玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.9311.015.738.892.222.76N/A-
2024/90.84-15.34-5.397.961.822.910.51-
2024/80.99-8.315.157.132.753.040.49-
2024/71.0810.9215.616.140.992.910.51-
2024/60.9713.37-0.335.06-1.652.630.56-
2024/50.867.48-11.64.09-1.962.460.59-
2024/40.8-0.47-2.393.230.962.150.68-
2024/30.845.87-7.262.432.112.430.63-
2024/20.55-48.95-18.851.637.472.760.55-
2024/11.08-4.9428.811.0828.813.030.5-
2023/121.1338.41-8.5410.6521.892.830.55-
2023/110.82-6.9-31.589.5226.922.580.6-
2023/100.88-0.67-19.348.738.032.620.59-
2023/90.893.04-5.857.8250.032.680.63111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/80.86-7.9423.456.9462.332.770.61111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/70.93-4.3745.416.0869.892.880.59111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/60.980.55129.225.1475.252.760.6111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/50.9718.68234.954.1766.092.650.63111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/40.82-5.4459.733.244.042.360.7111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/30.8627.6581.472.3839.342.380.73111年9月起韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2023/20.68-18.9621.711.5123.022.750.63-
2023/10.84-32.524.090.8424.093.270.53-
2022/121.243.5461.568.74-25.43.530.51111年度韻智公司納入合併報表,使合併營收增加。
2022/111.29.7440.787.5-31.493.230.56-
2022/101.0915.9324.36.3-37.572.730.66-
2022/90.9435.127.05.21-43.462.280.89-
2022/80.78.42-34.764.27-48.771.761.15-
2022/70.6450.74-47.373.58-50.831.361.49因客戶庫存尚未去化,導致訂單量減少。
2022/60.4346.93-62.212.93-51.531.231.47因客戶庫存尚未去化,導致訂單量減少。
2022/50.29-43.4-73.462.51-49.081.281.42因客戶庫存尚未去化,導致訂單量減少。
2022/40.517.42-56.542.22-42.141.551.17因客戶庫存尚未去化,導致訂單量減少。
2022/30.48-14.38-45.821.71-35.761.711.0-
2022/20.56-17.38-19.441.23-30.792.00.86-
2022/10.67-12.13-38.00.67-38.02.290.75-
2021/120.77-9.76-17.7311.7134.862.490.71-
2021/110.85-3.1-15.9510.9541.182.610.68-
2021/100.88-0.21.1310.149.752.820.63-
2021/90.88-17.620.349.2256.933.170.6因運動風氣興盛,客戶訂單暢旺。
2021/81.07-12.5136.168.3466.853.410.56因運動風氣興盛,客戶訂單暢旺。
2021/71.228.2155.757.2772.553.440.56因運動風氣興盛,客戶訂單暢旺。
2021/61.133.2169.26.0676.383.40.51因運動風氣興盛,客戶訂單暢旺。
2021/51.09-7.3280.824.9378.113.150.55新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/41.1833.9293.433.8477.362.750.63新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/30.8827.2946.192.6671.062.660.68新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/20.69-36.4132.81.7886.772.710.67新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/11.0916.58151.871.09151.873.030.61.109年1月為春節假期,故基期較低。 2.新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增。
2020/120.93-7.8126.748.696.642.810.57-
2020/111.0116.5952.657.754.642.750.58新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/100.87-0.9718.676.74-0.062.530.63-
2020/90.8811.7715.345.88-2.342.440.63-
2020/80.780.0613.35.0-4.892.230.69-
2020/70.7817.5611.024.22-7.652.050.75-
2020/60.6710.34.933.43-11.061.880.75-
2020/50.6-0.86-8.052.77-14.211.810.77-
2020/40.611.22-11.352.16-15.791.730.81-
2020/30.615.63-18.781.55-17.411.550.81-
2020/20.5220.628.760.95-16.521.690.75-
2020/10.43-41.33-41.380.43-41.381.830.69-
2019/120.7411.039.68.151.640.0N/A-
2019/110.66-9.35-15.727.410.910.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.082023/10.842022/10.672021/11.092020/10.43
2024/20.552023/20.682022/20.562021/20.692020/20.52
2024/30.82023/30.862022/30.482021/30.882020/30.6
2024/40.82023/40.822022/40.512021/41.182020/40.61
2024/50.862023/50.972022/50.292021/51.092020/50.6
2024/60.972023/60.982022/60.432021/61.132020/60.67
2024/71.082023/70.932022/70.642021/71.222020/70.78
2024/80.992023/80.862022/80.72021/81.072020/80.78
2024/90.842023/90.892022/90.942021/90.882020/90.88
2024/100.932023/100.882022/101.092021/100.882020/100.87
N/AN/A2023/110.822022/111.22021/110.852020/111.01
N/AN/A2023/121.132022/121.242021/120.772020/120.93
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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