.12-14.340.005.85
21Q4 (9)1530.00.0-1.26-50.0-63.64-1.11-26.14-42.31-3.35-60.29-31.371.874.472.75-68.57-20.91-81.02-90.59-20.27-34.35-102.80-43.62-58.91-1.7-25.93-38.21-1.93-50.78-63.56-102.68-43.27-54.45-102.80-43.62-58.916.47-28.84-14.23
21Q3 (8)1530.00.0-0.84-7.69-27.27-0.88-2.33-39.68-2.09-67.2-17.421.798.48-16.74-56.71-2.27-74.22-75.325.26-62.22-71.580.58-53.21-1.35-3.05-35.0-1.28-7.56-28.0-71.670.67-50.57-71.580.58-53.2123.57-35.09-27.95
21Q2 (7)1530.0-0.65-0.78-62.5-44.44-0.86-53.57-53.57-1.25-160.42-11.611.6538.660.0-55.45-15.21-68.8-79.50-7.83-54.85-72.00-17.74-43.31-1.31-48.86-54.12-1.19-63.01-43.37-72.15-13.93-43.52-72.00-17.74-43.312.02-12.42-12.68
21Q1 (6)1530.00.0-0.4837.6617.24-0.5628.219.68-0.4881.1817.241.19-34.6226.6-48.13-27.0631.78-73.73-9.3425.71-61.155.4734.92-0.8828.466.38-0.7338.1417.98-63.334.7431.72-61.155.4734.92-24.9810.492.20
20Q4 (5)1530.00.0-0.77-16.6747.62-0.78-23.810.0-2.55-43.2611.151.82-15.35-34.53-37.88-16.37-29.73-67.43-45.23-54.34-64.69-38.4619.76-1.23-23.0-0.82-1.18-18.047.32-66.48-39.6617.9-64.69-38.4619.76--0.00
20Q3 (4)153-0.650.0-0.66-22.220.0-0.63-12.50.0-1.78-58.930.02.1530.30.0-32.550.910.0-46.439.560.0-46.727.010.0-1.0-17.650.0-1.0-20.480.0-47.605.310.0-46.727.010.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1540.650.0-0.546.90.0-0.569.680.0-1.12-93.10.01.6575.530.0-32.8553.440.0-51.3448.270.0-50.2446.530.0-0.859.570.0-0.836.740.0-50.2745.80.0-50.2446.530.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1530.00.0-0.5860.540.0-0.6220.510.0-0.5879.790.00.94-66.190.0-70.55-141.610.0-99.25-127.170.0-93.96-16.550.0-0.9422.950.0-0.8960.270.0-92.75-14.550.0-93.96-16.550.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1530.00.0-1.470.00.0-0.780.00.0-2.870.00.02.780.00.0-29.200.00.0-43.690.00.0-80.620.00.0-1.220.00.0-2.240.00.0-80.970.00.0-80.620.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.33.61-28.363.48-34.780.9N/A-
2024/100.29-5.63-51.033.17-35.330.85N/A營收下滑幅度較大,主要係因公司在7月份進行營運調整,並處分單色生產車間,以減少運營成本所致。
2024/90.3122.61-36.52.88-33.160.780.09-
2024/80.2514.1-49.562.57-32.740.970.07-
2024/70.22-55.76-59.272.32-30.211.150.067月份營收下滑較大,主係因公司調整營運並處分單色生產車間,以減少運營成本所致。
2024/60.516.7-4.72.1-24.551.340.05-
2024/50.433.66-21.241.6-29.151.190.06-
2024/40.4118.82-30.381.17-31.650.890.08-
2024/30.35168.72-39.010.76-32.320.760.33-
2024/20.13-54.73-70.630.41-25.470.770.32受春節假期影響,2月份生產不足10日,致2月份營收同比去年下降。
2024/10.29-20.64145.210.29145.211.070.232024年1月營收較去年同期增長係因今年春節在2月份,而2023年春節為1月份,今年1月份工作天數較多,出貨較去年增加。
2023/120.36-14.68-30.925.6212.581.380.15-
2023/110.42-29.17-6.585.3319.221.50.13-
2023/100.622.3742.544.9122.121.580.13-
2023/90.49-2.6112.234.3119.751.530.18-
2023/80.5-7.8723.833.8320.781.570.17-
2023/70.543.5149.043.3320.331.610.17-
2023/60.52-3.545.192.7915.981.660.16-
2023/50.54-8.3735.422.2618.811.710.15-
2023/40.594.09133.851.7214.371.60.16本期營收較去年同期成長,係因去年同期受疫情影響停工日較長,今年同期已恢復為正常開工天數。
2023/30.5729.3929.331.13-9.861.130.24-
2023/20.44278.0-4.040.56-31.21.080.25-
