玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.91-5.53-19.148.8-24.3412.19N/A-
2024/104.140.080.9144.89-24.7612.9N/A-
2024/94.14-10.38-30.9340.75-26.6612.342.38-
2024/84.6228.81-24.436.61-26.1512.762.31-
2024/73.59-21.35-41.1231.99-26.3913.512.18-
2024/64.56-15.08-55.4528.4-23.9914.191.99113年6月較去年同期減少55.46%,主要係因112年6月認列營建收入463,269仟元。
2024/55.3725.93-5.523.84-12.1314.211.98-
2024/44.26-6.95-13.7718.48-13.8812.142.32-
2024/34.5838.89-18.5214.21-13.9214.211.91-
2024/23.3-47.92-50.069.63-11.5415.221.78主要係今年(113年)2月適逢農曆春節假期,銷售天數較短,故較去年2月營收減少。
2024/16.3313.3547.866.3347.8616.761.62-
2023/125.5915.536.170.095.8114.531.57-
2023/114.8417.83-15.5464.55.7814.931.52-
2023/104.1-31.5-29.8959.677.9916.211.4-
2023/95.99-1.92-5.4555.5612.4918.191.13-
2023/86.110.3313.0749.5715.1322.430.92-
2023/76.09-40.527.8243.4615.4222.010.94-
2023/610.2380.1391.1737.3713.6320.860.93本(6)月認列營建收入$463,269仟元
2023/55.6814.916.6727.14-1.4416.251.19-
2023/44.94-12.08-18.9421.46-3.3917.171.13-
2023/35.62-14.87-9.8916.512.4816.511.31-
2023/26.6154.251.7310.8910.2916.161.34主要係去年(111)2月適逢農曆春節假期,銷售天數較少,以致產生營收增減百分比達50%以上。
2023/14.28-18.66-22.384.28-22.3815.281.41-
2022/125.27-8.036.5566.241.016.851.2-
2022/115.73-2.184.8460.980.5417.921.13-
2022/105.85-7.62-4.8755.250.1217.61.15-
2022/96.3417.3-3.549.390.7416.51.32-
2022/85.413.41-9.3143.061.415.521.4-
2022/74.76-11.01-22.837.653.1515.441.41-
2022/65.350.51-10.6832.898.4316.781.43-
2022/55.33-12.68-5.627.5413.1417.671.35-
2022/46.1-2.2620.6722.2118.8216.691.43-
2022/36.2443.3522.5516.1118.1416.111.5-
2022/24.35-21.1218.579.8715.5214.821.64-
2022/15.5211.6613.225.5213.2215.921.52-
2021/124.94-9.50.9765.5929.2616.561.53-
2021/115.46-11.2532.5760.6432.2918.181.39-
2021/106.15-6.2954.8755.1832.2718.681.36鋼鐵事業群整體受惠鋼鐵市場復甦,銷售單價較去年同月增加所致。
2021/96.5710.2355.6349.0329.8918.71.2110年較109年9月營收增加超過50%,主要係銷售單價及數量較去年同期增加所致。
2021/85.96-3.4525.0242.4626.6618.121.24-
2021/76.172.9644.3236.526.9317.811.26-
2021/65.996.2342.8230.3323.916.691.18-
2021/55.6411.6231.6524.3419.9815.791.25-
2021/45.05-0.7346.2218.6916.8513.821.43-
2021/35.0938.79.413.648.7513.641.35-
2021/23.67-24.68-18.628.558.3613.441.37-
2021/14.87-0.4144.464.8744.4613.891.32-
2020/124.918.8127.1350.7413.1612.991.28-
2020/114.123.6730.1745.8411.8412.311.35-
2020/103.97-5.8314.6841.7210.2712.961.29-
2020/94.22-11.4417.0737.749.8213.261.31-
2020/84.7711.4432.133.528.913.241.31-
2020/74.281.898.3828.765.8112.761.36-
2020/64.2-2.0726.3524.485.3811.941.3-
2020/54.2923.9749.5720.281.8812.41.25-
2020/43.46-25.73-0.9616.0-6.1312.621.23-
2020/34.653.16-37.2912.54-7.4612.541.14-
2020/24.5133.6977.147.8928.6711.741.22108年2月適逢中國農曆年節,故去年公布2月年營收減少較多。
2020/13.37-12.36-5.783.37-5.780.0N/A-
2019/123.8521.659.4544.83-5.330.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.332023/14.282022/15.522021/14.872020/13.37
2024/23.32023/26.612022/24.352021/23.672020/24.51
2024/34.582023/35.622022/36.242021/35.092020/34.65
2024/44.262023/44.942022/46.12021/45.052020/43.46
2024/55.372023/55.682022/55.332021/55.642020/54.29
2024/64.562023/610.232022/65.352021/65.992020/64.2
2024/73.592023/76.092022/74.762021/76.172020/74.28
2024/84.622023/86.112022/85.42021/85.962020/84.77
2024/94.142023/95.992022/96.342021/96.572020/94.22
2024/104.142023/104.12022/105.852021/106.152020/103.97
2024/113.912023/114.842022/115.732021/115.462020/114.12
N/AN/A2023/125.592022/125.272021/124.942020/124.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7951.921480.0
24Q2 (19)0.52188.89766.67
24Q1 (18)0.18200.0-76.92
23Q4 (17)0.0620.0-92.0
23Q3 (16)0.05-16.67-90.57
23Q2 (15)0.06-92.31-88.46
23Q1 (14)0.784.044.44
22Q4 (13)0.7541.5122.95
22Q3 (12)0.531.9229.27
22Q2 (11)0.52-3.7271.43
22Q1 (10)0.54-11.480
21Q4 (9)0.6148.781933.33
21Q3 (8)0.41192.861950.0
21Q2 (7)0.140250.0

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