玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1036.25-29.74-4.56369.296.47124.36N/A-
2024/951.641.3446.57333.047.83125.210.76-
2024/836.51-1.612.83281.442.84107.280.89-
2024/737.110.1813.93244.932.85109.160.87-
2024/633.68-12.25-6.04207.831.09106.840.97-
2024/538.3810.346.28174.162.6109.060.95-
2024/434.78-3.119.33135.781.699.481.04-
2024/335.924.66-5.14100.99-0.8100.990.92-
2024/228.8-20.67-18.4765.11.76102.470.9-
2024/136.3-2.8726.7136.326.71110.930.83-
2023/1237.380.335.97421.46-4.04112.610.78-
2023/1137.25-1.934.22384.08-4.91110.440.79-
2023/1037.997.911.77346.83-5.8108.690.8-
2023/935.2-0.832.1308.85-7.59103.270.86-
2023/835.59.01.13273.64-8.7103.910.85-
2023/732.57-9.13-11.0238.14-10.01104.520.85-
2023/635.84-0.74-4.29205.57-9.85103.760.82-
2023/536.1113.5-7.99169.73-10.94105.770.8-
2023/431.81-15.94-17.49133.63-11.71104.980.81-
2023/337.857.14-6.83101.81-9.73101.810.82-
2023/235.3223.37.5263.97-11.3699.560.84-
2023/128.65-19.51-27.1528.65-27.1599.980.84-
2022/1235.59-0.42-18.13439.54-2.29105.320.89-
2022/1135.745.18-13.99403.95-0.59103.880.9-
2022/1033.98-0.49-3.16367.880.83103.230.91-
2022/934.15-2.7-17.49333.891.26105.840.92-
2022/835.1-4.087.65299.743.95109.290.89-
2022/736.59-2.66-2.2264.793.54113.440.86-
2022/637.6-4.2-3.46228.24.52115.40.79-
2022/539.251.78-0.13190.66.26118.610.77-
2022/438.56-5.53.63151.548.18112.210.81-
2022/340.824.215.45112.989.82112.980.8-
2022/232.85-16.4610.7272.1712.46115.260.78-
2022/139.32-8.7313.9539.3213.95123.970.73-
2021/1243.083.66-0.06449.4712.15119.740.72-
2021/1141.5618.4219.36406.3813.63118.120.73-
2021/1035.09-15.374.25364.913.03109.160.79-
2021/941.4727.189.68329.8114.05111.490.83-
2021/832.6-12.864.57288.3414.71108.950.85-
2021/737.42-3.8611.23255.7116.14115.640.8-
2021/638.92-0.959.48218.2917.02115.430.76-
2021/539.35.6238.14179.3718.8115.340.76-
2021/437.2-4.1917.05140.2114.42105.70.83-
2021/338.8330.8917.11103.0113.5103.010.79-
2021/229.67-14.03-0.7664.1811.43107.110.76-
2021/134.51-19.6124.634.5124.6112.250.73-
2020/1242.9323.3-4.75400.56-0.82111.410.68-
2020/1134.823.430.39357.63-0.32106.260.71-
2020/1033.66-10.91-4.43322.8-0.4102.620.73-
2020/937.7921.217.05289.130.08102.60.77-
2020/831.18-7.32-8.34251.35-2.05100.490.79-
2020/733.64-5.68-0.99220.29-1.0397.760.81-
2020/635.6725.3812.42186.65-1.0495.90.84-
2020/528.45-10.5-13.78150.98-3.7793.980.86-
2020/431.79-5.8-2.81123.12-0.6395.420.85-
2020/333.7412.869.5591.330.1491.330.89-
2020/229.97.9417.8957.59-4.65102.530.79-
2020/127.69-38.36-20.9627.69-20.96107.310.76-
2019/1244.9429.5742.67403.74-1.960.0N/A-
2019/1134.68-1.540.44358.8-5.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/136.32023/128.652022/139.322021/134.512020/127.69
2024/228.82023/235.322022/232.852021/229.672020/229.9
2024/335.92023/337.852022/340.82021/338.832020/333.74
2024/434.782023/431.812022/438.562021/437.22020/431.79
2024/538.382023/536.112022/539.252021/539.32020/528.45
2024/633.682023/635.842022/637.62021/638.922020/635.67
2024/737.12023/732.572022/736.592021/737.422020/733.64
2024/836.512023/835.52022/835.12021/832.62020/831.18
2024/951.62023/935.22022/934.152021/941.472020/937.79
2024/1036.252023/1037.992022/1033.982021/1035.092020/1033.66
N/AN/A2023/1137.252022/1135.742021/1141.562020/1134.82
N/AN/A2023/1237.382022/1235.592021/1243.082020/1242.93
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.48%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.18-62.53-21.87
24Q2 (19)19.1697.5358.87
24Q1 (18)9.73.0814.66
23Q4 (17)9.412.3911.36
23Q3 (16)9.19-23.814.3
23Q2 (15)12.0642.5521.82
23Q1 (14)8.460.1213.56
22Q4 (13)8.455.19.03
22Q3 (12)8.04-18.7923.88
22Q2 (11)9.932.89-24.08
22Q1 (10)7.45-3.87-39.72
21Q4 (9)7.7519.41-34.65
21Q3 (8)6.49-50.23-60.18
21Q2 (7)13.045.50
21Q1 (6)12.364.22-22.51
20Q4 (5)11.86-27.240
20Q3 (4)16.300.0

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