2023/10.12-77.64-66.760.12-66.761.090.251月份營收相較去年同期大幅减少主係因今年春節假期提前,1月份工廠營運僅為10天所致。
2022/120.5215.38-24.914.99-23.261.390.18-
2022/110.458.06-26.064.47-23.071.30.19-
2022/100.42-3.65-26.814.02-22.721.250.2-
2022/90.437.46-31.573.6-22.211.20.18-
2022/80.410.88-33.453.17-20.731.270.17-
2022/70.36-26.93-33.62.77-18.461.260.17-
2022/60.524.16-12.132.4-15.541.150.1-
2022/50.458.22-26.271.9-16.391.090.11-
2022/40.25-42.42-52.911.5-13.281.150.1主要係因受新冠疫情影響工廠停工至4月19日,致營收下降。
2022/30.44-4.0-4.861.254.561.250.19-
2022/20.4630.94187.920.8110.531.50.16今年疫情影響趨緩,訂單回流,致2月營收上升。
2022/10.35-49.5-38.820.35-38.821.650.15-
2021/120.6913.6147.896.51-0.671.870.12-
2021/110.616.95-12.525.81-4.421.810.12-
2021/100.57-9.91-10.645.2-3.371.810.12-
2021/90.634.49-22.344.63-2.391.790.11-
2021/80.6110.64-15.764.01.741.720.12-
2021/70.55-3.31-10.73.395.671.660.12-
2021/60.574.18-2.442.849.541.650.15-
2021/50.541.056.122.2813.01.550.16-
2021/40.5416.32-3.621.7315.351.160.22-
2021/30.46190.5232.191.1926.581.190.14-
2021/20.16-72.170.00.7323.271.20.14本期營收增減百分比較高,係因去年同期缺工致無營收所致。
2021/10.5722.07-3.550.57-3.551.740.1-
2020/120.47-32.79-48.036.55-43.381.810.06-
2020/110.79.25-26.06.08-42.982.150.05-
2020/100.64-21.7-31.735.38-44.632.170.05-
2020/90.8213.33-10.54.75-46.012.150.11-
2020/80.7217.2911.923.93-50.111.910.12受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/70.615.62-18.473.21-55.631.710.13受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/60.5813.34-51.322.6-59.951.650.12受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/50.51-8.22-38.492.01-61.891.420.14受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/40.5659.54-55.711.5-66.270.910.22受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/30.350.0-81.230.94-70.440.940.2受全球新冠肺炎影響,許多中國大陸客戶訂單取消,外貿訂單也因國際新冠疫情而大幅下滑,致營收下降。
2020/20.0-100.0-100.00.59-55.271.50.13外地工返廠需先隔離十四天,上週末至本周分別有400和150名員工復工。2月因缺工致無營收。預計兩周內產能可恢復至20%-50%。
2020/10.59-34.22-41.370.59-41.370.0N/A今年春節較去年提前10天,致1月份開工天數減少。另受中美貿易爭端及大陸經濟低迷影響,訂單下滑,致1月份營收較去年同期減少。
2019/120.9-4.31-30.8311.57-44.150.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1530.0-5.640-2.6305.6212.63-37.420-71.840-153.310-4.040-8.640-8.620
2022 (9)1530.0-2.810-2.8204.99-23.35-50.690-85.960-86.110-4.290-4.270-4.30
2021 (8)1530.0-3.350-3.4006.51-0.76-58.230-80.490-78.770-5.240-5.150-5.120
2020 (7)1530.0-2.550-2.5906.56-43.3-39.560-61.080-59.380-4.010-3.940-3.90
2019 (6)15310.07-2.870-2.44011.57-44.16-18.480-31.980-37.880-3.70-4.340-4.380
2018 (5)13910.320.97-85.330.58-89.0420.72-39.1816.86-50.976.14-78.576.50-73.491.27-86.991.73-82.731.35-83.83
2017 (4)1269.576.61-13.935.29-3.8234.073.1834.390.728.65-5.5724.52-8.29.76-2.5910.02-3.758.35-5.33
2016 (3)1150.07.682.45.507.4233.023.2534.152.4930.342.0926.71-1.010.025.4710.411.078.822.2
2015 (2)11530.687.50-29.045.12-8.2431.983.3333.32-11.0529.72-10.6226.98-10.639.5-7.6810.3-7.128.63-7.6
2014 (1)8825.7110.575.285.5819.4930.9515.7437.46033.25030.19010.2920.4911.0932.029.3433.24

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