玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/117.924.29-7.7462.73-9.9719.96N/A-
2024/106.3511.15-8.7254.83-10.2817.63N/A-
2024/95.722.71-2.3848.48-10.4815.861.51-
2024/85.5621.37-2.5342.76-11.4614.81.62-
2024/74.58-1.35-10.9537.2-12.6614.611.64-
2024/64.65-13.6112.4432.61-12.8914.941.67-
2024/55.389.5-3.7327.97-16.0415.611.6-
2024/44.91-7.55-9.5922.59-18.5216.241.54-
2024/35.32-11.55-20.017.67-20.717.671.33-
2024/26.01-5.35-22.3112.36-20.9920.551.15-
2024/16.35-22.44-19.76.35-19.723.091.02-
2023/128.19-4.3510.1277.869.2323.711.04-
2023/118.5622.971.8269.689.1221.371.16-
2023/106.9618.8734.461.1210.2318.521.34-
2023/95.852.5519.2254.167.7416.711.73-
2023/85.7110.8827.0248.36.514.991.93-
2023/75.1524.5614.8742.594.2414.871.95-
2023/64.13-26.05-1.6137.442.9315.161.8-
2023/55.592.8312.9633.313.5217.671.54-
2023/45.43-18.217.2227.721.8119.811.38-
2023/36.64-14.09-19.0522.29-1.3422.291.17-
2023/27.74-2.188.6515.648.7623.081.13-
2023/17.916.388.867.918.8623.751.1-
2022/127.43-11.55-21.1271.28-39.3121.021.42-
2022/118.4162.312.5463.85-40.8918.491.62-
2022/105.185.44-44.7755.44-44.4614.582.05-
2022/94.919.26-45.1350.26-44.4313.892.14-
2022/84.490.28-42.8945.35-44.3513.182.25-
2022/74.486.67-40.3340.86-44.5113.632.18-
2022/64.2-15.09-48.7436.38-44.9813.782.03-
2022/54.956.72-48.4532.18-44.4517.791.57-
2022/44.64-43.52-53.8527.23-43.6619.961.4去年受疫情影響帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2022/38.2115.31-35.6522.59-40.9922.591.33-
2022/27.12-1.99-41.1114.38-43.6523.811.27-
2022/17.26-22.92-45.947.26-45.9424.881.21-
2021/129.4214.97-53.01117.45-10.3727.01.31去年受疫情影響帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/118.2-12.57-52.31108.03-2.6726.521.33去年受疫情影響帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2021/109.384.75-45.2299.836.4226.21.35-
2021/98.9513.72-36.690.4617.9524.331.5-
2021/87.874.76-29.4181.5130.2623.581.55-
2021/77.51-8.34-27.9473.6443.225.311.45-
2021/68.2-14.61-9.3266.1361.2927.841.29各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2021/59.6-4.4617.1857.9381.2632.41.11各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2021/410.05-21.2529.9348.33103.3434.891.03各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2021/312.765.5465.9838.29138.7438.290.92各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2021/212.09-10.03201.8625.53205.7345.590.77各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2021/113.44-33.01209.2913.44209.2950.690.69各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2020/1220.0616.69241.87131.06124.3454.370.58各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2020/1117.190.42227.02111.0111.2248.430.65各品牌產品與電商通路銷售持續暢旺
2020/1017.1221.24205.4193.8198.3542.380.74新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/914.1226.63181.6776.6983.9535.690.75新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/811.156.94158.962.5770.630.610.87新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/710.4215.32197.5651.4255.7627.650.97新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/69.0410.35198.8441.042.0324.960.65新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/58.195.93134.2631.9623.6723.610.69新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/47.730.5870.7323.776.3719.420.84新冠肺炎疫情帶動家用健身器材需求激增
2020/37.6991.9433.5916.04-9.9816.040.7-
2020/24.0-7.81-12.798.35-30.7714.220.79-
2020/14.34-25.95-41.834.34-41.830.0N/A-
2019/125.8711.62-6.4158.425.770.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.352023/17.912022/17.262021/113.442020/14.34
2024/26.012023/27.742022/27.122021/212.092020/24.0
2024/35.322023/36.642022/38.212021/312.762020/37.69
2024/44.912023/45.432022/44.642021/410.052020/47.73
2024/55.382023/55.592022/54.952021/59.62020/58.19
2024/64.652023/64.132022/64.22021/68.22020/69.04
2024/74.582023/75.152022/74.482021/77.512020/710.42
2024/85.562023/85.712022/84.492021/87.872020/811.15
2024/95.722023/95.852022/94.912021/98.952020/914.12
2024/106.352023/106.962022/105.182021/109.382020/1017.12
2024/117.92023/118.562022/118.412021/118.22020/1117.19
N/AN/A2023/128.192022/127.432021/129.422020/1220.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.81-46.71-56.91
24Q2 (19)1.523.4-11.11
24Q1 (18)1.470.68-8.7
23Q4 (17)1.46-22.34-17.98
23Q3 (16)1.889.94526.67
23Q2 (15)1.716.21643.48
23Q1 (14)1.61-9.551241.67
22Q4 (13)1.78493.33747.62
22Q3 (12)0.330.43-6.25
22Q2 (11)0.2391.67-52.08
22Q1 (10)0.12-42.86-81.25
21Q4 (9)0.21-34.38-72.0
21Q3 (8)0.32-33.33-11.11
21Q2 (7)0.48-25.0-71.76
21Q1 (6)0.64-14.67481.82
20Q4 (5)0.75108.33837.5
20Q3 (4)0.36-78.820.0
20Q2 (3)1.71445.450.0
20Q1 (2)0.1137.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.080.00.0

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