玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.411.239.6614.080.353.9N/A-
2024/91.262.32-17.1512.68-0.583.991.73-
2024/81.23-17.68-20.9111.421.664.11.68-
2024/71.59.162.0310.185.34.361.58-
2024/61.37-7.987.778.695.894.261.49-
2024/51.496.7410.157.315.544.471.42-
2024/41.4-11.833.965.824.424.281.48-
2024/31.5821.684.224.434.574.431.42-
2024/21.3-15.424.972.844.764.271.48-
2024/11.547.714.591.544.594.611.37-
2023/121.43-12.716.5817.1-1.434.351.52-
2023/111.6427.9323.2415.67-2.84.441.49-
2023/101.28-15.97-13.2214.03-5.144.361.52-
2023/91.52-2.311.9912.75-4.254.551.64-
2023/81.566.2131.9211.23-5.044.31.73-
2023/71.4715.30.569.67-9.144.091.82-
2023/61.27-5.94-25.278.2-10.683.971.98-
2023/51.350.74-12.766.93-7.364.221.87-
2023/41.34-11.61-21.385.58-5.954.11.92-
2023/31.5222.5517.594.230.294.232.05-
2023/21.24-15.72-21.022.71-7.343.942.2-
2023/11.4720.058.491.478.494.032.15-
2022/121.23-7.71-2.8517.35-5.824.032.29-
2022/111.33-9.92-31.8216.12-6.044.32.15-
2022/101.47-1.23-26.4814.79-2.744.152.22-
2022/91.4926.34-22.413.320.864.132.23-
2022/81.18-19.04-16.5911.834.834.352.12-
2022/71.46-14.32-4.9410.647.914.721.95-
2022/61.79.811.869.1810.284.961.65-
2022/51.55-9.212.417.489.924.551.79-
2022/41.7132.226.765.9312.084.571.79-
2022/31.29-17.68-11.224.227.054.221.73-
2022/21.5715.7629.772.9317.774.191.74-
2022/11.367.496.381.366.384.571.59-
2021/121.26-35.23-33.8718.426.335.221.26-
2021/111.95-2.8742.2617.1611.315.881.12-
2021/102.014.2452.2715.218.295.351.23本月客戶需求增加,致使營業收入增加
2021/91.9235.8225.0313.213.744.881.2-
2021/81.42-7.7432.3511.280.814.481.31-
2021/71.540.8321.189.86-2.524.571.28-
2021/61.520.536.188.33-5.924.391.29-
2021/51.5212.3726.576.8-8.264.321.31-
2021/41.35-7.41-1.715.29-14.964.011.41-
2021/31.4620.32-4.133.94-18.713.941.32-
2021/21.21-5.1-23.112.49-25.354.391.19-
2021/11.28-33.18-27.371.28-27.374.551.15-
2020/121.9139.34-11.3217.32-45.54.61.11-
2020/111.373.95-43.5115.42-47.984.231.21-
2020/101.32-14.39-47.8314.05-48.383.931.3-
2020/91.5443.76-47.6612.73-48.443.881.49-
2020/81.07-15.52-63.5111.19-48.543.771.53客戶需求減少
2020/71.27-11.64-52.2710.12-46.213.91.48客戶需求減少
2020/61.4319.83-29.878.85-45.214.01.56-
2020/51.2-12.74-49.37.42-47.444.091.53-
2020/41.37-9.69-64.496.22-47.064.461.4疫情影響
2020/31.52-3.48-49.394.85-38.534.851.25-
2020/21.57-10.35-32.793.33-31.865.481.1-
2020/11.76-18.41-31.01.76-31.06.330.96-
2019/122.15-11.245.0931.79-24.380.0N/A-
2019/112.42-3.99-21.6329.64-25.890.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.542023/11.472022/11.362021/11.282020/11.76
2024/21.32023/21.242022/21.572021/21.212020/21.57
2024/31.582023/31.522022/31.292021/31.462020/31.52
2024/41.42023/41.342022/41.712021/41.352020/41.37
2024/51.492023/51.352022/51.552021/51.522020/51.2
2024/61.372023/61.272022/61.72021/61.522020/61.43
2024/71.52023/71.472022/71.462021/71.542020/71.27
2024/81.232023/81.562022/81.182021/81.422020/81.07
2024/91.262023/91.522022/91.492021/91.922020/91.54
2024/101.42023/101.282022/101.472021/102.012020/101.32
N/AN/A2023/111.642022/111.332021/111.952020/111.37
N/AN/A2023/121.432022/121.232021/121.262020/121.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.157.14-62.5
24Q2 (19)0.14-44.0-66.67
24Q1 (18)0.25-3.85-24.24
23Q4 (17)0.26-35.0-23.53
23Q3 (16)0.4-4.76-13.04
23Q2 (15)0.4227.2713.51
23Q1 (14)0.33-2.94-8.33
22Q4 (13)0.34-26.09-12.82
22Q3 (12)0.4624.324.55
22Q2 (11)0.372.78-44.78
22Q1 (10)0.36-7.692.86
21Q4 (9)0.39-11.3656.0
21Q3 (8)0.44-34.3333.33
21Q2 (7)0.6791.43157.69
21Q1 (6)0.3540.0-27.08
20Q4 (5)0.25-24.24-13.79
20Q3 (4)0.3326.920.0
20Q2 (3)0.26-45.830.0
20Q1 (2)0.4865.520.0
19Q4 (1)0.290.00.0

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