玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11114.5274.27223.17605.81-15.08236.29N/A配合客戶策略需求,訂單增加
2024/1065.7117.2321.76491.28-27.53189.61N/A-
2024/956.06-17.36-18.52425.57-31.8202.150.12-
2024/867.84-13.31-14.05369.51-33.44205.890.12-
2024/778.2630.883.51301.67-36.66180.250.13-
2024/659.7941.69-1.38223.42-44.24135.020.29-
2024/542.227.76-19.46163.63-51.88106.870.37現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024年出售較少。2023年因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/433.034.36-34.2121.43-57.7886.950.45現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024出售較少。2023因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/331.6542.06-61.2788.4-62.7788.40.25現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024出售較少。2023因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/222.28-35.38-64.9456.75-63.5588.180.25現行機種因上市時間已久,受市場販售狀況影響2024年出貨較少。2023年因後疫情效應影響,出貨量仍高。
2024/134.489.69-62.634.48-62.6101.340.222023年因後疫情影響,出貨量仍高,2024年因產品生命週期影響,市場販售狀況影響訂單。
2023/1231.43-11.31-71.94744.86-17.71120.830.251.消費性電子產品去年Q3因有缺料瓶頸,Q4瓶頸物料解除,基期較高。2.客戶依市場販售狀況訂單調整,出貨量減少。
2023/1135.44-34.33-65.58713.44-10.05158.20.191.消費性電子產品因去年Q3缺料瓶頸導致Q4出貨基期較高。2.今年因新舊產品交替青黃不接時期,客戶拉貨較少。
2023/1053.97-21.55-37.74678.0-1.76201.70.15-
2023/968.8-12.831.77624.033.4223.330.18-
2023/878.934.442.11555.243.6215.170.18-
2023/775.624.6838.75476.3-0.84188.630.21-
2023/660.6315.727.6400.7-5.91163.230.23-
2023/552.44.37-28.71340.07-7.97184.330.2-
2023/450.2-38.57-17.12287.67-2.82195.480.19-
2023/381.7328.6-6.82237.470.85237.470.19-
2023/263.55-31.0711.28155.745.41267.750.17-
2023/192.2-17.681.792.21.7307.180.15-
2022/12112.08.7539.74905.19-12.84301.680.17-
2022/11102.9818.7924.86793.18-17.24257.270.19-
2022/1086.6928.25-25.57690.2-21.2209.830.24-
2022/967.621.7-45.92603.51-20.53177.620.22-
2022/855.541.93-51.02535.91-15.53166.370.24因主要客戶受限於供應鏈瓶頸與缺料問題,影響到公司營收,但預期缺料情況將逐步改善。
2022/754.48-3.31-42.54480.37-7.81184.340.21-
2022/656.35-23.33-23.88425.89-0.08190.420.25-
2022/573.521.34-11.06369.544.91221.790.21-
2022/460.57-30.94-11.36296.049.81205.390.23-
2022/387.7253.6142.75235.4717.0235.470.18-
2022/257.1-37.023.89147.755.68227.90.18-
2022/190.6513.09-3.2690.65-3.26253.280.17-
2021/1280.15-2.82-21.471038.62-0.64279.110.2-
2021/1182.48-29.19-32.24958.461.6323.970.17-
2021/10116.48-6.81-2.65875.996.62354.90.16-
2021/9125.0110.22-8.01759.58.2333.240.18-
2021/8113.4119.591.97634.512.09282.270.21-
2021/794.8328.07-16.33521.0914.57251.510.24-
2021/674.04-10.41-20.39426.2624.83225.020.23-
2021/582.6520.9328.61352.2341.76212.430.24-
2021/468.3411.22-5.41269.5846.35175.870.29-
2021/361.4433.3122.57201.2479.77201.240.2去年因新冠疫情生產近乎停滯,營收基期偏低;今年產線較不受疫情干擾運作正常,造成兩期累計營收差異達80%。
2021/246.09-50.81246.0139.8126.15241.870.17109年因新冠疫情,生產近乎停滯,營收基期偏低;今年產線較不受疫情干擾,運作正常,造成兩期營收差異達246%。
2021/193.71-8.1993.2393.7193.23317.510.13去年1月屬淡季且工作天數少,營收基期低;今年因疫情導致旺季遞延,使1月營收較去年同期呈高度成長。
2020/12102.07-16.1450.91045.384.47343.460.15108年屬新舊產品交替期,需求偏弱;109年客戶新品齊發,且組裝產品受惠宅經濟,需求爆發,故營收產生差異。
2020/11121.731.7238.96943.311.11377.290.13-
2020/10119.66-11.948.28821.58-2.81366.770.14-
2020/9135.922.1912.52701.92-4.47360.450.12-
2020/8111.21-1.88-17.87566.02-7.82317.570.14-
2020/7113.3521.86-8.12454.81-4.97270.620.16-
2020/693.0144.748.91341.46-3.88229.520.16-
2020/564.26-11.06-20.88248.45-7.93186.640.2-
2020/472.2544.1420.88184.19-2.36135.70.27-
2020/350.13276.33-13.84111.94-13.14111.940.29-
2020/213.32-72.53-48.0561.81-12.56129.450.25-
2020/148.49-28.37.6348.497.630.0N/A-
2019/1267.64-22.77-10.131000.57-29.860.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/134.482023/192.22022/190.652021/193.712020/148.49
2024/222.282023/263.552022/257.12021/246.092020/213.32
2024/331.652023/381.732022/387.722021/361.442020/350.13
2024/433.032023/450.22022/460.572021/468.342020/472.25
2024/542.22023/552.42022/573.52021/582.652020/564.26
2024/659.792023/660.632022/656.352021/674.042020/693.01
2024/778.262023/775.62022/754.482021/794.832020/7113.35
2024/867.842023/878.932022/855.542021/8113.412020/8111.21
2024/956.062023/968.82022/967.62021/9125.012020/9135.9
2024/1065.712023/1053.972022/1086.692021/10116.482020/10119.66
2024/11114.522023/1135.442022/11102.982021/1182.482020/11121.73
N/AN/A2023/1231.432022/12112.02021/1280.152020/12102.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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