玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.873.33-9.9236.4718.1811.57N/A-
2024/103.75-5.2814.2832.622.7312.47N/A-
2024/93.96-17.0618.3828.8623.9211.361.05-
2024/84.7781.0779.0724.924.859.731.22客戶訂單量增加
2024/72.6313.221.8320.1316.498.511.4-
2024/62.33-34.482.6617.515.738.881.31-
2024/53.5518.1863.8115.1718.039.921.17客戶訂單量增加
2024/43.0-7.3625.3711.628.759.121.27-
2024/33.3622.299.378.745.48.741.13-
2024/22.754.877.035.373.068.341.18-
2024/12.62-11.68-0.82.62-0.89.891.0-
2023/122.97-30.99.2933.831.010.540.95-
2023/114.331.132.4130.860.2710.920.92-
2023/103.28-1.88-8.3726.56-3.519.281.08-
2023/93.3425.45-4.4823.28-2.798.171.39-
2023/82.6623.19-14.6819.94-2.57.091.6-
2023/72.16-4.6-20.0517.28-0.36.61.72-
2023/62.274.54-3.3115.123.346.831.7-
2023/52.17-9.54-1.5712.854.617.641.52-
2023/42.4-22.08-7.4810.695.968.041.44-
2023/33.0819.694.518.2910.618.291.29-
2023/22.57-2.831.995.2114.557.931.35-
2023/12.64-2.681.512.641.518.611.24-
2022/122.72-16.28-9.2933.4921.849.541.11-
2022/113.25-9.2814.7730.7825.6410.321.03-
2022/103.582.287.027.5327.0610.21.04-
2022/93.512.0535.9823.9530.729.321.1-
2022/83.1215.4339.3520.4629.868.171.26-
2022/72.715.3661.9917.3328.297.251.42客戶訂單量增加
2022/62.346.4113.6514.6323.547.141.42-
2022/52.2-14.9720.1512.2925.637.741.31-
2022/42.59-11.975.8210.0826.897.481.36-
2022/32.9451.1637.827.4936.277.491.11-
2022/21.95-25.2435.354.5535.297.551.1-
2022/12.6-13.0535.252.635.258.430.99-
2021/123.05.9228.5827.4927.899.170.85-
2021/112.83-15.4223.4424.4927.88.740.89-
2021/103.3429.9851.5621.6728.48.160.96客戶訂單量增加
2021/92.5714.8326.9218.3224.916.481.23-
2021/82.2434.1844.4415.7524.595.971.33-
2021/71.67-19.0548.5813.5121.825.561.43-
2021/62.0612.557.2811.8418.86.340.93去年同期受疫情影響營收基期較低所致
2021/51.83-25.133.679.7812.976.420.92-
2021/42.4514.6350.887.959.086.020.98去年同期受疫情影響營收基期較低所致
2021/32.1448.45-3.985.5-2.895.50.89-
2021/21.44-25.3-20.433.36-2.185.690.86-
2021/11.93-17.3418.021.9318.026.550.75-
2020/122.331.6919.6521.493.226.830.66-
2020/112.293.84-6.9819.161.526.520.69-
2020/102.218.85-16.4716.872.85.780.78-
2020/92.0330.68-5.6114.676.54.71.01-
2020/81.5538.03-7.1412.648.743.991.19-
2020/71.12-14.32-11.0411.0911.43.811.25-
2020/61.31-4.38-5.199.9714.664.31.0-
2020/51.37-15.46-23.698.6618.425.220.82-
2020/41.62-27.0510.537.2832.155.650.76-
2020/32.2223.0243.475.6640.05.660.85-
2020/21.8110.7946.243.4437.845.390.89-
2020/11.63-16.1929.61.6329.60.0N/A-
2019/121.95-20.9447.3320.8229.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.622023/12.642022/12.62021/11.932020/11.63
2024/22.752023/22.572022/21.952021/21.442020/21.81
2024/33.362023/33.082022/32.942021/32.142020/32.22
2024/43.02023/42.42022/42.592021/42.452020/41.62
2024/53.552023/52.172022/52.22021/51.832020/51.37
2024/62.332023/62.272022/62.342021/62.062020/61.31
2024/72.632023/72.162022/72.72021/71.672020/71.12
2024/84.772023/82.662022/83.122021/82.242020/81.55
2024/93.962023/93.342022/93.52021/92.572020/92.03
2024/103.752023/103.282022/103.582021/103.342020/102.21
2024/113.872023/114.32022/113.252021/112.832020/112.29
N/AN/A2023/122.972022/122.722021/123.02020/122.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2210.0-8.33
24Q2 (19)0.2-23.08-23.08
24Q1 (18)0.2618.18-31.58
23Q4 (17)0.22-8.33-26.67
23Q3 (16)0.24-7.69-11.11
23Q2 (15)0.26-31.58-3.7
23Q1 (14)0.3826.6746.15
22Q4 (13)0.311.1115.38
22Q3 (12)0.270.0-6.9
22Q2 (11)0.273.85-6.9
22Q1 (10)0.260.0-10.34
21Q4 (9)0.26-10.34-48.0
21Q3 (8)0.290.0-3.33
21Q2 (7)0.290.03.57
21Q1 (6)0.29-42.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.566.6731.58
20Q3 (4)0.37.140.0
20Q2 (3)0.28-3.450.0
20Q1 (2)0.29-23.680.0
19Q4 (1)0.380.00.0

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