玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4430.910.01.7518.2412.963.32-23.450.0252.04-15.18-11.3316.86-16.78-23.4398.50-20.44-1.48
24Q2 (19)1.10-29.94-16.031.48-19.5712.1282.7243.0419.061.3523.81-11.120.2614.27-10.35123.8138.126.81
24Q1 (18)1.5718.944.671.8444.8827.7857.83-16.26-4.449.55-30.89-21.3417.73-36.313.9389.64-20.62-15.77
23Q4 (17)1.32-8.330.01.27-18.06-0.7869.069.080.5171.7022.171.0327.8426.4336.34112.9212.94-5.32
23Q3 (16)1.449.92-2.041.5517.424.0363.31-8.922.5458.69-14.95-3.7422.02-2.570.5599.98-13.75-0.82
23Q2 (15)1.31-12.6722.431.32-8.33-3.6569.5114.91-17.9269.019.563.622.6032.47-9.16115.928.93-8.31
23Q1 (14)1.5013.64-3.231.4412.5-18.6460.49-11.962.7362.99-11.2422.8417.06-16.45-2.63106.42-10.7714.87
22Q4 (13)1.32-10.2-0.751.28-14.090.068.7111.290.7570.9716.40.0720.42-6.76-16.79119.2618.34.08
22Q3 (12)1.4737.38-19.671.498.76-16.7661.74-27.124.360.97-8.4719.6421.90-11.988.52100.81-20.2625.32
22Q2 (11)1.07-30.9725.881.37-22.69.684.6943.83-20.9866.6129.89-8.1424.8842.01-8.73126.4236.46-17.05
22Q1 (10)1.5516.5412.321.7738.28-18.4358.88-13.67-10.7351.28-27.6922.0117.52-28.611.3392.64-19.152.14
21Q4 (9)1.33-27.3233.01.28-28.49-18.9968.2037.31-25.1770.9239.1723.3424.5421.61-9.71114.5842.44-5.67
21Q3 (8)1.83115.2953.781.7943.2-2.1949.67-53.65-34.8250.96-29.722.7420.18-25.97-6.6680.44-47.22-22.79
21Q2 (7)0.85-38.4113.331.25-42.416.82107.1762.48-11.5872.5172.52-15.1327.2657.66-11.23152.4168.04-13.37
21Q1 (6)1.3838.0-9.212.1737.3419.8965.96-27.6310.0342.03-26.9-16.1717.29-36.3910.0690.70-25.33-3.9
20Q4 (5)1.00-15.97-20.631.58-13.66-1.8691.1419.6126.1157.5015.931.7327.1825.7255.23121.4716.69.16
20Q3 (4)1.1958.670.01.8371.030.076.20-37.130.049.60-41.950.021.62-29.60.0104.18-40.780.0
20Q2 (3)0.75-50.660.01.07-40.880.0121.20102.170.085.4470.40.030.7195.480.0175.9386.410.0
20Q1 (2)1.5220.630.01.8112.420.059.95-17.050.050.14-11.290.015.71-10.280.094.38-15.190.0
19Q4 (1)1.260.00.01.610.00.072.270.00.056.520.00.017.510.00.0111.280.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.49-15.024.70-14.8666.4917.7277.6717.3822.0430.11122.1215.52
2022 (9)6.4621.895.5210.6256.48-18.066.17-9.4616.94-33.44105.71-9.27
2021 (8)5.30-2.934.99-14.4168.882.9673.0816.7225.4516.1116.518.29
2020 (7)5.46-10.495.83-12.7266.9011.862.6114.6521.9223.7107.5911.24
2019 (6)6.10-2.566.68-8.4959.842.6854.619.217.72-15.7496.7210.83
2018 (5)6.261.297.302.3858.28-1.3250.01-2.3221.03-13.4687.271.52
2017 (4)6.18-4.487.1310.259.064.751.20-9.2824.30-3.2685.96-2.03
2016 (3)6.47-0.616.4727.3656.410.5356.44-21.4625.120.6887.74-14.83
2015 (2)6.51-4.695.0837.356.114.9671.86-27.1324.95-4.99103.02-18.11
2014 (1)6.83-3.123.7025.4253.463.3298.61-20.4126.26-19.6125.80-12.02

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