玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10180.071.935.621655.77-2.58525.14N/A-
2024/9176.664.9-1.841475.7-3.5507.980.82-
2024/8168.43.362.311299.03-3.72505.720.82-
2024/7162.91-6.582.381130.63-4.56501.580.83-
2024/6174.46.17-7.77967.78-5.63498.630.78-
2024/5164.272.68-4.29793.38-5.15490.80.79-
2024/4159.97-3.96-0.25629.11-5.37465.840.84-
2024/3166.5719.56-11.89469.14-7.0469.140.78-
2024/2139.31-14.67-11.53302.58-4.06469.720.78-
2024/1163.27-2.323.38163.273.38502.070.73-
2023/12167.15-2.62-7.12038.99-14.98509.710.74-
2023/11171.650.43-10.561871.84-15.62522.540.73-
2023/10170.91-5.04-9.721700.18-16.1515.480.74-
2023/9179.989.34-8.911529.28-16.76503.70.76-
2023/8164.593.43-17.261349.29-17.7512.820.75-
2023/7159.13-15.85-22.011184.7-17.76519.870.74-
2023/6189.110.16-20.311025.57-17.06521.120.69-
2023/5171.657.03-12.07836.47-16.29521.180.69-
2023/4160.37-15.22-17.92664.83-17.31506.90.71-
2023/3189.1720.21-15.73504.46-17.11504.460.79-
2023/2157.36-0.36-11.94315.29-17.92495.130.8-
2023/1157.93-12.18-23.13157.93-23.13529.70.75-
2022/12179.84-6.3-18.412398.296.13561.080.78-
2022/11191.931.38-7.872218.458.79576.950.76-
2022/10189.31-3.26-0.322024.6210.58584.010.75-
2022/9195.7-1.65-5.511835.311.84598.70.89-
2022/8198.99-2.4611.841639.614.35640.320.83-
2022/7204.01-14.039.111440.6114.71636.550.84-
2022/6237.3221.5615.741236.615.69627.940.9-
2022/5195.22-0.097.65999.2815.67615.120.91-
2022/4195.4-12.9612.64804.0617.81598.60.94-
2022/3224.525.6319.67608.6619.57608.660.93-
2022/2178.7-13.0222.4384.1619.51604.730.93-
2022/1205.46-6.8417.1205.4617.1634.380.89-
2021/12220.575.8614.892259.7417.87618.850.81單月營收年成長率較前幾個月減少,是因明泰於去年八月成為合併子公司,營收基期較高所致。
2021/11208.359.694.832039.1718.2605.440.83單月營收年成長率較前幾個月減少,是因明泰於去年八月成為合併子公司,營收基期較高所致。
2021/10189.94-8.35.151830.8419.95575.00.87單月營收年成長率較前幾個月減少,是因明泰於去年八月成為合併子公司,營收基期較高所致。
2021/9207.1516.434.991640.921.93572.030.84單月營收年成長率較前幾個月減少,是因明泰於去年八月成為合併子公司,營收基期較高所致。
2021/8177.91-4.841.111433.7624.84569.910.84單月營收年成長率較前幾個月減少,是因明泰於去年八月成為合併子公司,營收基期較高所致。
2021/7186.97-8.830.11255.8529.14573.340.84-
2021/6205.0313.0532.581068.8828.97559.840.75-
2021/5181.354.5432.15863.8528.14542.410.77-
2021/4173.46-7.5319.73682.527.12507.050.83-
2021/3187.628.4928.52509.0429.85509.040.71-
2021/2145.99-16.7933.29321.4430.64513.670.7-
2021/1175.45-8.7228.51175.4528.51566.420.63-
2020/12192.23-3.2733.661917.2812.94571.60.61-
2020/11198.7410.0231.21725.0511.02576.630.61-
2020/10180.64-8.4210.591526.288.84553.850.63-
2020/9197.2612.129.51345.658.61516.920.63-
2020/8175.9522.4425.271148.395.68474.310.69-
2020/7143.7-7.086.24972.452.78435.580.75-
2020/6154.6612.74.95828.752.2436.750.62-
2020/5137.22-5.280.91674.091.59428.050.63-
2020/4144.87-0.7412.29536.871.76400.350.67-
2020/3145.9633.260.85392.0-1.63392.00.64-
2020/2109.52-19.771.59246.05-3.06390.930.64-
2020/1136.52-5.76-6.5136.52-6.5432.880.58-
2019/12144.88-4.348.811698.619.030.0N/A-
2019/11151.47-7.261.691553.729.050.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1163.272023/1157.932022/1205.462021/1175.452020/1136.52
2024/2139.312023/2157.362022/2178.72021/2145.992020/2109.52
2024/3166.572023/3189.172022/3224.52021/3187.62020/3145.96
2024/4159.972023/4160.372022/4195.42021/4173.462020/4144.87
2024/5164.272023/5171.652022/5195.222021/5181.352020/5137.22
2024/6174.42023/6189.12022/6237.322021/6205.032020/6154.66
2024/7162.912023/7159.132022/7204.012021/7186.972020/7143.7
2024/8168.42023/8164.592022/8198.992021/8177.912020/8175.95
2024/9176.662023/9179.982022/9195.72021/9207.152020/9197.26
2024/10180.072023/10170.912022/10189.312021/10189.942020/10180.64
N/AN/A2023/11171.652022/11191.932021/11208.352020/11198.74
N/AN/A2023/12167.152022/12179.842021/12220.572020/12192.23
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 16.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)31.8515.1912.58
24Q2 (19)27.65-10.9810.34
24Q1 (18)31.062.315.22
23Q4 (17)30.367.328.51
23Q3 (16)28.2912.8911.12
23Q2 (15)25.06-15.115.96
23Q1 (14)29.525.529.59
22Q4 (13)27.989.915.1
22Q3 (12)25.467.6510.55
22Q2 (11)23.653.823.59
22Q1 (10)22.78-6.293.83
21Q4 (9)24.315.5630.56
21Q3 (8)23.030.8811.04
21Q2 (7)22.834.0673.61
21Q1 (6)21.9417.8356.71
20Q4 (5)18.62-10.2219.44
20Q3 (4)20.7457.720.0
20Q2 (3)13.15-6.070.0
20Q1 (2)14.0-10.20.0
19Q4 (1)15.590.00.0

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