玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.77-37.63-58.0611.38-37.293.57N/A當月營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品因應市場變化調整供貨。
2024/91.24-20.6366.5610.61-34.943.482.99當月營收較去年同期增加,主係部份產品出貨增加。
2024/81.56126.76-1.789.37-39.783.972.63-
2024/70.69-60.11-35.347.82-44.14.082.56-
2024/61.723.3630.347.13-44.824.612.5-
2024/51.6736.34-7.935.41-53.383.83.04當月及累計營收較去年同期減少, 乃因主要產品之出貨仍在途,尚未認列營收所致。
2024/41.2234.75-42.693.74-61.793.023.82當月及累計營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品配合主要國外客戶出貨調整所致。
2024/30.911.57-58.182.52-67.112.525.29當月及累計營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品營收遞延認列所致。
2024/20.8924.54-68.731.61-70.642.794.78當月及累計營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品營收遞延認列所致。
2024/10.72-39.04-72.720.72-72.723.433.88當月營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品營收遞延認列所致。
2023/121.18-23.53-20.5920.86-1.454.552.66-
2023/111.54-16.35-12.1719.690.04.122.94-
2023/101.84147.69-16.0918.151.174.172.91-
2023/90.74-53.2-58.316.313.583.393.26當月營收較去年同期減少,主係部份產品營收遞延認列所致。
2023/81.5949.271.0815.5711.473.972.79-
2023/71.06-19.59-18.6913.9812.794.192.64-
2023/61.32-26.99-44.8512.9216.55.261.6-
2023/51.81-15.1249.9611.633.416.111.38-
2023/42.13-1.66-2.629.7930.747.161.18-
2023/32.17-24.06-19.327.6544.557.651.08-
2023/22.868.65144.145.49110.446.971.19客戶訂單需求增加,故當月及本年度累計營業收入皆較去年同期成長。
2023/12.6377.4682.992.6382.995.861.41客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2022/121.48-15.42-38.6221.179.425.421.51-
2022/111.75-20.0835.0119.6916.275.721.43-
2022/102.1923.0860.4817.9414.725.541.48客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2022/91.7813.4633.4215.7510.344.661.64-
2022/81.5720.06-10.7313.977.965.271.45-
2022/71.31-45.45-33.4112.410.94.911.56-
2022/62.498.533.8811.0920.345.791.25-
2022/51.21-44.88-36.338.6925.846.091.19-
2022/42.19-18.53175.47.4949.376.051.2客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2022/32.69129.897.165.325.595.31.45客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2022/21.17-18.55-2.392.61-8.615.021.53-
2022/11.44-40.47-13.121.44-13.125.151.49-
2021/122.4186.0464.2319.3525.335.081.49客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/111.3-5.01-24.5116.9321.244.01.89-
2021/101.372.33-43.2715.6427.664.461.69-
2021/91.33-24.08115.214.2745.025.061.4客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/81.76-10.4478.3212.9440.36.031.18客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/71.96-14.958.2911.1835.756.171.15客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/62.3121.6689.259.2131.755.01.2客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/51.9138.4120.776.9119.614.061.48客戶訂單需求增加,故當月營收較去年同期成長。
2021/40.8-41.67-56.85.011.943.361.78單月營收較去年同期減少,主係MMF及CAS產品銷售較去年同期減少所致。
2021/31.3613.7619.744.2237.134.221.19-
2021/21.2-27.51109.892.8547.364.321.16單月營收較去年同期增加,主係EVE、EPAE及FK506產品銷售較去年同期增加。
2021/11.6512.5221.191.6521.194.841.04-
2020/121.47-14.4938.9815.4433.455.60.86-
2020/111.72-28.6295.6813.9732.894.751.01單月營收較去年同期增加,主係EVE、FK506及EPAE等產品銷售較去年同期增加。
2020/102.41288.26191.6412.2527.174.011.2單月營收較去年同期增加,主係EPAE產品銷售較去年同期增加。
2020/90.62-37.09-44.359.8411.752.851.7-
2020/80.99-20.5225.839.2219.883.451.4單月營收較去年同期增加,主係MMF、EVE及FK506產品銷售較去年同期增加所致。
2020/71.241.7464.678.2311.443.321.46單月營收較去年同期增加,主要係FK506及MMF產品銷售較去年同期增加所致。
2020/61.2241.93-6.936.995.43.921.0-
2020/50.86-53.35-25.935.778.433.841.02-
2020/41.8461.68158.954.9218.03.551.1單月營收較去年同期增加,主係MMF、FK-506、EVE、RAPA等產品銷售較去年同期增加所致。
2020/31.1499.41-0.843.07-11.03.071.29-
2020/20.57-58.14-27.411.94-16.062.991.33-
2020/11.3629.04-10.191.36-10.193.31.21-
2019/121.0620.3947.6211.5713.450.0N/A-
2019/110.886.3823.8910.5110.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.722023/12.632022/11.442021/11.652020/11.36
2024/20.892023/22.862022/21.172021/21.22020/20.57
2024/30.912023/32.172022/32.692021/31.362020/31.14
2024/41.222023/42.132022/42.192021/40.82020/41.84
2024/51.672023/51.812022/51.212021/51.92020/50.86
2024/61.722023/61.322022/62.42021/62.312020/61.22
2024/70.692023/71.062022/71.312021/71.962020/71.24
2024/81.562023/81.592022/81.572021/81.762020/80.99
2024/91.242023/90.742022/91.782021/91.332020/90.62
2024/100.772023/101.842022/102.192021/101.372020/102.41
N/AN/A2023/111.542022/111.752021/111.32020/111.72
N/AN/A2023/121.182022/121.482021/122.412020/121.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 13.54%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.055.0320.0
24Q2 (19)1.0426.32316.67
24Q1 (18)0.1918.75-17.39
23Q4 (17)0.16-36.0-70.37
23Q3 (16)0.254.17-55.36
23Q2 (15)0.244.35242.86
23Q1 (14)0.23-57.41-68.49
22Q4 (13)0.54-3.57-27.03
22Q3 (12)0.56700.051.35
22Q2 (11)0.07-90.4116.67
22Q1 (10)0.73-1.351725.0
21Q4 (9)0.74100.01750.0
21Q3 (8)0.37516.67-32.73
21Q2 (7)0.0650.0-92.68
21Q1 (6)0.040.0-92.86
20Q4 (5)0.04-92.73-93.55
20Q3 (4)0.55-32.930.0
20Q2 (3)0.8246.430.0
20Q1 (2)0.56-9.680.0
19Q4 (1)0.620.00.0

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