玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.2319.2132.4624.1820.628.76N/A-
2024/92.71-4.1411.6220.9518.988.060.87-
2024/82.8211.7441.518.2420.167.640.91-
2024/72.5310.5721.2615.4216.937.420.94-
2024/62.29-12.3811.3612.8916.116.951.06-
2024/52.6126.7817.7810.617.196.991.05-
2024/42.06-11.1819.077.9917.05.911.24-
2024/32.3250.969.155.9416.35.941.15-
2024/21.54-26.31-7.373.6221.395.911.15-
2024/12.08-8.9457.442.0857.446.571.04因113年1月營業天數較去年同期增加所致
2023/122.294.097.2524.53-11.916.921.02-
2023/112.2-9.811.7222.24-13.57.061.0-
2023/102.440.4651.1820.04-14.896.861.03主要為子公司營收增加影響
2023/92.4321.5113.9117.61-19.756.511.15-
2023/82.0-4.24-7.2215.18-23.366.131.22-
2023/72.081.54-8.813.19-25.336.351.17-
2023/62.05-7.33-12.4811.1-27.796.01.26-
2023/52.2228.17-2.139.05-30.556.071.25-
2023/41.73-18.57-35.256.83-36.525.511.37-
2023/32.1228.09-33.475.1-36.945.11.49-
2023/21.6625.25-21.582.98-39.25.111.48-
2023/11.32-37.97-52.561.32-52.565.621.35主因為112年1月營業天數較去年同期減少所致。
2022/122.13-1.27-27.1327.85-22.035.911.31-
2022/112.1634.04-27.5625.71-21.585.91.31-
2022/101.61-24.3-47.0223.55-20.985.891.31-
2022/92.13-1.04-30.9321.94-18.026.571.2-
2022/82.15-5.87-35.4819.81-16.346.781.16-
2022/72.29-2.55-33.1517.66-13.26.91.14-
2022/62.353.62-33.5715.37-9.177.281.19-
2022/52.26-15.19-23.1213.03-2.748.121.06-
2022/42.67-16.341.710.763.07.971.08-
2022/33.1951.01.188.093.438.091.09-
2022/22.11-24.23-3.314.94.957.831.12-
2022/12.79-4.7112.232.7912.238.71.01-
2021/122.93-1.85-7.135.7234.758.950.79-
2021/112.98-1.9615.8732.7940.49.110.78-
2021/103.04-1.3215.8629.8143.449.460.75-
2021/93.08-7.5514.526.7747.429.840.6-
2021/83.34-2.4746.7723.6853.1610.290.58去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2021/73.42-3.1560.4720.3554.269.90.6去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2021/63.5319.92145.7916.9353.069.10.68去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2021/52.9412.18252.0913.3939.218.720.71去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2021/42.62-16.77183.6210.4518.947.960.77去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2021/33.1544.2814.587.83-0.447.830.67-
2021/22.19-12.04-22.764.67-8.547.820.67-
2021/12.49-21.139.142.499.148.210.63-
2020/123.1522.4216.4126.51-19.58.350.56-
2020/112.57-1.965.1123.35-22.727.890.59-
2020/102.63-2.4833.7420.78-25.177.590.61-
2020/92.6918.4817.5718.15-29.657.10.8-
2020/82.276.62-15.2215.46-34.255.840.97-
2020/72.1348.32-17.413.19-36.74.41.29-
2020/61.4471.79-39.4611.06-39.433.21.99-
2020/50.84-9.63-70.599.62-39.424.511.41受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減。
2020/40.93-66.37-69.738.79-32.636.510.98受新冠肺炎疫情影響,全球需求減少,造成營收銳減
2020/32.75-2.75-23.237.86-21.267.860.73-
2020/22.8324.2910.515.11-20.167.810.74-
2020/12.28-15.88-40.642.28-40.647.430.78-
2019/122.7110.54-10.1332.93-19.830.0N/A-
2019/112.4524.72-20.7430.22-20.590.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.082023/11.322022/12.792021/12.492020/12.28
2024/21.542023/21.662022/22.112021/22.192020/22.83
2024/32.322023/32.122022/33.192021/33.152020/32.75
2024/42.062023/41.732022/42.672021/42.622020/40.93
2024/52.612023/52.222022/52.262021/52.942020/50.84
2024/62.292023/62.052022/62.352021/63.532020/61.44
2024/72.532023/72.082022/72.292021/73.422020/72.13
2024/82.822023/82.02022/82.152021/83.342020/82.27
2024/92.712023/92.432022/92.132021/93.082020/92.69
2024/103.232023/102.442022/101.612021/103.042020/102.63
N/AN/A2023/112.22022/112.162021/112.982020/112.57
N/AN/A2023/122.292022/122.132021/122.932020/123.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.180.012.5
24Q2 (19)0.1820.038.46
24Q1 (18)0.15-16.6750.0
23Q4 (17)0.1812.580.0
23Q3 (16)0.1623.0823.08
23Q2 (15)0.1330.0-18.75
23Q1 (14)0.10.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.1-23.080.0
22Q3 (12)0.13-18.7530.0
22Q2 (11)0.1660.00.0
22Q1 (10)0.10.0-37.5
21Q4 (9)0.10.0-33.33
21Q3 (8)0.1-37.5-58.33
21Q2 (7)0.160.033.33
21Q1 (6)0.166.6760.0
20Q4 (5)0.15-37.536.36
20Q3 (4)0.24100.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1220.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.1-9.090.0
19Q4 (1)0.110.00.0

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