玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.94-0.824.2111.54-4.462.87N/A-0.18-0.35-
2024/100.95-3.49-15.4410.6-5.163.1N/A0.03-0.17-
2024/90.98-16.69-8.49.66-4.023.31.74-
2024/81.183.04-12.228.68-3.53.471.650.04-0.08-
2024/71.14-0.67-15.817.5-1.973.251.770.0-0.12-
2024/61.1520.172.226.361.013.141.760.06-0.12-
2024/50.96-7.09-2.295.210.742.971.85-
2024/41.034.37-7.054.251.463.221.71-0.04-0.05-
2024/30.99-18.210.573.224.523.220.91-0.07-0.01-
2024/21.2117.4127.532.232.053.330.880.080.06-
2024/11.03-6.18-17.321.03-17.323.020.97-0.02-0.02-
2023/121.121.635.1213.1819.363.110.930.060.49-
2023/110.9-19.532.2812.0820.843.090.94-0.170.43-
2023/101.124.5311.1111.1822.643.530.82-0.030.6-
2023/91.07-20.1712.7710.0624.073.770.78-0.060.63-
2023/81.34-1.1612.758.9925.573.820.770.230.69-
2023/71.3620.621.567.6528.123.460.850.260.46-
2023/61.1314.8642.246.2929.623.210.910.050.2-
2023/50.98-11.6144.935.1727.172.980.98-0.060.15-
2023/41.1124.1643.54.1923.632.950.990.080.21-
2023/30.89-5.662.253.0817.763.080.95-0.10.13-
2023/20.95-23.88-0.452.1925.523.230.9-0.00.23-
2023/11.2419.356.641.2456.643.170.920.230.23去年受新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/121.0418.3414.7911.0442.012.930.990.08-0.33-
2022/110.88-12.588.9810.045.62.841.02-0.11-0.41-
2022/101.016.0916.349.1250.493.150.920.0-0.3去年受新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/90.95-20.1846.978.1156.183.250.890.13-0.3去年因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/81.196.55101.487.1657.493.10.930.15-0.43去年因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/71.1241.11313.345.9750.932.581.120.06-0.58去年因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/60.7917.03411.944.8631.712.241.26-0.22-0.65去年因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/50.68-12.4855.674.0615.082.321.22-0.23-0.43去年因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2022/40.77-11.520.713.399.392.61.09-0.22-0.2-
2022/30.87-8.1619.512.6212.242.621.080.020.02-
2022/20.9519.7712.211.748.922.651.070.060.0-
2022/10.79-12.565.230.795.232.511.13-
2021/120.9112.353.947.77-32.342.581.04-
2021/110.81-6.6819.16.87-35.332.321.16-
2021/100.8734.02-18.056.06-39.042.11.28-
2021/90.659.41-23.485.19-41.541.511.79-
2021/80.59118.6-46.454.55-43.431.012.66-
2021/70.2774.78-74.993.96-42.960.863.14因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2021/60.15-64.41-84.73.69-37.051.361.96因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2021/50.43-43.37-50.983.53-27.111.931.37因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響
2021/40.774.987.473.1-21.782.341.13-
2021/30.73-13.76-50.982.33-28.212.331.14109/3出售漢中段土地營收增加
2021/20.8512.3117.971.6-8.912.471.07-
2021/10.75-13.64-27.470.75-27.472.311.15-
2020/120.8728.74-9.7811.49-2.012.611.0-
2020/110.68-35.79-14.9810.62-1.322.581.01-
2020/101.0625.1322.89.94-0.223.00.87-
2020/90.84-23.42-8.318.88-2.43.030.88-
2020/81.12.09-2.568.04-1.733.190.83-
2020/71.086.874.636.94-1.62.980.89-
2020/61.0114.086.255.86-2.672.611.01-
2020/50.8924.14-3.494.85-4.343.090.85-
2020/40.71-52.11-27.543.96-4.532.920.9-
2020/31.49107.5329.073.252.623.250.83-
2020/20.72-30.95-34.621.76-12.572.730.99-
2020/11.047.4213.971.0413.970.0N/A-
2019/120.9721.3212.6611.7314.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.032023/11.242022/10.792021/10.752020/11.04
2024/21.212023/20.952022/20.952021/20.852020/20.72
2024/30.992023/30.892022/30.872021/30.732020/31.49
2024/41.032023/41.112022/40.772021/40.772020/40.71
2024/50.962023/50.982022/50.682021/50.432020/50.89
2024/61.152023/61.132022/60.792021/60.152020/61.01
2024/71.142023/71.362022/71.122021/70.272020/71.08
2024/81.182023/81.342022/81.192021/80.592020/81.1
2024/90.982023/91.072022/90.952021/90.652020/90.84
2024/100.952023/101.122022/101.012021/100.872020/101.06
2024/110.942023/110.92022/110.882021/110.812020/110.68
N/AN/A2023/121.12022/121.042021/120.912020/120.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.02-2.86-15.0
24Q2 (19)1.05-5.41-8.7
24Q1 (18)1.11-2.63-6.72
23Q4 (17)1.14-5.0-4.2
23Q3 (16)1.24.35-2.44
23Q2 (15)1.15-3.36-1.71
23Q1 (14)1.190.04.39
22Q4 (13)1.19-3.255.31
22Q3 (12)1.235.1310.81
22Q2 (11)1.172.6312.5
22Q1 (10)1.140.8810.68
21Q4 (9)1.131.88.65
21Q3 (8)1.116.733.74
21Q2 (7)1.040.97-49.02
21Q1 (6)1.03-0.96-50.72
20Q4 (5)1.04-2.8-56.49
20Q3 (4)1.07-47.550.0
20Q2 (3)2.04-2.390.0
20Q1 (2)2.09-12.550.0
19Q4 (1)2.390.00.0

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