玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.53-0.85-42.955.77-20.211.7N/A-
2024/90.54-14.65-39.485.23-16.831.691.82-
2024/80.6319.92-21.464.7-13.111.721.79-
2024/70.52-6.75-31.414.07-11.661.681.83-
2024/60.56-4.3-26.063.54-7.731.692.0-
2024/50.598.67-16.022.98-3.191.771.91-
2024/40.54-15.6-18.592.390.571.791.9-
2024/30.645.962.431.858.021.851.94-
2024/20.610.174.581.2111.231.851.94-
2024/10.6-5.7718.80.618.82.191.64-
2023/120.64-32.0126.518.8120.662.521.5-
2023/110.941.0383.228.1720.222.761.36係客戶需求增加
2023/100.935.1685.867.2315.062.621.44係客戶需求增加
2023/90.8910.7677.016.298.912.451.28係客戶需求增加
2023/80.84.7259.935.412.432.331.34係客戶需求增加
2023/70.770.5152.934.6-3.592.231.41係客戶需求增加
2023/60.768.6742.993.84-10.22.131.48-
2023/50.75.3527.13.08-17.771.991.58-
2023/40.666.2-5.652.38-25.511.871.68-
2023/30.638.18-23.741.71-31.141.711.95-
2023/20.5813.79-25.381.09-34.781.592.1-
2023/10.510.34-42.960.51-42.961.532.18-
2022/120.51-1.53-50.457.3-36.061.522.3係客戶需求減少
2022/110.512.48-46.756.8-34.651.522.31-
2022/100.50.16-55.896.28-33.411.52.33係客戶需求減少
2022/90.50.07-57.325.78-30.321.52.4係客戶需求減少
2022/80.50.13-52.785.28-25.861.532.35係客戶需求減少
2022/70.5-6.01-50.224.78-21.151.582.27係客戶需求減少
2022/60.53-3.4-44.564.28-15.371.792.09-
2022/50.55-21.79-35.973.74-8.522.081.8-
2022/40.7-14.15-17.463.19-1.22.31.62-
2022/30.825.86-5.212.494.632.491.43-
2022/20.78-13.0212.391.6710.262.691.32-
2022/10.89-12.838.480.898.482.881.23-
2021/121.025.8124.0911.4234.83.131.04-
2021/110.97-15.120.5510.435.953.280.99-
2021/101.14-3.0848.559.4337.763.370.97-
2021/91.1710.7250.988.2936.43.240.81係客戶需求增加
2021/81.065.5556.557.1234.253.030.87係客戶需求增加
2021/71.014.6770.476.0630.992.830.93係客戶需求增加
2021/60.9611.5763.485.0525.222.670.9係客戶需求增加
2021/50.860.8140.244.0918.72.580.93-
2021/40.85-1.4121.13.2314.032.411.0-
2021/30.8725.5212.112.3811.692.380.8-
2021/20.69-16.052.61.5111.452.340.82-
2021/10.82-0.2920.160.8220.162.450.78-
2020/120.822.828.128.4710.012.390.64-
2020/110.84.633.367.658.362.350.66-
2020/100.77-1.49-0.196.856.032.220.69-
2020/90.7814.813.536.086.872.051.01-
2020/80.6814.94-11.315.35.961.851.11-
2020/70.590.38-21.854.629.071.791.15-
2020/60.59-4.29-21.174.0315.771.911.39-
2020/50.61-12.94-9.113.4525.822.091.26-
2020/40.7-8.728.442.8337.252.151.23-
2020/30.7714.8822.452.1350.492.131.25係客戶需求增加
2020/20.67-1.6978.541.3673.062.01.34係客戶需求增加
2020/10.686.3168.00.6868.01.931.38係客戶需求增加
2019/120.647.0165.847.781.350.0N/A係客戶需求增加
2019/110.6-21.7187.697.0682.910.0N/A係客戶需求增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.62023/10.512022/10.892021/10.822020/10.68
2024/20.612023/20.582022/20.782021/20.692020/20.67
2024/30.642023/30.632022/30.822021/30.872020/30.77
2024/40.542023/40.662022/40.72021/40.852020/40.7
2024/50.592023/50.72022/50.552021/50.862020/50.61
2024/60.562023/60.762022/60.532021/60.962020/60.59
2024/70.522023/70.772022/70.52021/71.012020/70.59
2024/80.632023/80.82022/80.52021/81.062020/80.68
2024/90.542023/90.892022/90.52021/91.172020/90.78
2024/100.532023/100.932022/100.52021/101.142020/100.77
N/AN/A2023/110.942022/110.512021/110.972020/110.8
N/AN/A2023/120.642022/120.512021/121.022020/120.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.1%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-66.67-50.0
24Q2 (19)0.03200.050.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.01-50.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.020.0-71.43
23Q2 (15)0.02100.0-66.67
23Q1 (14)0.010.00
22Q4 (13)0.01-85.710
22Q3 (12)0.0716.67600.0
22Q2 (11)0.060500.0

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