玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10232.512.863.622234.465.05686.74N/A-
2024/9226.02-0.95-2.412001.955.21672.720.69-
2024/8228.214.446.01775.936.27673.770.69-
2024/7218.49-3.775.471547.726.31674.050.69-
2024/6227.08-0.614.561329.236.45675.140.69-
2024/5228.484.056.141102.166.85676.620.69-
2024/4219.58-3.929.36873.677.04642.990.72-
2024/3228.5617.29-0.2654.096.28654.090.71-
2024/2194.86-15.52-1.09425.5310.13654.480.71-
2024/1230.680.7521.82230.6821.82675.610.69-
2023/12228.955.9911.692571.96-2.56669.310.71-
2023/11215.99-3.731.92343.01-3.76671.990.71-
2023/10224.38-3.120.22127.02-4.3671.270.71-
2023/9231.627.590.311902.64-4.81654.040.75-
2023/8215.273.92-2.031671.02-5.48639.580.76-
2023/7207.15-4.61-6.451455.75-5.97639.580.76-
2023/6217.170.88-9.431248.61-5.88633.220.77-
2023/5215.277.21-7.671031.44-5.1645.070.76-
2023/4200.78-12.33-8.67816.17-4.4626.820.78-
2023/3229.0216.24-2.47615.39-2.92615.390.86-
2023/2197.024.041.34386.37-3.19591.340.89-
2023/1189.35-7.62-7.5189.35-7.5606.270.87-
2022/12204.97-3.29-8.092639.6510.36640.830.84-
2022/11211.94-5.34-5.722434.6812.25666.760.81-
2022/10223.92-3.025.622222.7314.33674.550.8-
2022/9230.95.0715.11998.8215.4672.080.83-
2022/8219.74-0.7713.681767.9215.44680.960.82-
2022/7221.45-7.6416.191548.1815.69694.40.8-
2022/6239.782.8320.351326.7415.61692.80.84-
2022/5233.176.0616.041086.9614.62687.840.85-
2022/4219.85-6.3818.87853.7814.23649.070.9-
2022/3234.8320.7918.85633.9412.71633.940.87-
2022/2194.4-5.0312.16399.119.38622.140.89-
2022/1204.71-8.216.87204.716.87652.560.85-
2021/12223.02-0.88.62391.8415.62659.840.74-
2021/11224.836.0519.632168.8116.39637.410.77-
2021/10211.995.6826.251943.9916.03605.860.81-
2021/9200.593.7819.161731.9914.89584.460.81-
2021/8193.281.4115.511531.414.36583.090.81-
2021/7190.59-4.3319.131338.1214.19590.740.8-
2021/6199.22-0.8417.091147.5413.41585.090.77-
2021/5200.928.6425.45948.3112.67583.440.77-
2021/4184.94-6.3916.2747.399.66555.840.81-
2021/3197.5713.995.67562.447.67562.440.46-
2021/2173.32-9.517.83364.878.78570.220.45-
2021/1191.55-6.729.66191.559.66584.820.44-
2020/12205.359.271.512068.61-17.22561.180.39-
2020/11187.9211.91-3.021863.25-18.88524.150.42-
2020/10167.91-0.24-15.891675.33-20.34503.550.44-
2020/9168.330.6-17.351507.43-20.8495.620.41-
2020/8167.324.58-17.531339.1-21.22497.430.41-
2020/7159.98-5.96-24.081171.78-21.72490.270.42-
2020/6170.146.23-22.631011.8-21.33489.450.43-
2020/5160.160.62-30.36841.67-21.06506.280.41-
2020/4159.16-14.87-26.78681.51-18.51506.850.41-
2020/3186.9716.32-16.74522.36-15.61522.360.45-
2020/2160.73-7.97-10.63335.39-14.96537.670.44-
2020/1174.66-13.65-18.59174.66-18.59570.720.41-
2019/12202.284.380.182499.229.390.0N/A-
2019/11193.78-2.93-5.042296.9410.280.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1230.682023/1189.352022/1204.712021/1191.552020/1174.66
2024/2194.862023/2197.022022/2194.42021/2173.322020/2160.73
2024/3228.562023/3229.022022/3234.832021/3197.572020/3186.97
2024/4219.582023/4200.782022/4219.852021/4184.942020/4159.16
2024/5228.482023/5215.272022/5233.172021/5200.922020/5160.16
2024/6227.082023/6217.172022/6239.782021/6199.222020/6170.14
2024/7218.492023/7207.152022/7221.452021/7190.592020/7159.98
2024/8228.212023/8215.272022/8219.742021/8193.282020/8167.32
2024/9226.022023/9231.622022/9230.92021/9200.592020/9168.33
2024/10232.512023/10224.382022/10223.922021/10211.992020/10167.91
N/AN/A2023/11215.992022/11211.942021/11224.832020/11187.92
N/AN/A2023/12228.952022/12204.972021/12223.022020/12205.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 13.56%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)72.58-1.0119.04
24Q2 (19)73.328.6717.24
24Q1 (18)67.472.2310.03
23Q4 (17)66.08.252.98
23Q3 (16)60.97-2.51-1.26
23Q2 (15)62.541.9912.85
23Q1 (14)61.32-4.3215.24
22Q4 (13)64.093.7932.61
22Q3 (12)61.7511.4217.46
22Q2 (11)55.424.1518.24
22Q1 (10)53.2110.125.55
21Q4 (9)48.33-8.07-12.29
21Q3 (8)52.5712.16-2.32
21Q2 (7)46.8710.59-5.48
21Q1 (6)42.38-23.09-17.87
20Q4 (5)55.12.3821.47
20Q3 (4)53.828.530.0
20Q2 (3)49.59-3.90.0
20Q1 (2)51.613.760.0
19Q4 (1)45.360.00.0

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