玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1023.75-12.99-36.15346.1110.1269.86N/A-
2024/927.2944.98-19.95322.3716.3483.510.72-
2024/818.82-49.66-30.8295.0821.4393.70.64-
2024/737.4-0.2220.71276.2528.01113.270.53-
2024/637.48-2.366.72238.8629.24116.30.38-
2024/538.39-5.0417.12201.3834.52122.10.36-
2024/440.43-6.5954.58162.9939.4115.370.38銷售台數增加
2024/343.2836.729.07122.5635.02122.560.32-
2024/231.66-33.510.9979.2738.51112.550.35-
2024/147.6143.0865.8647.6165.86118.40.33銷售台數增加
2023/1233.28-11.2726.85385.0730.29107.980.42-
2023/1137.510.8454.75351.7930.62108.790.41銷售台數增加
2023/1037.199.0840.24314.2828.2498.490.45-
2023/934.0925.3332.31277.0926.7892.280.42-
2023/827.2-12.1823.38243.026.0493.30.42-
2023/730.98-11.7916.24215.7926.3998.880.39-
2023/635.127.1449.85184.8128.2694.050.37-
2023/532.7825.3242.76149.6924.0792.460.38-
2023/426.15-22.03.4116.9219.6788.210.4-
2023/333.5317.5533.5190.7625.3690.760.39-
2023/228.52-0.6348.8457.2321.0383.460.42-
2023/128.719.422.0828.712.0879.170.45-
2022/1226.238.2316.36295.54-5.0476.990.55-
2022/1124.24-8.625.85269.31-6.7276.520.56-
2022/1026.522.9118.6245.07-9.0474.330.57-
2022/925.7716.877.54218.55-11.5574.460.48-
2022/822.05-17.26-38.14192.78-13.672.130.5-
2022/726.6513.714.36170.74-8.9373.040.49-
2022/623.442.077.49144.09-11.0371.690.44-
2022/522.96-9.22-16.49120.65-13.9173.370.43-
2022/425.290.71-3.597.69-13.2869.570.46-
2022/325.1131.05-7.8572.4-16.2572.40.46-
2022/219.16-31.85-9.5547.28-20.1169.830.48-
2022/128.1224.74-26.028.12-26.069.920.48-
2021/1222.5417.05-11.31311.250.8164.160.61-
2021/1119.26-13.87-27.19288.711.965.580.59-
2021/1022.36-6.68-20.72269.454.8981.970.48-
2021/923.96-32.77-12.31247.098.0585.140.42-
2021/835.6439.5951.88223.1310.8282.980.43代工收入增加
2021/725.5317.12-15.15187.495.474.830.48-
2021/621.8-20.7-19.01161.959.5975.510.59-
2021/527.494.8921.46140.1515.9680.960.55-
2021/426.21-3.8321.32112.6614.6974.660.6-
2021/327.2628.6417.7886.4512.8286.450.44-
2021/221.19-44.2414.4259.1910.6784.570.45-
2021/138.049.738.6838.08.6889.830.42-
2020/1225.38-4.05-8.12308.75-3.7280.040.48-
2020/1126.45-6.2226.13283.37-3.3182.00.46-
2020/1028.213.130.4256.92-5.5879.020.48-
2020/927.3516.534.14228.71-6.2780.910.41-
2020/823.47-22.0117.86201.37-7.5280.690.41-
2020/730.0910.948.38177.9-10.0879.860.41-
2020/627.1319.83-1.8147.8-13.171.370.51-
2020/522.644.77-21.49120.68-15.2967.20.54-
2020/421.6-5.9-18.0598.04-13.7163.080.57-
2020/322.9623.98-18.8876.44-12.476.440.51-
2020/218.52-47.03-16.4553.48-9.2981.10.48-
2020/134.9626.56-4.9834.96-4.9883.560.46-
2019/1227.6231.73-1.05320.71-8.030.0N/A-
2019/1120.97-25.34-4.31293.09-8.640.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/147.612023/128.712022/128.122021/138.02020/134.96
2024/231.662023/228.522022/219.162021/221.192020/218.52
2024/343.282023/333.532022/325.112021/327.262020/322.96
2024/440.432023/426.152022/425.292021/426.212020/421.6
2024/538.392023/532.782022/522.962021/527.492020/522.64
2024/637.482023/635.122022/623.442021/621.82020/627.13
2024/737.42023/730.982022/726.652021/725.532020/730.09
2024/818.822023/827.22022/822.052021/835.642020/823.47
2024/927.292023/934.092022/925.772021/923.962020/927.35
2024/1023.752023/1037.192022/1026.522021/1022.362020/1028.21
N/AN/A2023/1137.512022/1124.242021/1119.262020/1126.45
N/AN/A2023/1233.282022/1226.232021/1222.542020/1225.38
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.52-54.05-42.11
24Q2 (19)7.66340.2335.82
24Q1 (18)1.74-7.45-34.34
23Q4 (17)1.88-69.08-7.39
23Q3 (16)6.087.818.29
23Q2 (15)5.64112.8350.4
23Q1 (14)2.6530.54-48.34
22Q4 (13)2.03-60.5114.04
22Q3 (12)5.1437.0760.12
22Q2 (11)3.75-26.9380.77
22Q1 (10)5.13188.2549.37
21Q4 (9)1.78-44.55117.07
21Q3 (8)3.21311.54333.78
21Q2 (7)0.78-1.270
21Q1 (6)0.79-3.6643.64
20Q4 (5)0.8210.810
20Q3 (4)0.7400.0

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