玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.09-13.689.2844.069.913.36N/A-
2024/94.744.5510.1239.979.9613.81.05-
2024/84.53-0.0310.0735.239.9413.791.05-
2024/74.53-4.149.9530.79.9214.161.02-
2024/64.73-3.3715.3626.179.9214.510.94-
2024/54.890.1515.3421.448.7914.020.98-
2024/44.8915.2514.6616.546.9912.31.11-
2024/34.2433.45-2.1811.664.0711.661.18-
2024/23.18-25.08-22.777.428.0211.331.21-
2024/14.248.2654.074.2454.0712.261.12112年春節為1月份,故113年1月合併營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2023/123.92-4.45-11.2348.11-18.0211.761.14-
2023/114.19.54-3.2644.19-18.5712.151.1-
2023/103.74-13.02-9.0540.09-19.8612.161.1-
2023/94.34.51-10.2336.35-20.8312.541.17-
2023/84.12-0.14-17.2832.05-22.0712.341.19-
2023/74.120.56-21.9127.93-22.7312.471.18-
2023/64.1-3.38-27.4723.81-22.8712.61.17-
2023/54.24-0.43-22.1919.71-21.8412.841.15-
2023/44.26-1.67-9.3315.46-21.7412.711.16-
2023/34.335.35-22.8411.2-25.6111.21.34-
2023/24.1149.48-0.786.87-27.2611.281.33-
2023/12.75-37.62-48.02.75-48.011.41.32-
2022/124.414.11-28.1358.68-23.9412.771.21-
2022/114.242.98-26.9554.27-23.5713.151.17-
2022/104.12-14.15-24.0550.03-23.2713.891.11-
2022/94.79-3.68-28.1245.92-23.215.051.14-
2022/84.98-5.73-32.0241.12-22.5915.911.08-
2022/75.28-6.59-28.6536.15-21.0816.391.05-
2022/65.653.64-21.7730.87-19.6215.811.25-
2022/55.4516.02-22.7325.21-19.1215.771.25-
2022/44.7-16.32-32.3719.76-18.0614.471.37-
2022/35.6235.48-11.0815.06-12.2715.061.43-
2022/24.15-21.67-6.169.44-12.9615.581.38-
2022/15.29-13.7812.025.2912.0217.241.25凱美公司與帛漢及旺詮於2021年1月底進行股權轉換案,故去年同期營收為凱美加帛漢。
2021/126.145.8243.0177.1672.7417.361.142021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/115.87.0842.9671.0275.917.891.112021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/105.42-18.7641.865.2179.5819.411.022021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/96.67-8.955.1559.884.0221.390.942021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/87.32-1.0687.8453.1388.4221.950.912021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/77.42.4182.5545.888.5221.690.922021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/67.232.3798.3338.489.7121.240.892021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/57.061.5596.4631.1887.8220.330.932021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/46.9510.066.4524.1285.4317.691.072021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,本年累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/36.3242.9872.5517.1794.4115.461.15各產品線出貨旺所致
2021/24.42-6.49106.310.85109.913.441.322021年1月底凱美公司因帛漢及旺詮股權轉換案,累計營收已排除帛漢並計入旺詮。
2021/14.7310.0656.184.7356.1813.081.36各產品線出貨旺所致
2020/124.295.7914.8244.67-1.7712.171.31-
2020/114.066.219.340.37-3.2612.181.31-
2020/103.82-11.1110.3836.31-4.4812.021.33-
2020/94.310.2819.3932.49-5.9712.251.27-
2020/83.9-3.85-4.928.19-8.9211.61.34-
2020/74.0511.26-3.6324.3-9.5411.291.38-
2020/63.641.4-2.6120.24-10.6411.410.66-
2020/53.59-13.95-7.9416.6-12.2211.430.66-
2020/44.1814.04-2.8313.01-13.349.980.76-
2020/33.6670.95-2.018.83-17.558.830.87-
2020/22.14-29.2-20.065.17-25.888.910.87-
2020/13.03-19.08-29.513.03-29.5110.480.74-
2019/123.740.7-12.0645.4752.970.0N/A本年營收變動因增加子公司-帛漢(股)公司而併入營收所致
2019/113.717.2666.7641.7363.830.0N/A本年營收變動因增加子公司-帛漢(股)公司而併入營收所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.242023/12.752022/15.292021/14.732020/13.03
2024/23.182023/24.112022/24.152021/24.422020/22.14
2024/34.242023/34.332022/35.622021/36.322020/33.66
2024/44.892023/44.262022/44.72021/46.952020/44.18
2024/54.892023/54.242022/55.452021/57.062020/53.59
2024/64.732023/64.12022/65.652021/67.232020/63.64
2024/74.532023/74.122022/75.282021/77.42020/74.05
2024/84.532023/84.122022/84.982021/87.322020/83.9
2024/94.742023/94.32022/94.792021/96.672020/94.3
2024/104.092023/103.742022/104.122021/105.422020/103.82
N/AN/A2023/114.12022/114.242021/115.82020/114.06
N/AN/A2023/123.922022/124.412021/126.142020/124.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.02100.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.01-66.670.0
24Q1 (18)0.030.0-72.73
23Q4 (17)0.0350.0-80.0
23Q3 (16)0.02100.0-33.33
23Q2 (15)0.01-90.910
23Q1 (14)0.11-26.671000.0
22Q4 (13)0.15400.01400.0
22Q3 (12)0.0300

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