玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10208.73-19.31-1.392324.2712.94737.58N/A-
2024/9258.72-4.225.32115.5314.58777.480.43-
2024/8270.138.6411.241856.8216.01770.980.43-
2024/7248.64-1.4116.951586.6916.86754.240.44-
2024/6252.21-0.469.851338.0516.85743.280.45-
2024/5253.46.6116.241085.8418.6703.10.47-
2024/4237.6712.0928.03832.4419.34648.030.51-
2024/3212.046.9110.51594.7716.19594.770.49-
2024/2198.327.5323.54382.7419.59602.710.49-
2024/1184.42-16.1615.61184.4215.61606.20.49-
2023/12219.978.9922.222479.640.47633.460.46-
2023/11201.81-4.6615.482259.68-1.23659.180.44-
2023/10211.68-13.8423.242057.86-2.61700.180.41-
2023/9245.691.1850.911846.19-4.9701.10.42本期營收較去年同期增加主要係出貨量增加所致。
2023/8242.8214.2151.551600.5-10.01684.920.43本期營收較去年同期增加主要係出貨量增加所致。
2023/7212.6-7.3921.961357.68-16.11660.090.45-
2023/6229.515.2810.921145.01-20.71633.130.45-
2023/5217.9917.43-0.77915.51-26.0595.480.48-
2023/4185.63-3.24-8.2697.51-31.44538.010.53-
2023/3191.8519.51-31.58511.88-37.21511.880.56-
2023/2160.520.63-37.44320.03-40.16500.00.57-
2023/1159.51-11.37-42.67159.51-42.67514.230.55-
2022/12179.972.98-43.342467.93-33.42526.480.57-
2022/11174.751.74-43.412287.96-32.49509.310.59-
2022/10171.765.5-43.472113.2-31.39494.770.61-
2022/9162.81.61-50.661941.45-30.07497.320.6本期營收較去年同期減少主要係市場價格下跌及出貨量減少所致。
2022/8160.21-8.08-51.011778.65-27.29541.430.55本期營收較去年同期減少主要係市場價格下跌及出貨量減少所致。
2022/7174.31-15.75-47.721618.43-23.63600.920.5-
2022/6206.91-5.82-39.031444.12-19.14628.840.59-
2022/5219.718.64-31.591237.21-14.47702.360.53-
2022/4202.23-27.88-31.681017.51-9.58739.280.5-
2022/3280.439.27-8.71815.28-1.7815.280.46-
2022/2256.62-7.760.24534.852.42852.510.44-
2022/1278.23-12.414.51278.234.51904.730.42-
2021/12317.662.8510.073706.8536.8930.340.37-
2021/11308.851.6419.03389.239.99942.680.37-
2021/10303.84-7.9218.13080.3542.51960.930.36-
2021/9329.990.8826.532776.5145.8990.550.35-
2021/8327.1-1.934.862446.5248.86999.930.35-
2021/7333.46-1.7445.622119.4251.29994.00.35本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/6339.375.6657.061785.9652.39956.550.33本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/5321.188.547.81446.5951.34924.390.34本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/4296.01-3.6446.81125.4252.38859.210.37本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/3307.219.9949.77829.4154.48829.410.35本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/2256.0-3.8344.72522.257.38810.780.36本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2021/1266.2-7.7571.84266.271.84814.30.36本期營收較去年同期增加主要係市場價格上漲及出貨量增加所致。
2020/12288.5811.1939.312709.550.8805.350.33-
2020/11259.520.8821.962420.97-2.41777.550.34-
2020/10257.25-1.3528.782161.46-4.69760.570.35-
2020/9260.787.529.231904.2-7.93732.30.37-
2020/8242.545.920.471643.42-10.17687.590.39-
2020/7228.985.973.891400.88-11.78662.340.4-
2020/6216.07-0.56-11.221171.9-14.31635.00.42-
2020/5217.297.76-12.16955.83-14.98624.030.43-
2020/4201.64-1.69-3.92738.54-15.78583.630.46-
2020/3205.115.95-15.9536.9-19.51536.90.52-
2020/2176.8914.18-14.88331.8-21.59538.940.52-
2020/1154.91-25.21-28.05154.91-28.05574.840.49-
2019/12207.14-2.65-16.662687.92-12.620.0N/A-
2019/11212.796.52-17.352480.78-12.270.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1184.422023/1159.512022/1278.232021/1266.22020/1154.91
2024/2198.322023/2160.522022/2256.622021/2256.02020/2176.89
2024/3212.042023/3191.852022/3280.432021/3307.22020/3205.1
2024/4237.672023/4185.632022/4202.232021/4296.012020/4201.64
2024/5253.42023/5217.992022/5219.712021/5321.182020/5217.29
2024/6252.212023/6229.512022/6206.912021/6339.372020/6216.07
2024/7248.642023/7212.62022/7174.312021/7333.462020/7228.98
2024/8270.132023/8242.822022/8160.212021/8327.12020/8242.54
2024/9258.722023/9245.692022/9162.82021/9329.992020/9260.78
2024/10208.732023/10211.682022/10171.762021/10303.842020/10257.25
N/AN/A2023/11201.812022/11174.752021/11308.852020/11259.52
N/AN/A2023/12219.972022/12179.972021/12317.662020/12288.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)43.917.23-1.57
24Q2 (19)40.952.3827.53
24Q1 (18)40.03.1535.69
23Q4 (17)38.78-13.07113.19
23Q3 (16)44.6138.9310.07
23Q2 (15)32.118.92-23.11
23Q1 (14)29.4862.07-23.84
22Q4 (13)18.19-55.12-45.31
22Q3 (12)40.53-2.95458.26
22Q2 (11)41.767.88281.37
22Q1 (10)38.7116.39347.0
21Q4 (9)33.26358.13629.39
21Q3 (8)7.26-33.7-14.99
21Q2 (7)10.9526.440
21Q1 (6)8.6689.910
20Q4 (5)4.56-46.60
20Q3 (4)8.5400.0

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