玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)859-2.05-2.050.06200.0135.290.1250.0185.710.10150.0-78.2665.340.5724.016.2121.2920800.01.46508.33131.00.70242.86113.860.96540.0138.710.52246.67134.90.69211.29113.220.70242.86113.8613.3083.3411.37
24Q2 (19)8770.00.00.02-33.33122.220.08-27.27366.670.0433.33-93.6564.9726.0324.045.1216.63135.940.24151.06108.89-0.4950.087.990.15162.5110.560.15-34.78119.74-0.6266.383.24-0.4950.087.9913.7042.71128.03
24Q1 (18)8770.00.00.03118.75-95.830.11283.33466.670.03-90.0-95.8351.551.36-1.344.39153.7667.56-0.4785.0381.2-0.9879.37-110.3-0.2485.081.680.23116.43-96.35-1.8462.37-118.44-0.9879.37-110.3-1.0662.31170.23
23Q4 (17)8770.00.0-0.165.88-125.0-0.0657.1480.00.30-34.78650.050.86-3.47-0.681.735866.67426.42-3.1433.3340.87-4.755.94-162.09-1.635.4841.18-1.46.04-125.09-4.896.32-146.0-4.755.94-162.09-1.44-41.51-154.77
23Q3 (16)8770.00.0-0.17-88.8941.38-0.14-366.670.00.46-26.98177.9752.690.597.18-0.03-101.3899.03-4.71-74.4445.17-5.05-23.7750.59-2.48-74.6541.23-1.49-96.0542.25-5.22-41.0854.41-5.05-23.7750.590.42-100.69-183.34
23Q2 (15)8770.00.0-0.09-112.557.14-0.030.050.00.63-12.5310.052.380.25-5.092.17-17.18323.71-2.70-8.054.55-4.08-142.946.25-1.42-8.456.71-0.76-112.0659.57-3.70-137.0756.32-4.08-142.946.251.14-50.0045.00
23Q1 (14)8770.00.00.7212.51000.0-0.0390.0-133.330.721700.01000.052.252.03-19.922.62594.34-4.03-2.5052.92-19.629.5124.31338.94-1.3151.843.686.312.9963.019.98-6.11325.289.5124.31338.943.10166.59-12.15
22Q4 (13)8770.00.460.64320.69814.29-0.30-114.29-196.770.04106.78-96.1251.214.17-22.97-0.5382.85-107.2-5.3138.18-280.617.65174.855200.0-2.7235.55-239.495.58316.28771.8810.63192.849763.647.65174.855200.0-3.38141.29-123.81
22Q3 (12)8770.00.57-0.29-38.1-211.54-0.14-133.33-137.84-0.59-96.67-161.4649.16-10.93-29.6-3.09-218.56-132.73-8.59-44.61-258.49-10.22-34.65-384.68-4.22-28.66-211.64-2.58-37.23-212.66-11.45-35.18-373.27-10.22-34.65-384.68-13.18-100.30-150.00
22Q2 (11)8770.00.57-0.21-162.5-520.0-0.06-166.67-121.43-0.30-275.0-142.8655.19-15.42-24.14-0.97-135.53-113.74-5.94-184.21-280.55-7.59-90.7-1559.62-3.28-141.18-237.24-1.88-157.53-500.0-8.47-91.2-1560.34-7.59-90.7-1559.62-8.63-188.39-118.82
22Q1 (10)8770.460.57-0.08-214.29-112.50.09-70.97-35.71-0.08-107.77-112.565.25-1.85-0.762.73-62.91-79.82-2.09-171.09-122.57-3.98-2553.33-128.8-1.36-169.74-122.33-0.73-214.06-113.06-4.43-3927.27-127.81-3.98-2553.33-128.8-3.33-143.69-43.59
21Q4 (9)8730.110.110.07-73.08112.960.31-16.22196.881.037.29184.4366.48-4.825.087.36-22.03443.932.94-45.76141.53-0.15-104.1898.921.95-48.41151.860.64-72.05113.47-0.11-102.6398.99-0.15-104.1898.92-4.40173.467.96
21Q3 (8)8720.00.00.26420.0230.00.3732.1400.9637.14241.1869.83-4.0164.469.4433.71122.645.4264.74510.613.59590.38164.453.7858.16775.02.29387.23234.714.19622.41178.033.59590.38164.453.32163.9166.07
