玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.08-13.571.5161.8215.9215.56N/A-
2024/94.72-30.2416.5957.7517.0918.260.41-
2024/86.76-0.241.8153.0317.1320.220.37-
2024/76.781.499.146.2719.7719.270.39-
2024/66.6815.01-1.4739.4921.8116.350.58-
2024/55.8150.5242.4732.8127.9816.180.58-
2024/43.86-40.75-5.6627.025.2319.190.49-
2024/36.51-26.1551.9823.1432.4723.140.36客戶增加訂單
2024/28.8212.9773.1916.6326.1322.940.36客戶增加訂單
2024/17.8123.67-3.497.81-3.4919.560.43-
2023/126.3116.0714.7865.08-13.5615.770.76-
2023/115.4435.4-5.1458.77-15.7913.50.89-
2023/104.02-0.72-21.8853.33-16.7514.70.82-
2023/94.05-39.093.4249.32-16.316.90.49-
2023/86.646.89-6.0945.27-17.719.640.42-
2023/76.21-8.35-21.0838.63-19.4217.070.48-
2023/66.7866.32-8.8632.41-19.0914.950.63-
2023/54.08-0.33-15.7825.63-21.4212.450.76-
2023/44.09-4.55-10.0521.56-22.413.470.7-
2023/34.29-15.84-44.2617.47-24.8217.470.53-
2023/25.09-37.04-32.7713.18-15.2118.680.5-
2023/18.0947.091.478.091.4719.320.48-
2022/125.5-4.081.1575.330.6816.370.65-
2022/115.7311.5113.0269.833.7614.790.72-
2022/105.1431.4418.0964.0635.9916.130.66-
2022/93.91-44.7-32.5958.9237.8118.860.55-
2022/87.07-10.1648.8955.0148.8722.390.47-
2022/77.875.8331.6547.9448.8720.150.52-
2022/67.4453.7112.540.0652.816.830.65產地去年因為疫情封城影響生產及出口, 今年已無此狀況, 恢復正常生產及出口
2022/54.846.44163.5432.6243.617.080.64本公司111年5月營收較去年同期成長超過50%以上,主因客戶需求增加所致。
2022/44.55-40.8518.1927.7833.0519.810.55-
2022/37.691.526.0323.2436.423.240.42-
2022/27.58-4.9757.5215.5542.1920.980.47因美國疫情減緩, 服飾採購需求大增, 客人積極下單
2022/17.9746.6330.167.9730.1618.480.53-
2021/125.447.179.2357.62-3.5214.860.82-
2021/115.0716.5123.652.18-4.6815.230.8-
2021/104.35-24.9731.9647.11-6.9714.910.82-
2021/95.822.15-0.1942.75-9.6916.530.47-
2021/84.75-20.56-17.8236.95-11.0114.230.55-
2021/75.9870.8212.8132.2-9.9111.320.69-
2021/63.590.61-28.5926.22-13.879.180.89-
2021/51.84-52.26-31.0822.72-11.0511.780.69-
2021/43.85-36.9325.4520.88-8.7114.760.55-
2021/36.126.8616.5117.03-14.0117.030.31-
2021/24.81-21.48-26.110.93-24.9715.910.34-
2021/16.1223.05-24.066.12-24.0615.210.35-
2020/124.9821.27-27.5959.72-22.0912.380.63-
2020/114.124.39-27.354.74-21.5413.220.59-
2020/103.3-43.25-6.8450.64-21.0414.890.52-
2020/95.810.57-10.6147.34-21.8716.90.39-
2020/85.789.05-25.241.53-23.2215.990.41-
2020/75.38.12-31.3735.75-22.8912.870.51-
2020/64.983.96-24.5430.44-21.1910.630.9-
2020/52.67-13.09-62.2125.54-20.5210.970.88受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/43.07-41.43-21.6722.88-8.7914.810.65-
2020/35.24-19.53-29.7519.81-6.4119.810.43-
2020/26.51-19.314.1714.576.2721.450.4-
2020/18.0717.338.038.078.0320.580.41-
2019/126.8721.76-1.8776.65-7.930.0N/A-
2019/115.6559.394.5969.78-8.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.812023/18.092022/17.972021/16.122020/18.07
2024/28.822023/25.092022/27.582021/24.812020/26.51
2024/36.512023/34.292022/37.692021/36.12020/35.24
2024/43.862023/44.092022/44.552021/43.852020/43.07
2024/55.812023/54.082022/54.842021/51.842020/52.67
2024/66.682023/66.782022/67.442021/63.52020/64.9
2024/76.782023/76.212022/77.872021/75.982020/75.3
2024/86.762023/86.642022/87.072021/84.752020/85.78
2024/94.722023/94.052022/93.912021/95.82020/95.81
2024/104.082023/104.022022/105.142021/104.352020/103.3
N/AN/A2023/115.442022/115.732021/115.072020/114.1
N/AN/A2023/126.312022/125.52021/125.442020/124.98
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.27%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.04-33.33-20.0
24Q2 (19)0.06100.0-72.73
24Q1 (18)0.03-40.0-81.25
23Q4 (17)0.050.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.05-77.27-28.57
23Q2 (15)0.2237.5144.44
23Q1 (14)0.16220.045.45
22Q4 (13)0.05-28.57-44.44
22Q3 (12)0.07-22.22-53.33
22Q2 (11)0.09-18.18-79.07
22Q1 (10)0.1122.220.0
21Q4 (9)0.09-40.012.5
21Q3 (8)0.15-65.12-40.0
21Q2 (7)0.43290.91377.78
21Q1 (6)0.1137.557.14
20Q4 (5)0.08-68.0700.0
20Q3 (4)0.25177.780.0
20Q2 (3)0.0928.570.0
20Q1 (2)0.07600.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.010.00.0

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