玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.9916.589.3831.09-1.910.51N/A-
2024/93.4310.9418.0627.09-3.379.541.51-
2024/83.092.03-9.223.67-5.859.281.55-
2024/73.03-4.34-2.4820.58-5.329.351.54-
2024/63.160.21-3.117.55-5.799.841.45-
2024/53.16-10.385.2214.39-6.379.771.46-
2024/43.5214.045.0811.23-9.188.571.66-
2024/33.0958.07-17.797.71-14.497.711.92-
2024/21.95-26.7-19.524.62-12.138.91.66-
2024/12.67-37.72-5.782.67-5.789.841.5-
2023/124.2847.8513.8138.871.8810.831.27-
2023/112.9-20.7-26.5634.590.589.451.46-
2023/103.6525.8311.6931.694.099.951.38-
2023/92.9-14.68-1.8828.043.189.411.76-
2023/83.49.5818.5225.143.89.771.69-
2023/73.1-4.958.0521.741.829.371.77-
2023/63.278.83-17.9518.630.859.621.62-
2023/53.0-10.49-2.4715.376.0210.111.54-
2023/43.35-10.78-3.0612.378.319.541.64-
2023/33.7654.733.769.0213.259.021.73-
2023/22.43-14.1721.845.2621.189.021.73-
2023/12.83-24.7720.612.8320.6110.531.48-
2022/123.76-4.590.8638.156.9310.971.41-
2022/113.9420.5937.9734.397.6410.171.52-
2022/103.2710.5418.4630.444.669.11.7-
2022/92.963.05-6.8727.173.218.71.76-
2022/82.87-0.09-22.2324.224.69.721.58-
2022/72.87-27.83-7.3821.359.699.931.55-
2022/63.9829.3741.3318.4812.9310.521.33-
2022/53.08-11.030.0514.57.0210.161.38-
2022/43.46-4.4920.4411.429.079.071.54-
2022/33.6281.695.017.964.777.961.81-
2022/21.99-15.040.54.344.568.071.78-
2022/12.35-37.098.282.358.288.931.61-
2021/123.7330.5116.2135.6710.829.351.39-
2021/112.863.5420.7831.9410.228.791.48-
2021/102.76-13.113.3129.099.289.631.35-
2021/93.18-13.949.1926.338.889.971.23-
2021/83.6918.9731.0523.158.849.611.27-
2021/73.110.1324.7319.465.458.991.36-
2021/62.82-8.412.7416.362.448.761.32-
2021/53.077.0845.5313.542.389.391.24-
2021/42.87-16.725.2910.47-5.818.31.4-
2021/33.4573.895.817.6-9.427.61.52-
2021/21.98-8.46-29.624.15-19.17.361.57-
2021/12.17-32.48-6.282.17-6.287.741.49-
2020/123.2135.64-20.4932.19-22.728.011.41-
2020/112.37-2.85-39.3428.98-22.967.711.47-
2020/102.44-16.26-40.6626.61-21.078.161.38-
2020/92.913.29-26.324.18-18.358.211.58-
2020/82.8213.24-13.2421.27-17.138.041.61-
2020/72.49-9.28-20.0818.46-17.77.341.77-
2020/62.7429.73-17.9415.97-17.317.581.83-
2020/52.11-22.51-37.013.23-17.188.11.72-
2020/42.73-16.32-15.3211.12-11.918.81.58-
2020/33.2615.65-3.938.39-10.758.391.67-
2020/22.8221.887.945.13-14.69.171.53-
2020/12.31-42.72-31.932.31-31.9310.251.37-
2019/124.043.485.7141.66-14.750.0N/A-
2019/113.9-4.972.2937.62-16.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.672023/12.832022/12.352021/12.172020/12.31
2024/21.952023/22.432022/21.992021/21.982020/22.82
2024/33.092023/33.762022/33.622021/33.452020/33.26
2024/43.522023/43.352022/43.462021/42.872020/42.73
2024/53.162023/53.02022/53.082021/53.072020/52.11
2024/63.162023/63.272022/63.982021/62.822020/62.74
2024/73.032023/73.12022/72.872021/73.12020/72.49
2024/83.092023/83.42022/82.872021/83.692020/82.82
2024/93.432023/92.92022/92.962021/93.182020/92.91
2024/103.992023/103.652022/103.272021/102.762020/102.44
N/AN/A2023/112.92022/113.942021/112.862020/112.37
N/AN/A2023/124.282022/123.762021/123.732020/123.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.370.85-24.52
24Q2 (19)2.35-12.31-10.98
24Q1 (18)2.688.59.84
23Q4 (17)2.47-21.3413.82
23Q3 (16)3.1418.9410.95
23Q2 (15)2.648.2-8.97
23Q1 (14)2.4412.44-17.85
22Q4 (13)2.17-23.32-7.26
22Q3 (12)2.83-2.41-15.52
22Q2 (11)2.9-2.36-7.94
22Q1 (10)2.9726.9234.39
21Q4 (9)2.34-30.1550.97
21Q3 (8)3.356.3583.06
21Q2 (7)3.1542.53129.93
21Q1 (6)2.2142.58-2.64
20Q4 (5)1.55-15.3-20.1
20Q3 (4)1.8333.580.0
20Q2 (3)1.37-39.650.0
20Q1 (2)2.2717.010.0
19Q4 (1)1.940.00.0

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