21Q2 (7)8720.01.870.05-92.19129.410.28100.0366.670.709.37245.8372.7510.6548.747.06-47.82-10.753.29-64.4716.250.52-96.24122.322.39-60.7673.190.47-91.59132.190.58-96.36147.930.52-96.24122.3217.1863.17121.88
21Q1 (6)8720.00.00.64218.52306.450.14143.751300.00.64152.46306.4565.7523.7152.4813.53732.24802.09.26230.79346.9313.82199.35256.166.09261.97475.935.59217.68304.0115.93246.28255.7213.82199.35256.1624.4524.2671.88
20Q4 (5)8720.00.0-0.54-170.0-980.0-0.320-77.78-1.22-79.41-3150.053.1525.1830.46-2.14-150.4781.46-7.08-436.3660.91-13.91-149.73-240.1-3.76-571.4349.05-4.75-179.41-1030.95-10.89-102.7928.87-13.91-149.73-240.1--0.00
20Q3 (4)8721.870.0-0.20-17.650.00.00-100.00.0-0.68-41.670.042.46-13.190.04.24-46.40.0-1.32-146.640.0-5.57-139.060.0-0.56-140.580.0-1.7-16.440.0-5.37-343.80.0-5.57-139.060.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)856-1.830.0-0.1745.160.00.06500.00.0-0.48-54.840.048.9113.430.07.91427.330.02.83175.470.0-2.3373.670.01.38185.190.0-1.4646.720.0-1.2188.170.0-2.3373.670.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)8720.00.0-0.31-520.00.00.01105.560.0-0.31-875.00.043.125.840.01.50113.00.0-3.7579.290.0-8.85-116.380.0-1.6278.050.0-2.74-552.380.0-10.2333.180.0-8.85-116.380.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)8720.00.0-0.050.00.0-0.180.00.00.040.00.040.740.00.0-11.540.00.0-18.110.00.0-4.090.00.0-7.380.00.0-0.420.00.0-15.310.00.0-4.090.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1119.6331.0810.88216.4613.7755.33N/A
2024/1014.97-27.74-1.74196.8414.0756.81N/A
2024/920.72-1.8317.42181.8615.665.340.25
2024/821.11-10.1818.17161.1415.3766.540.24
2024/723.517.2536.86140.0214.9667.710.24
2024/621.92-1.6543.79116.5211.3664.970.23
2024/522.297.3219.1994.65.8357.580.26
2024/420.7642.8812.6272.312.351.20.29
2024/314.53-8.64-18.3451.55-1.3351.550.28
2024/215.91-24.64-16.2937.027.4554.930.26
2024/121.1117.8336.6921.1136.6956.730.25
2023/1217.921.213.26208.17-5.7250.860.27
2023/1117.716.140.1190.25-7.1950.590.28
2023/1015.24-13.64-13.91172.55-7.8750.750.28
2023/917.65-1.2-9.15157.31-7.2452.690.25
2023/817.874.01-3.54139.66-7.050.280.26
2023/717.1712.6853.19121.8-7.4851.110.26因去年同期揚州子公司歲修銷量減少,同比基期較低,致使2023年7月合併公司主要產品乙二醇銷量較去年同期增加57%
2023/615.24-18.483.36104.62-13.1352.380.24
2023/518.71.415.2389.38-15.4354.930.23
2023/418.443.58-18.7170.68-19.6155.240.23
2023/317.8-6.34-18.3352.25-19.9352.250.21
2023/219.023.05-18.6434.45-20.7350.270.22
2023/115.44-2.36-23.1515.44-23.1548.940.22
2022/1215.82-10.54-21.93220.81-19.6551.210.25
2022/1117.68-0.12-15.5204.99-19.4654.820.23
2022/1017.71-8.86-29.99187.31-19.8255.650.23
2022/919.434.89-10.61169.61-18.5949.160.26
2022/818.5265.2-21.87150.18-19.5144.480.28主要係揚州子公司2022年7月底結束歲修致合併公司主要產品乙二醇之8月銷量較7月增加69%。
2022/711.21-23.96-54.03131.66-19.1743.720.29主要係揚州子公司2022年7月歲修致主要產品乙二醇之銷量減少55%。
2022/614.74-17.01-32.91120.45-13.0355.190.29
