玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/109.94-11.4649.6793.8324.9331.33N/A-
2024/911.2310.6731.9283.8922.5331.450.56-
2024/810.150.8127.4572.6521.1932.550.54-
2024/710.07-18.3941.1962.520.2331.860.56-
2024/612.3430.4175.5152.4416.930.610.48主要產品銷量增加
2024/59.467.3124.8940.16.0126.590.56-
2024/48.815.9411.9630.641.2923.560.63-
2024/38.3229.326.4121.83-2.4621.830.67-
2024/26.43-9.11-24.8613.51-7.2221.120.69-
2024/17.08-6.9217.917.0817.9121.390.68-
2023/127.613.382.9589.42-23.3620.960.64-
2023/116.710.94-10.1881.81-25.1421.870.61-
2023/106.64-21.96-9.875.1-26.2423.120.58-
2023/98.516.92-10.3968.46-27.5223.610.55-
2023/87.9611.68-4.3959.95-29.4422.120.58-
2023/77.131.44-2.6151.98-32.1621.730.59-
2023/67.03-7.19-28.8544.85-35.2822.470.7-
2023/57.57-3.78-36.5837.83-36.3523.260.67-
2023/47.870.68-37.2430.25-36.324.250.65-
2023/37.82-8.68-41.7822.38-35.9622.380.72-
2023/28.5642.62-14.9814.56-32.3321.950.74-
2023/16.0-18.74-47.586.0-47.5820.860.77-
2022/127.39-1.08-41.32116.69-50.3822.220.73本年累計較去年同期減少 ,主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/117.471.37-39.23109.3-50.8924.340.66本年累計較去年同期減少 ,主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/107.37-22.46-48.0101.83-51.5725.20.64本年累計較去年同期減少 ,主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/99.514.08-44.4394.46-51.8325.150.67累計1-9月營收較去年同期下滑51.84%,主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/88.3313.76-55.684.96-52.5425.530.66主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/77.32-25.88-60.8276.63-52.1829.140.58主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求大幅減少
2022/69.88-17.28-54.5769.31-51.0434.360.49主係客戶端因庫存等因素,需求持續減少
2022/511.94-4.79-50.2459.43-50.437.910.44主係主要產品乳膠市場競爭,銷售量與售價仍處於低檔所致。
2022/412.54-6.59-52.2847.49-50.4436.040.46主係主要產品乳膠市場競爭,銷售量與售價仍處於低檔所致。
2022/313.4333.35-44.9834.95-49.7434.950.38-
2022/210.07-12.07-50.1721.52-52.3134.110.39主係疫情趨緩及客戶庫存調整,致需求減少,售價持續下修
2022/111.45-9.03-54.0411.45-54.0436.330.36主係疫情趨緩及客戶庫存調整,致需求減少,售價持續下修。
2021/1212.592.43-44.63235.1863.2439.050.3主係銷售增加
2021/1112.29-13.25-34.71222.5983.4643.560.26主係銷售增加
2021/1014.17-17.14-1.79210.3105.1750.030.23主係銷售增加
2021/917.1-8.8525.43196.13122.6954.550.24主係銷售增加
2021/818.760.3967.07179.03140.559.20.22主係銷售值增加
2021/718.69-14.0694.1160.27153.5564.440.2主係銷售值增加
2021/621.75-9.38178.11141.58164.2372.040.19主係銷售量值增加
2021/524.0-8.7145.29119.83161.8674.70.18主係銷售量值增加
2021/426.297.7176.8395.83166.3770.910.19主係銷售量值增加
2021/324.4120.76152.9769.54162.6169.540.17主係銷售量值增加
2021/220.21-18.9162.8445.13168.1467.870.17主係銷售量增加及銷售單價調升
2021/124.929.6172.624.92172.666.490.18主係銷售量增加及銷售單價調升
2020/1222.7420.78131.64144.0616.2555.990.17主係銷售量增加及銷售單價調升
2020/1118.8330.4885.52121.326.3246.890.2主係銷售量增加及銷售單價調升
2020/1014.435.8347.09102.5-1.439.290.24-
2020/913.6321.421.4388.07-6.4534.490.23-
2020/811.2316.63-4.2674.44-10.2228.680.28-
2020/79.6323.125.0763.21-11.2127.230.29-
2020/67.82-20.08-16.8453.58-13.6127.10.31-
2020/59.783.03-0.0845.76-13.0428.930.29-
2020/49.5-1.57-14.4735.98-16.026.830.32-
2020/39.6525.47-13.6226.48-16.5326.480.39-
2020/27.69-15.89-14.0616.83-18.1226.650.39-
2020/19.14-6.86-21.259.14-21.2529.110.36-
2019/129.82-3.26-15.96123.92-10.290.0N/A-
2019/1110.153.45-9.17114.1-9.760.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.082023/16.02022/111.452021/124.922020/19.14
2024/26.432023/28.562022/210.072021/220.212020/27.69
2024/38.322023/37.822022/313.432021/324.412020/39.65
2024/48.812023/47.872022/412.542021/426.292020/49.5
2024/59.462023/57.572022/511.942021/524.02020/59.78
2024/612.342023/67.032022/69.882021/621.752020/67.82
2024/710.072023/77.132022/77.322021/718.692020/79.63
2024/810.152023/87.962022/88.332021/818.762020/811.23
2024/911.232023/98.512022/99.52021/917.12020/913.63
2024/109.942023/106.642022/107.372021/1014.172020/1014.43
N/AN/A2023/116.712022/117.472021/1112.292020/1118.83
N/AN/A2023/127.62022/127.392021/1212.592020/1222.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.81%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8971.1543.55
24Q2 (19)0.5233.33-1.89
24Q1 (18)0.39-15.22-43.48
23Q4 (17)0.46-25.81-35.21
23Q3 (16)0.6216.98-33.33
23Q2 (15)0.53-23.19-13.11
23Q1 (14)0.69-2.82-49.64
22Q4 (13)0.71-23.66-26.8
22Q3 (12)0.9352.46-31.62
22Q2 (11)0.61-55.47-68.88
22Q1 (10)1.3741.24-11.61
21Q4 (9)0.97-28.68-39.75
21Q3 (8)1.36-30.61-15.53
21Q2 (7)1.9626.45232.2
21Q1 (6)1.55-3.73307.89
20Q4 (5)1.610.098.77
20Q3 (4)1.61172.880.0
20Q2 (3)0.5955.260.0
20Q1 (2)0.38-53.090.0
19Q4 (1)0.810.00.0

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