玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10200.661.294.791664.518.82562.99N/A-
2024/9198.120.629.381463.859.39520.870.82-
2024/8164.233.59-2.781265.759.39469.850.91-
2024/7158.537.7713.931101.5211.48461.190.92-
2024/6147.09-5.452.69942.9911.07466.720.9-
2024/5155.57-5.1712.25795.912.78483.780.87-
2024/4164.06-0.0525.14640.3312.91476.40.88-
2024/3164.1510.760.49476.279.23476.270.78-
2024/2148.19-9.65.01312.1214.46431.550.86-
2024/1163.9337.2624.6163.9324.6464.00.8-
2023/12119.43-33.88-2.821829.651.41491.550.68-
2023/11180.64-5.6521.671710.231.72553.220.6-
2023/10191.485.7340.231529.59-0.2541.520.62-
2023/9181.17.1939.41338.11-4.16489.180.74-
2023/8168.9421.4134.461157.01-8.63451.310.8-
2023/7139.14-2.856.93988.07-13.37420.960.86-
2023/6143.233.34-13.18848.93-15.99412.920.8-
2023/5138.595.71-12.88705.7-16.54433.020.76-
2023/4131.1-19.73-16.0567.11-17.38435.540.76-
2023/3163.3315.74-8.14436.01-17.79436.010.67-
2023/2141.117.25-5.1272.67-22.66395.570.73-
2023/1131.567.05-35.46131.56-35.46402.920.72-
2022/12122.9-17.22-20.751804.11-10.6407.90.72-
2022/11148.478.73-25.171681.21-9.75414.910.71-
2022/10136.545.1-31.471532.75-7.92392.090.75-
2022/9129.913.39-32.351396.21-4.71385.660.8-
2022/8125.64-3.43-32.01266.3-0.55420.730.73-
2022/7130.12-21.13-10.411140.664.79454.190.68-
2022/6164.983.695.951010.557.13480.160.8-
2022/5159.11.931.5845.577.36493.00.78-
2022/4156.08-12.223.51686.478.82482.60.8-
2022/3177.8219.570.31530.3910.48530.390.88-
2022/2148.7-27.0512.17352.5716.44507.660.92-
2022/1203.8731.4519.76203.8719.76557.370.84-
2021/12155.09-21.8324.522018.137.75552.760.69-
2021/11198.42-0.4127.091863.0138.98589.70.64-
2021/10199.253.7643.981664.5940.54576.070.66-
2021/9192.033.9140.781465.3440.09522.070.68-
2021/8184.7927.2239.21273.3139.99485.740.73-
2021/7145.25-6.714.941088.5240.12457.690.77-
2021/6155.7-0.6612.99943.2747.75463.220.7-
2021/5156.743.9543.14787.5757.31484.780.67營收增加50%以上,係市場需求持續暢旺所致
2021/4150.77-14.9442.12630.8261.28460.590.7營收增加60%以上,係市場需求持續暢旺所致
2021/3177.2633.7171.96480.0568.41480.050.55營收增加60%以上,係市場需求持續暢旺所致
2021/2132.56-22.1263.05302.7966.4427.330.61營收增加達60%以上,係市場需求暢旺所致
2021/1170.2336.6869.11170.2369.11450.890.58營收增加達69.11%,係市場需求暢旺所致
2020/12124.54-20.2237.01465.0221.58419.050.66-
2020/11156.1212.8140.091340.4820.32430.910.64-
2020/10138.391.4517.171184.3618.13407.540.67-
2020/9136.42.7516.371045.9718.26407.560.62-
2020/8132.75-4.0817.12909.5718.54408.950.62-
2020/7138.40.4441.81776.8218.79385.70.66-
2020/6137.825.8460.84638.4114.75353.380.6宅經濟帶動需求、新品上市
2020/5109.53.2121.15500.626.36318.660.67-
2020/4106.082.9124.22391.122.85290.460.74-
2020/3103.0826.79-0.96285.04-3.33285.040.72-
2020/281.3-19.23-1.41181.96-4.63272.860.75-
2020/1100.6610.73-7.08100.66-7.08303.00.68-
2019/1290.9-18.4222.061204.911.640.0N/A-
2019/11111.44-5.645.831114.010.270.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1163.932023/1131.562022/1203.872021/1170.232020/1100.66
2024/2148.192023/2141.112022/2148.72021/2132.562020/281.3
2024/3164.152023/3163.332022/3177.822021/3177.262020/3103.08
2024/4164.062023/4131.12022/4156.082021/4150.772020/4106.08
2024/5155.572023/5138.592022/5159.12021/5156.742020/5109.5
2024/6147.092023/6143.232022/6164.982021/6155.72020/6137.8
2024/7158.532023/7139.142022/7130.122021/7145.252020/7138.4
2024/8164.232023/8168.942022/8125.642021/8184.792020/8132.75
2024/9198.12023/9181.12022/9129.912021/9192.032020/9136.4
2024/10200.662023/10191.482022/10136.542021/10199.252020/10138.39
N/AN/A2023/11180.642022/11148.472021/11198.422020/11156.12
N/AN/A2023/12119.432022/12122.92021/12155.092020/12124.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.72%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.372.93-57.95
24Q2 (19)1.33-18.9-77.65
24Q1 (18)1.64-19.21-80.73
23Q4 (17)2.03-62.89-84.35
23Q3 (16)5.47-8.07-1.44
23Q2 (15)5.95-30.0815.31
23Q1 (14)8.51-34.39112.75
22Q4 (13)12.97133.69184.43
22Q3 (12)5.557.560
22Q2 (11)5.1629.00
22Q1 (10)4.0-12.280
21Q4 (9)4.5600

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