玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10123.964.61.281112.24-10.05363.0N/A-
2024/9118.5-1.69-15.95988.28-11.3367.690.71-
2024/8120.54-6.31-9.29869.78-10.63366.550.72-
2024/7128.669.622.36749.24-10.84355.540.74-
2024/6117.367.15-9.1620.59-13.16332.840.76-
2024/5109.533.37-11.33503.23-14.06323.330.78-
2024/4105.95-1.76-11.92393.7-14.78294.620.86-
2024/3107.8533.45-14.97287.75-15.79287.750.88-
2024/280.81-18.43-25.25179.9-16.28303.140.84-
2024/199.08-19.6-7.2199.08-7.21345.810.74-
2023/12123.24-0.18-7.711483.36-14.49369.110.7-
2023/11123.480.89-16.821360.11-15.05386.870.67-
2023/10122.39-13.19-17.831236.63-14.87396.280.65-
2023/9141.06.09-11.531114.24-14.53399.570.65-
2023/8132.95.74-13.89973.24-14.95387.680.67-
2023/7125.68-2.65-15.08840.35-15.12378.320.69-
2023/6129.114.51-11.82714.67-15.12372.930.62-
2023/5123.532.69-15.18585.56-15.82370.660.63-
2023/4120.29-5.16-12.63462.03-15.99355.240.66-
2023/3126.8417.32-16.25341.74-17.11341.740.74-
2023/2108.111.23-6.71214.9-17.61348.450.73-
2023/1106.79-20.03-26.32106.79-26.32388.790.65-
2022/12133.55-10.03-11.311734.755.24430.950.64-
2022/11148.45-0.33-0.481601.26.91456.780.61-
2022/10148.95-6.542.071452.757.73462.680.6-
2022/9159.383.259.061303.88.41461.730.68-
2022/8154.354.2913.971144.428.32448.780.7-
2022/7148.01.077.96990.077.49440.070.71-
2022/6146.430.538.62842.077.41429.760.72-
2022/5145.645.787.45695.647.16434.80.71-
2022/4137.68-9.10.91550.07.08405.050.76-
2022/3151.4730.6914.41412.319.31412.310.76-
2022/2115.9-20.0411.41260.856.55411.430.76-
2022/1144.95-3.732.96144.952.96444.710.7-
2021/12150.580.9312.041648.274.91445.690.72-
2021/11149.182.227.361497.694.24441.240.73-
2021/10145.93-0.133.491348.513.91427.480.76-
2021/9146.137.9-1.011202.573.96418.630.74-
2021/8135.43-1.20.641056.454.69407.30.76-
2021/7137.081.684.49921.025.31407.420.76-
2021/6134.8-0.54-5.65783.945.45406.770.7-
2021/5135.54-0.65-1.18649.148.1404.350.71-
2021/4136.433.05-0.76513.610.85372.830.77-
2021/3132.3827.265.05377.1815.75377.180.71-
2021/2104.02-26.119.97244.7922.49379.180.7-
2021/1140.774.7424.41140.7724.41414.110.64-
2020/12134.39-3.27-7.261571.07-11.71414.350.6-
2020/11138.94-1.46-7.441436.68-12.1427.580.58-
2020/10141.01-4.48-3.721297.74-12.57423.190.58-
2020/9147.639.71-10.141156.73-13.54413.360.59-
2020/8134.562.57-17.691009.1-14.02408.610.6-
2020/7131.18-8.18-14.51874.54-13.42411.220.59-
2020/6142.874.16-11.52743.37-13.23417.510.56-
2020/5137.17-0.22-7.29600.49-13.62400.650.58-
2020/4137.479.091.56463.33-15.33350.180.67-
2020/3126.0145.33-14.34325.85-20.89325.850.65-
2020/286.7-23.37-20.26199.84-24.53344.770.62-
2020/1113.14-21.92-27.5113.14-27.5408.190.52-
2019/12144.92-3.46-10.191779.48-14.070.0N/A-
2019/11150.132.5-10.271634.56-14.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/199.082023/1106.792022/1144.952021/1140.772020/1113.14
2024/280.812023/2108.112022/2115.92021/2104.022020/286.7
2024/3107.852023/3126.842022/3151.472021/3132.382020/3126.01
2024/4105.952023/4120.292022/4137.682021/4136.432020/4137.47
2024/5109.532023/5123.532022/5145.642021/5135.542020/5137.17
2024/6117.362023/6129.112022/6146.432021/6134.82020/6142.87
2024/7128.662023/7125.682022/7148.02021/7137.082020/7131.18
2024/8120.542023/8132.92022/8154.352021/8135.432020/8134.56
2024/9118.52023/9141.02022/9159.382021/9146.132020/9147.63
2024/10123.962023/10122.392022/10148.952021/10145.932020/10141.01
N/AN/A2023/11123.482022/11148.452021/11149.182020/11138.94
N/AN/A2023/12123.242022/12133.552021/12150.582020/12134.39
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 25.9%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)60.79-8.1918.73
24Q2 (19)66.2110.5241.05
24Q1 (18)59.9113.733.88
23Q4 (17)52.692.9123.83
23Q3 (16)51.29.0811.67
23Q2 (15)46.944.8929.88
23Q1 (14)44.755.1735.36
22Q4 (13)42.55-7.243.94
22Q3 (12)45.8526.8747.81
22Q2 (11)36.149.3230.38
22Q1 (10)33.0611.8424.61
21Q4 (9)29.56-4.7110.26
21Q3 (8)31.0211.926.3
21Q2 (7)27.724.4919.84
21Q1 (6)26.53-1.0411.71
20Q4 (5)26.819.169.07
20Q3 (4)24.566.180.0
20Q2 (3)23.13-2.610.0
20Q1 (2)23.75-3.380.0
19Q4 (1)24.580.00.0

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