玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q4 (20)1.5651.4616.4211.80-21.0251.6758.35-34.26-14.247.7126.6-34.134.60-11.3728.8631.46-43.63-40.52
24Q3 (19)1.03-45.21-18.2514.9434.9693.0288.7683.6922.416.09-25.91-48.2139.0473.6746.3855.8163.86-3.11
24Q2 (18)1.8872.4833.3311.0795.5830.5448.32-42.37-25.278.22-48.91-23.3922.48-29.6-6.2634.06-49.91-33.75
24Q1 (17)1.09-18.667.925.66-27.25-5.5183.8423.22-7.2716.0937.525.8631.9318.92-0.5668.0028.57-7.48
23Q4 (16)1.346.35-1.477.780.52-3.1168.04-6.161.711.70-0.513.2726.850.679.552.89-8.18-1.53
23Q3 (15)1.26-10.644.137.74-8.73-24.1272.5112.14-3.4611.769.631.8426.6711.22-2.0957.6012.041.43
23Q2 (14)1.4139.625.898.4841.57-17.6764.66-28.48-20.3510.73-29.4121.3823.98-25.32-20.0151.41-30.05-14.37
23Q1 (13)1.01-25.741.05.99-25.4-32.4790.4135.14-0.815.2034.1648.1532.1130.95-7.0473.5036.859.93
22Q4 (12)1.3612.44.628.03-21.27-46.8666.90-10.93-4.2911.3327.0288.2124.52-9.995.153.71-5.422.13
22Q3 (11)1.218.04-9.710.20-0.97-17.5475.11-7.4810.888.920.921.227.24-9.1433.9956.79-5.413.71
22Q2 (10)1.1212.0-28.2110.3016.12-15.2381.18-10.9339.178.84-13.8418.0229.98-13.272.760.04-10.223.9
22Q1 (9)1.00-23.0814.948.87-41.3-32.691.1430.39-13.2610.2670.4348.2734.5448.0561.7866.8627.13-26.24
21Q4 (8)1.30-2.9951.1615.1122.15-0.4669.903.19-34.166.02-18.210.3323.3314.768.7652.59-3.96-42.03
21Q3 (7)1.34-14.131.3712.371.81-6.567.7416.13-23.747.36-1.746.9820.3317.11-11.0754.7613.0-24.84
21Q2 (6)1.5679.3141.8212.15-7.676.358.33-44.48-29.67.498.24-5.917.36-18.69-2.6448.46-46.54-33.61
21Q1 (5)0.871.1697.7313.16-13.3145.09105.07-1.04-48.726.9215.33-31.0821.35-0.47-40.4890.64-0.09-49.38
20Q4 (4)0.86-15.690.015.1814.740.0106.1719.520.06.00-12.790.021.45-6.170.090.7224.510.0
20Q3 (3)1.02-7.270.013.2315.750.088.837.220.06.88-13.570.022.8628.210.072.86-0.180.0
20Q2 (2)1.10150.00.011.4326.020.082.85-59.560.07.96-20.720.017.83-50.290.072.99-59.230.0
20Q1 (1)0.440.00.09.070.00.0204.890.00.010.040.00.035.870.00.0179.050.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)4.93-10.231.88-5.8874.0811.3311.456.2230.2934.255.250.93
2023 (9)5.4941.4933.875.4566.54-29.2110.78-5.1122.57-29.454.74-25.41
2022 (8)3.880.5232.12-51.3894.00-0.7111.36105.831.9760.1773.39-8.53
2021 (7)3.8646.7766.07-4.6394.67-31.815.524.7419.96-20.9280.23-32.51
2020 (6)2.63-16.5169.28-19.98138.8419.655.2724.8825.24-2.06118.8725.81
2019 (5)3.1516.6786.5819.31116.04-14.34.22-16.125.77-18.3294.48-13.23
2018 (4)2.70-14.8372.57-16.2135.4017.595.0319.4831.55-15.35108.8832.62
2017 (3)3.1712.8186.60-3.19115.15-11.24.213.1937.27-37.6182.1010.93
2016 (2)2.8114.6989.45-3.62129.67-13.04.083.8259.74-13.4674.01-11.83
2015 (1)2.45-3.1692.81-13.21149.043.333.9315.2569.035.2183.942.33

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