2022/517.77-21.66-28.25105.7-9.2862.240.26
2022/422.684.07-12.887.93-4.1767.840.24
2022/321.79-6.7-19.565.25-0.7565.250.23
2022/223.3616.2325.8443.4612.3763.720.24
2022/120.1-0.81-0.0720.1-0.0761.290.25
2021/1220.26-3.1719.12274.8246.4666.480.21
2021/1120.93-17.2614.1254.5549.1967.950.21
2021/1025.2916.3742.1233.6353.4170.730.2主要係2021年1~10月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加49%所致。
2021/921.73-8.3232.54208.3454.9169.830.152021年1~9月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加48%所致。
2021/823.71-2.882.35186.658.0270.080.152021年8月及1~8月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價分別增加57%及48%所致。
2021/724.3910.9886.72162.8955.0171.130.152021年7月及1~7月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價分別增加67%及48%所致。
2021/621.98-11.2436.15138.550.572.750.172021年1~6月合併公司主要產品之單價上漲45%所致
2021/524.76-4.837.76116.5253.5677.850.162021年1~5月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加43%所致。
2021/426.01-3.9175.9191.7658.4671.650.172021年4月/1~4月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加31%/39%,銷量增加16%/11%所致。
2021/327.0745.8587.465.7552.4865.750.22主要係:1.去年3月東聯公司歲修致產量減少,2021年3月合併公司產品銷量增加24% 2.主要產品乙二醇3月之單價增加58%
2021/218.56-7.725.7838.6734.8855.680.26
2021/120.1118.2444.5420.1144.5455.460.26
2020/1217.01-7.2652.47187.63-16.0153.150.19主要係揚州子公司2019年12月停車檢修,致12月該子公司主要產品乙二醇銷量較去年同期增加84%
2020/1118.343.0410.45170.62-19.6152.540.19
2020/1017.88.5437.09152.28-22.1647.20.21
2020/916.426.1116.98134.48-26.3742.460.3
2020/813.0-0.46-28.11118.09-29.9842.210.3
2020/713.06-19.07-40.27105.09-30.247.180.27
2020/616.14-10.2-16.1792.02-28.4948.910.17
2020/517.9821.55-15.6775.88-30.6647.210.17
2020/414.792.36-33.1657.91-34.2943.990.19
2020/314.45-2.1-39.8843.12-34.6643.120.32
2020/214.766.06-21.1828.67-31.6839.830.35
2020/113.9124.73-40.1313.91-40.130.0N/A
2019/1211.15-32.82-56.18223.41-30.430.0N/A係主要產品乙二醇12月之單價較去年同期下跌21%,銷量減少53%所致
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)8770.00.30650.0-0.250208.17-5.721.620-3.270-1.080-6.80-1.9602.66582.05
2022 (9)8770.460.04-96.12-0.400220.81-19.65-0.250-5.240-3.580-11.580-7.7500.39-95.67
2021 (8)8730.111.0301.100274.8246.479.29236.595.1704.32014.22013.7509.00
2020 (7)8720.0-1.220-0.250187.63-16.022.760-2.430-7.840-4.560-13.070-10.650
2019 (6)8720.00.04-98.0-0.360223.41-30.44-0.100-4.520-1.140-10.110-6.6800.34-98.06
2018 (5)8720.02.000.02.18-14.51321.1611.0513.39-12.8810.27-15.197.43-10.3732.99-5.831.84.0217.510.11
2017 (4)8720.02.0002.55608.33289.248.0715.37214.3112.111605.638.29035.022419.4230.57017.490
2016 (3)8720.0-0.6400.36-59.09195.3140.274.89-49.950.71-81.51-3.3101.39-74.02-7.30-5.620
2015 (2)8720.0-0.1400.8862.96139.24-1.439.7718.423.8440.15-2.2605.3538.6-3.450-1.20
2014 (1)8720.00.13-91.030.54-65.82141.26-8.478.2502.7400.4503.86-76.30.44-97.141.17-90.75

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