玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1404-0.71-0.710.6913.11-9.210.2150.0-4.551.9057.02-15.93202.2649.84-9.466.65-25.36-3.92.51-28.0810.574.67-25.4-1.485.087.860.29.6912.15-9.695.88-30.413.74.67-25.4-1.4851.097.39108.33
24Q2 (19)14140.00.00.611.67-37.110.14166.67170.01.21101.67-19.87134.9852.35-19.658.91-15.789.193.492392.8686.636.26-32.69-30.914.713523.0850.08.641.65-36.758.45-35.25-27.476.26-32.69-30.9112.76-9.16-83.33
24Q1 (18)14140.00.00.60-20.011.11-0.21-333.33-240.00.60-80.0711.1188.6-26.83-61.9510.58-13.2884.640.14-94.62-90.219.3013.55191.540.13-95.87-96.088.5-19.5811.1113.0527.32243.429.3013.55191.54-36.31-10.66-196.21
23Q4 (17)14140.00.00.75-1.3229.310.09-59.09-73.533.0133.19-0.33121.08-45.8-59.612.2076.384.572.6014.54-30.298.1972.78218.683.15-37.87-71.8210.57-1.4927.9710.2580.78109.188.1972.78218.68-6.41-11.4875.45
23Q3 (16)14140.00.00.76-21.65-30.910.22210.015.792.2649.67-7.0223.3932.9825.146.92-15.2-26.852.2721.39-21.454.74-47.68-45.585.0761.46-1.7410.73-21.45-30.955.67-51.33-43.644.74-47.68-45.582.5628.99-11.67
23Q2 (15)14140.00.00.9779.6331.08-0.20-233.3358.331.51179.6313.53167.99-27.86-12.058.1642.41-1.691.8730.77-41.749.06184.0167.163.14-5.42-48.8613.6678.5631.0911.65206.58-4.439.06184.0167.16-25.0836.36-144.61
23Q1 (14)14140.00.00.54-6.9-10.00.15-55.88-53.120.54-82.12-10.0232.87-22.3-1.15.73-13.31-17.081.43-61.66-44.363.1924.12-10.393.32-70.3-45.127.65-7.38-9.473.80-22.45-10.173.1924.12-10.3922.80-27.0911.54
22Q4 (13)14140.00.00.58-47.27-1.690.3478.95-30.613.0224.28-4.73299.7167.97.286.61-30.13-4.623.7329.07-7.212.57-70.49-9.8211.18116.67-0.538.26-46.85-1.674.90-51.296.992.57-70.49-9.8230.680.69109.27
22Q3 (12)14140.00.01.1048.6535.80.19139.58-52.52.4382.71-5.81178.51-6.54-46.459.4613.9886.592.89-9.9724.038.7160.7157.695.16-15.96-33.5115.5449.1436.3210.06-17.47146.578.7160.7157.69-12.7135.99-55.21
22Q2 (11)14140.00.00.7423.33-30.84-0.48-250.0-196.01.33121.67-24.86191.01-18.88-15.238.3020.12-5.573.2124.9-28.035.4252.25-18.866.141.49-38.9710.4223.31-31.4512.19188.1851.055.4252.25-18.86-17.3012.51-142.34
22Q1 (10)14140.00.00.601.69-14.290.32-34.69-15.790.60-81.07-14.29235.47-15.7216.146.91-0.29-15.112.57-36.07-24.413.5624.91-26.66.05-46.17-12.198.450.6-14.564.23-7.64-25.273.5624.91-26.6-15.96-12.73-6.09
21Q4 (9)14140.00.00.59-27.16-23.380.4922.548.483.1722.87-5.09279.38-16.2-18.936.9336.6934.34.0272.53122.12.85-15.68-8.3611.2444.8580.428.4-26.32-22.444.5812.2526.522.85-15.68-8.3615.88-25.731.25
21Q3 (8)14140.00.00.81-24.3-31.360.40-20.0-42.032.5845.760.39333.3847.95-8.45.07-42.32-16.062.33-47.76-29.613.38-49.4-26.27.76-22.86-35.5511.4-25.0-31.824.08-49.44-22.143.38-49.4-26.229.5514.285.79
21Q2 (7)14140.0-0.351.0752.863.880.5031.58127.271.77152.8627.34225.3311.14-0.918.797.9924.334.4631.1878.46.6837.734.3710.0646.0176.815.253.693.978.0742.586.326.6837.734.37-15.0221.8823.36
