玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.9520.99-14.2827.72-3.567.57N/A-
2024/92.4411.76-2.9124.77-2.17.560.05-
2024/82.18-25.72-23.5522.34-2.017.360.05-
2024/72.9431.284.7220.151.068.130.05-
2024/62.24-24.28-34.1717.220.467.860.07-
2024/52.9510.77-19.8514.989.038.980.06-
2024/42.67-20.5634.412.0319.629.660.06-
2024/33.36-7.53.189.3615.999.360.04-
2024/23.6353.1816.146.024.658.420.04-
2024/12.37-2.2440.42.3740.47.540.05-
2023/122.42-11.73-4.3333.92-26.248.610.04-
2023/112.75-20.18-29.7531.49-27.528.70.04-
2023/103.4437.03-3.0628.75-27.38.810.04-
2023/92.51-11.995.0825.31-29.698.170.09-
2023/82.851.74-17.3322.8-32.169.060.08-
2023/72.8-17.48-30.1519.94-33.869.890.07-
2023/63.4-7.82-28.617.14-34.439.070.02-
2023/53.6985.77-25.8513.74-35.738.930.02-
2023/41.98-39.01-63.0210.05-38.738.360.03代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2023/33.254.11-37.438.07-26.928.070.01-
2023/23.1385.182.114.81-17.557.350.02-
2023/11.69-33.39-39.221.69-39.228.130.01代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2022/122.53-35.181.345.99149.59.990.07代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/113.9110.141.4243.46172.779.850.07代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/103.5548.56-13.9339.55227.489.390.07代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/92.39-30.76-32.1436.0352.719.860.06代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/83.45-14.0344.9533.61658.7112.230.05代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/74.02-15.64810.9930.151372.3113.750.05代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/64.76-4.271375.826.141526.2315.10.03代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/54.97-7.341383.0221.381564.015.540.03代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/45.373.173734.3516.411627.9113.630.03代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/35.269.943674.7611.041263.7111.040.02代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/23.0610.2647.625.84769.118.340.02代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2022/12.7811.02958.722.78958.729.130.02代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/122.5-35.11251.7618.4347.9910.480.04代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/113.86-6.53580.4715.9335.6511.50.03代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/104.1217.12304.6612.088.0410.030.04代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/93.5247.89310.437.95-21.726.340.07代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/82.38440.27154.344.43-52.373.140.14代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2021/70.4436.65-70.312.05-75.511.10.4代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/60.32-3.81-72.01.61-76.630.80.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/50.34139.55-61.331.28-77.560.610.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/40.141.57-86.860.95-80.460.690.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/30.14-66.34-87.540.81-78.660.810.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/20.4156.06-77.190.67-75.01.380.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2021/10.26-63.11-70.580.26-70.581.540.0代理銷售工業用紙之噸數減少
2020/120.7125.52-35.3712.45-2.182.30.0-
2020/110.57-44.41-53.1311.740.952.440.0工業用紙銷售噸數減少
2020/101.0218.79-13.1111.187.222.810.0-
2020/90.86-8.35-0.4210.169.83.280.08-
2020/80.94-36.93-7.259.310.853.570.07-
2020/71.4828.8887.898.3613.323.50.07代理銷售工業用紙之噸數增加
2020/61.1532.8126.016.884.383.080.09-
2020/50.87-18.61-25.165.730.93.040.09-
2020/41.07-3.6934.944.867.593.970.07-
2020/31.11-38.3721.213.791.793.790.04-
2020/21.8101.2820.122.69-4.493.790.04-
2020/10.89-18.94-32.390.89-32.393.20.05-
2019/121.1-8.96-20.8912.73-35.710.0N/A-
2019/111.213.04-13.7511.63-36.830.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.372023/11.692022/12.782021/10.262020/10.89
2024/23.632023/23.132022/23.062021/20.412020/21.8
2024/33.362023/33.252022/35.22021/30.142020/31.11
2024/42.672023/41.982022/45.372021/40.142020/41.07
2024/52.952023/53.692022/54.972021/50.342020/50.87
2024/62.242023/63.42022/64.762021/60.322020/61.15
2024/72.942023/72.82022/74.022021/70.442020/71.48
2024/82.182023/82.852022/83.452021/82.382020/80.94
2024/92.442023/92.512022/92.392021/93.522020/90.86
2024/102.952023/103.442022/103.552021/104.122020/101.02
N/AN/A2023/112.752022/113.912021/113.862020/110.57
N/AN/A2023/122.422022/122.532021/122.52020/120.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.26%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.19137.50
24Q2 (19)0.08-27.270
24Q1 (18)0.11266.670
23Q4 (17)0.0300

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