玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1045.31-3.3733.35349.421.55132.89N/A-
2024/946.8915.2129.96304.1219.97120.761.06-
2024/840.722.6723.87257.1818.37113.241.14-
2024/733.17-15.7319.82216.5117.41105.551.22-
2024/639.3719.325.22183.2416.92103.031.13-
2024/533.07.647.22143.9614.9696.061.21-
2024/430.66-5.3927.24110.9217.4487.781.33-
2024/332.431.112.2579.7313.3379.81.21-
2024/224.728.9918.1747.4914.33103.660.93-
2024/122.68-59.699.9422.689.94116.450.83-
2023/1256.2650.021.37381.213.4127.550.71-
2023/1137.5111.020.39324.9611.71107.160.84-
2023/1033.78-5.824.58287.2613.3102.420.88-
2023/935.879.489.54253.1314.3496.281.14-
2023/832.7618.518.6217.1715.1291.731.2-
2023/727.65-11.7137.61184.3614.589.991.22-
2023/631.320.9443.6156.5411.0286.431.2-
2023/531.0228.7838.03125.475.2683.91.23-
2023/424.09-16.3112.3194.44-2.3473.751.4-
2023/328.7837.8711.970.32-6.5670.391.61-
2023/220.880.73-12.1541.51-16.2588.731.28-
2023/120.72-56.02-19.6620.72-19.66105.241.08-
2022/1247.1326.0412.32338.3510.12117.041.01-
2022/1137.3914.9537.96291.19.73102.681.15-
2022/1032.52-0.7516.98253.756.5392.751.27-
2022/932.7719.3713.44221.45.2680.191.62-
2022/827.4537.4920.24188.463.8668.921.89-
2022/719.97-7.15-2.13160.881.4263.722.04-
2022/621.5-3.36-5.16140.71.6865.141.73-
2022/522.254.089.25118.982.8369.431.63-
2022/421.38-17.12-5.5296.651.3870.941.59-
2022/325.88.590.2875.233.7375.391.55-
2022/223.76-8.038.9849.425.6191.51.28-
2022/125.83-38.363.3225.833.3294.871.23-
2021/1241.9154.556.77307.28.2996.91.2-
2021/1127.12-2.69-8.55265.39.0783.881.39-
2021/1027.87-3.542.58238.211.5379.521.47-
2021/928.8926.95-5.95210.3412.8372.091.49-
2021/822.7611.371.52181.3716.4465.881.63-
2021/720.43-9.93-5.88158.6518.9763.481.69-
2021/622.6911.446.08138.3823.9565.641.49-
2021/520.36-9.9110.78115.6828.1168.811.42-
2021/422.6-12.5936.3195.2932.4970.141.4-
2021/325.8519.2213.6672.6531.2772.491.26-
2021/221.68-13.135.1246.6945.0286.011.06-
2021/124.96-36.6154.5824.9654.5894.130.97居家健身風潮興起, 家用健身器材銷售大幅成長
2020/1239.3732.1113.12282.7611.4496.320.82-
2020/1129.89.7420.92243.3711.5387.620.91-
2020/1027.15-11.4520.99213.5610.3380.20.99-
2020/930.6737.0543.7186.438.9474.770.99-
2020/822.382.990.7155.723.7365.381.13-
2020/721.732.0818.23133.364.2761.461.2-
2020/621.2815.339.93111.451.7656.371.22-
2020/518.4510.951.6190.380.4157.831.19-
2020/416.63-26.89-9.9771.980.1855.391.24-
2020/322.7542.0714.9355.353.754.871.27-
2020/216.01-0.613.0932.15-3.5867.141.04-
2020/116.11-53.99-9.5416.11-9.5475.790.92-
2019/1235.0241.996.19253.5716.540.0N/A-
2019/1124.669.7317.29218.2817.590.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/122.682023/120.722022/125.832021/124.962020/116.11
2024/224.722023/220.882022/223.762021/221.682020/216.01
2024/332.42023/328.782022/325.82021/325.852020/322.75
2024/430.662023/424.092022/421.382021/422.62020/416.63
2024/533.02023/531.022022/522.252021/520.362020/518.45
2024/639.372023/631.322022/621.52021/622.692020/621.28
2024/733.172023/727.652022/719.972021/720.432020/721.73
2024/840.72023/832.762022/827.452021/822.762020/822.38
2024/946.892023/935.872022/932.772021/928.892020/930.67
2024/1045.312023/1033.782022/1032.522021/1027.872020/1027.15
N/AN/A2023/1137.512022/1137.392021/1127.122020/1129.8
N/AN/A2023/1256.262022/1247.132021/1241.912020/1239.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 30.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)9.141.227.4
24Q2 (19)9.03-10.773.67
24Q1 (18)10.129.8837.13
23Q4 (17)9.218.2310.83
23Q3 (16)8.51-2.37.59
23Q2 (15)8.7118.02-2.35
23Q1 (14)7.38-11.19-7.17
22Q4 (13)8.315.063.36
22Q3 (12)7.91-11.32-2.47
22Q2 (11)8.9212.210.95
22Q1 (10)7.95-1.12-9.25
21Q4 (9)8.04-0.860.12
21Q3 (8)8.110.87101.24
21Q2 (7)8.04-8.22141.44
21Q1 (6)8.769.09204.17
20Q4 (5)8.0399.26165.02
20Q3 (4)4.0321.020.0
20Q2 (3)3.3315.620.0
20Q1 (2)2.88-4.950.0
19Q4 (1)3.030.00.0

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