21Q1 (6)14140.00.00.70-9.09100.00.3815.15216.670.70-79.04100.0202.74-41.1781.118.1457.752.913.4087.8570.854.8555.959.986.8910.59210.369.89-8.6897.015.6656.3514.114.8555.959.98-23.25-21.92-18.51
20Q4 (5)14140.00.00.77-34.75-39.370.33-52.17-65.983.3429.96-33.73344.6-5.3227.315.16-14.57-52.921.81-45.32-72.413.11-32.1-51.936.23-48.26-64.9210.83-35.23-39.833.62-30.92-55.853.11-32.1-51.93--0.00
20Q3 (4)1414-0.350.01.1814.560.00.69213.640.02.5784.890.0363.9660.050.06.04-14.570.03.3132.40.04.58-28.440.012.04111.60.016.7214.360.05.24-30.960.04.58-28.440.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)14190.350.01.03194.290.00.2283.330.01.39297.140.0227.4103.140.07.07-10.620.02.5025.630.06.4045.120.05.69156.310.014.62191.240.07.5953.020.06.4045.120.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)14140.00.00.35-72.440.00.12-87.630.00.35-93.060.0111.94-58.640.07.91-27.830.01.99-69.660.04.41-31.840.02.22-87.50.05.02-72.110.04.96-39.510.04.41-31.840.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)14140.00.01.270.00.00.970.00.05.040.00.0270.670.00.010.960.00.06.560.00.06.470.00.017.760.00.018.00.00.08.200.00.06.470.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11114.5274.27223.17605.81-15.08236.29N/A配合客戶策略需求,訂單增加
2024/1065.7117.2321.76491.28-27.53189.61N/A-
2024/956.06-17.36-18.52425.57-31.8202.150.12-
2024/867.84-13.31-14.05369.51-33.44205.890.12-
2024/778.2630.883.51301.67-36.66180.250.13-
2024/659.7941.69-1.38223.42-44.24135.020.29-
2024/542.227.76-19.46163.63-51.88106.870.37現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024年出售較少。2023年因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/433.034.36-34.2121.43-57.7886.950.45現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024出售較少。2023因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/331.6542.06-61.2788.4-62.7788.40.25現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024出售較少。2023因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/222.28-35.38-64.9456.75-63.5588.180.25現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024年出貨較少。2023年因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/134.489.69-62.634.48-62.6101.340.222023年因後疫情影響,出貨量仍高,2024年因產品生命週期影響,市場販售狀況影響訂單。
2023/1231.43-11.31-71.94744.86-17.71120.830.251.消費性電子產品去年Q3因有缺料瓶頸,Q4瓶頸物料解除,基期較高。2.客戶依市場販售狀況訂單調整,出貨量減少。
2023/1135.44-34.33-65.58713.44-10.05158.20.191.消費性電子產品因去年Q3缺料瓶頸導致Q4出貨基期較高。2.今年因新舊產品交替青黃不接時期,客戶拉貨較少。
2023/1053.97-21.55-37.74678.0-1.76201.70.15-
2023/968.8-12.831.77624.033.4223.330.18-
2023/878.934.442.11555.243.6215.170.18-
2023/775.624.6838.75476.3-0.84188.630.21-
2023/660.6315.727.6400.7-5.91163.230.23-
2023/552.44.37-28.71340.07-7.97184.330.2-
2023/450.2-38.57-17.12287.67-2.82195.480.19-
2023/381.7328.6-6.82237.470.85237.470.19-
2023/263.55-31.0711.28155.745.41267.750.17-
2023/192.2-17.681.792.21.7307.180.15-
2022/12112.08.7539.74905.19-12.84301.680.17-
2022/11102.9818.7924.86793.18-17.24257.270.19-
2022/1086.6928.25-25.57690.2-21.2209.830.24-
