玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1055.3511.797.95490.07-10.17154.53N/A-
2024/949.51-0.33-2.87434.73-12.05149.50.66-
2024/849.67-1.26-2.29385.22-13.1149.30.66-
2024/750.312.024.28335.54-14.5149.120.66
2024/649.31-0.36-13.07285.23-17.14146.440.63-
2024/549.493.9-15.05235.92-17.94147.470.63-
2024/447.63-5.38-13.84186.43-18.67136.540.68-
2024/350.3430.54-22.85138.79-20.21138.790.69-
2024/238.56-22.7-26.2688.45-18.62136.570.7-
2024/149.893.67-11.5549.89-11.55150.00.64-
2023/1248.12-7.44-14.6645.68-6.07151.380.65-
2023/1151.991.4-10.6597.56-5.31154.230.64-
2023/1051.270.57-10.61545.57-4.77153.080.64-
2023/950.970.26-20.47494.3-4.12150.060.72-
2023/850.845.37-18.47443.33-1.8155.820.7-
2023/748.25-14.94-19.15392.480.86163.240.66-
2023/656.73-2.64-11.83344.244.49170.280.68-
2023/558.275.393.78287.518.45178.810.65-
2023/455.29-15.2715.76229.249.7172.840.67-
2023/365.2524.777.64173.967.91173.960.77-
2023/252.3-7.2711.9108.78.08165.050.81-
2023/156.40.094.7656.44.76170.910.78-
2022/1256.35-3.111.31687.4517.26171.870.82-
2022/1158.161.412.46631.118.93179.610.78-
2022/1057.36-10.5114.46572.9419.63183.810.76-
2022/964.12.7816.74515.5820.24186.140.8-
2022/862.364.4821.04451.4820.75186.380.8-
2022/759.68-7.2422.68389.1220.71180.170.83-
2022/664.3414.627.48329.4420.36168.240.91-
2022/556.1417.5525.11265.118.75164.940.93-
2022/447.76-21.752.15208.9517.14155.530.99-
2022/361.0430.621.31161.6122.79161.610.95-
2022/246.73-13.1929.12100.5723.7156.20.98-
2022/153.84-3.219.3553.8419.35161.180.95-
2021/1255.627.5510.4586.2214.67157.450.8-
2021/1151.713.232.3530.615.14156.730.8-
2021/1050.11-8.7330.74478.8913.55156.530.8-
2021/954.96.5626.2428.7811.83155.070.81-
2021/851.525.9119.94373.889.99150.640.84-
2021/748.64-3.6110.44322.368.55143.990.87-
2021/650.4712.47-1.45273.718.22142.10.75-
2021/544.87-4.02-0.35223.2410.68141.940.75-
2021/446.75-7.076.42178.3713.86133.260.8-
2021/350.3139.0123.41131.6116.75131.610.67-
2021/236.19-19.7612.0181.312.99131.540.67-
2021/145.11-10.2213.7845.1113.78134.440.66-
2020/1250.2428.5417.84511.04-5.61127.660.61-
2020/1139.091.98-11.84460.81-7.61120.920.65-
2020/1038.33-11.9-19.96421.73-7.2124.780.63-
2020/943.51.28-12.77383.4-5.7130.50.65-
2020/842.95-2.48-10.98339.9-4.71138.210.62-
2020/744.04-14.0-3.6296.95-3.73140.30.61-
2020/651.2213.739.68252.9-3.75140.180.69-
2020/545.032.51-3.13201.69-6.65129.730.75-
2020/443.937.75-5.67156.65-7.62117.010.83-
2020/340.7726.17-10.46112.72-8.36112.720.81-
2020/232.31-18.49-9.571.95-7.12116.430.78-
2020/139.64-10.86-5.0839.64-5.08128.450.71-
2019/1244.470.318.29543.2911.380.0N/A-
2019/1144.34-7.416.82498.8111.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/149.892023/156.42022/153.842021/145.112020/139.64
2024/238.562023/252.32022/246.732021/236.192020/232.31
2024/350.342023/365.252022/361.042021/350.312020/340.77
2024/447.632023/455.292022/447.762021/446.752020/443.93
2024/549.492023/558.272022/556.142021/544.872020/545.03
2024/649.312023/656.732022/664.342021/650.472020/651.22
2024/750.312023/748.252022/759.682021/748.642020/744.04
2024/849.672023/850.842022/862.362021/851.522020/842.95
2024/949.512023/950.972022/964.12021/954.92020/943.5
2024/1055.352023/1051.272022/1057.362021/1050.112020/1038.33
N/AN/A2023/1151.992022/1158.162021/1151.712020/1139.09
N/AN/A2023/1248.122022/1256.352021/1255.622020/1250.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 13.87%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)11.972.9216.55
24Q2 (19)11.6311.2941.48
24Q1 (18)10.45-4.041.75
23Q4 (17)10.896.04-17.12
23Q3 (16)10.2724.94-11.77
23Q2 (15)8.22-19.96-35.07
23Q1 (14)10.27-21.84-3.02
22Q4 (13)13.1412.8938.17
22Q3 (12)11.64-8.0617.58
22Q2 (11)12.6619.5514.67
22Q1 (10)10.5911.3654.37
21Q4 (9)9.51-3.9425.63
21Q3 (8)9.9-10.3313.27
21Q2 (7)11.0460.930
21Q1 (6)6.86-9.380
20Q4 (5)7.57-13.390
20Q3 (4)8.7400.0

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