2022/967.621.7-45.92603.51-20.53177.620.22-
2022/855.541.93-51.02535.91-15.53166.370.24因主要客戶受限於供應鏈瓶頸與缺料問題,影響到公司營收,但預期缺料情況將逐步改善。
2022/754.48-3.31-42.54480.37-7.81184.340.21-
2022/656.35-23.33-23.88425.89-0.08190.420.25-
2022/573.521.34-11.06369.544.91221.790.21-
2022/460.57-30.94-11.36296.049.81205.390.23-
2022/387.7253.6142.75235.4717.0235.470.18-
2022/257.1-37.023.89147.755.68227.90.18-
2022/190.6513.09-3.2690.65-3.26253.280.17-
2021/1280.15-2.82-21.471038.62-0.64279.110.2-
2021/1182.48-29.19-32.24958.461.6323.970.17-
2021/10116.48-6.81-2.65875.996.62354.90.16-
2021/9125.0110.22-8.01759.58.2333.240.18-
2021/8113.4119.591.97634.512.09282.270.21-
2021/794.8328.07-16.33521.0914.57251.510.24-
2021/674.04-10.41-20.39426.2624.83225.020.23-
2021/582.6520.9328.61352.2341.76212.430.24-
2021/468.3411.22-5.41269.5846.35175.870.29-
2021/361.4433.3122.57201.2479.77201.240.2去年因新冠疫情生產近乎停滯,營收基期偏低;今年產線較不受疫情干擾運作正常,造成兩期累計營收差異達80%。
2021/246.09-50.81246.0139.8126.15241.870.17109年因新冠疫情,生產近乎停滯,營收基期偏低;今年產線較不受疫情干擾,運作正常,造成兩期營收差異達246%。
2021/193.71-8.1993.2393.7193.23317.510.13去年1月屬淡季且工作天數少,營收基期低;今年因疫情導致旺季遞延,使1月營收較去年同期呈高度成長。
2020/12102.07-16.1450.91045.384.47343.460.15108年屬新舊產品交替期,需求偏弱;109年客戶新品齊發,且組裝產品受惠宅經濟,需求爆發,故營收產生差異。
2020/11121.731.7238.96943.311.11377.290.13-
2020/10119.66-11.948.28821.58-2.81366.770.14-
2020/9135.922.1912.52701.92-4.47360.450.12-
2020/8111.21-1.88-17.87566.02-7.82317.570.14-
2020/7113.3521.86-8.12454.81-4.97270.620.16-
2020/693.0144.748.91341.46-3.88229.520.16-
2020/564.26-11.06-20.88248.45-7.93186.640.2-
2020/472.2544.1420.88184.19-2.36135.70.27-
2020/350.13276.33-13.84111.94-13.14111.940.29-
2020/213.32-72.53-48.0561.81-12.56129.450.25-
2020/148.49-28.37.6348.497.630.0N/A-
2019/1267.64-22.77-10.131000.57-29.860.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)14140.03.00-0.330.27-28.95745.33-17.627.680.921.97-37.465.7924.7814.68-48.5353.48-18.8342.61-0.12
2022 (9)14140.03.01-4.750.38-78.41904.7-13.087.619.183.15-8.74.649.4328.52-20.6565.8917.5342.66-4.97
2021 (8)14140.03.16-4.821.7630.371040.82-0.686.9712.973.4538.04.24-5.1535.9437.2856.063.1344.89-4.85
2020 (7)14140.03.32-33.731.35-53.121047.95.06.17-38.112.50-52.834.47-36.626.18-50.5554.36-35.147.18-33.83
2019 (6)14140.05.01-21.842.88-36.98998.02-29.759.974.955.30-12.547.059.4752.94-38.4883.76-26.0971.3-22.05
2018 (5)14140.06.41-8.564.57-29.041420.57-3.99.50-1.556.06-14.896.44-4.4586.06-18.24113.32-1.091.47-8.21
2017 (4)14140.147.01-7.036.448.61478.1684.529.65-47.077.12-49.656.74-49.63105.26-7.05114.46-16.5499.65-7.05
2016 (3)14121.367.54-13.135.93-15.04801.1-19.4318.2311.0914.1415.5213.389.22113.24-6.91137.14-5.82107.21-12.11
2015 (2)13931.388.6827.846.9820.34994.2618.5116.41-9.7912.245.7912.259.57121.6525.3145.6232.77121.9829.74
2014 (1)13745.456.7927.155.8039.76838.95-11.3118.19011.57011.18097.0939.22109.6834.1394.0233.78

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