玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.37-41.89-35.4140.1921.0611.72N/A-
2024/104.07-22.8548.1337.8228.0611.71N/A-
2024/95.28123.9730.0733.7526.010.363.28-
2024/82.36-13.55-26.3628.4725.288.074.21-
2024/72.73-8.793.8126.1133.748.034.23-
2024/62.9929.339.7123.3938.48.233.24-
2024/52.31-21.12-12.1620.443.9115.51.72-
2024/42.93-71.4424.8518.0956.714.831.8本月累計營收較去年累計增加百分比56.7%,主係上個月大型專案驗收所致。
2024/310.26525.93293.2515.1664.8215.161.56本月營收較去年本月增加293.26%,本年累計營收較去年累計增加64.83%,主係本月大型專案驗收所致。
2024/21.64-49.61-58.174.89-25.6911.412.07本月較去年本月營收減少百分比58.17%,主係去年本月大型專案驗收所致。
2024/13.25-50.0522.063.2522.0613.431.76-
2023/126.5277.8534.6339.714.8112.931.74-
2023/113.6633.25-0.933.20.4410.472.15-
2023/102.75-32.250.629.530.6110.012.24-
2023/94.0626.7974.4826.780.629.892.29本月較去年本月營收增加百分比74.48%,主係本月專案驗收所致。
2023/83.221.8624.6722.72-6.458.552.65-
2023/72.63-3.63.1819.52-10.127.982.84-
2023/62.723.54-42.5816.9-11.897.72.9-
2023/52.6312.11-25.5314.17-1.87.592.94-
2023/42.35-10.06-2.0911.545.888.882.52-
2023/32.61-33.42-21.549.198.139.192.28-
2023/23.9247.0362.246.5927.2111.421.84本月合併營收較去年同期增加62.25%,主係:大型專案驗收所致
2023/12.67-44.91-3.432.67-3.4311.21.87-
2022/124.8430.9-30.0637.898.5311.271.68-
2022/113.735.2811.733.0518.088.762.16-
2022/102.7317.48-5.8129.3518.937.632.48-
2022/92.33-9.3912.2226.6222.237.442.71-
2022/82.570.8516.824.2923.299.862.04-
2022/72.55-46.36-10.9221.7224.110.821.86-
2022/64.7534.2976.5519.1830.9310.681.58本月合併營收較去年同期增加76.56%,主係:大型專案驗收所致。
2022/53.5347.447.2914.4320.689.261.82-
2022/42.4-27.93-11.9610.914.08.142.07-
2022/33.3337.6977.118.524.358.51.9本月營業收入淨額較去年同期增加77.12%,主係:ATM銷售增加所致。
2022/22.42-12.4835.895.184.3712.11.33-
2022/12.76-60.1-13.232.76-13.2312.991.24-
2021/126.92109.089.9634.9115.513.131.16-
2021/113.3114.0673.1227.9916.968.281.84本月營收較去年本月營收增加73.13%,主係:大型專案認列收入所致。
2021/102.939.9824.8324.6812.087.172.13-
2021/92.07-5.7-15.0421.7810.587.132.62-
2021/82.2-23.08-12.1519.714.27.742.41-
2021/72.866.3123.2817.5118.677.942.35-
2021/62.6912.03-26.814.6517.817.812.33-
2021/52.4-11.8948.2511.9636.527.02.6-
2021/42.7244.9965.619.5633.866.382.86本月營收較去年本月增加65.61%,主係:大型專案認列收入所致
2021/31.885.64-35.486.8424.366.842.56-
2021/21.78-44.1262.794.9691.7311.251.56本月營收較去年增加62.79%,本年累計營收較去年累計增加91.73%,主係:大型專案驗收所致。
2021/13.18-49.43112.873.18112.8711.391.54本月及本年營收增加112.88%,主係:大型專案驗收所致。
2020/126.29229.15-20.3730.22-0.5810.531.23-
2020/111.91-17.74-1.5923.936.366.681.94-
2020/102.32-4.732.2922.027.127.271.78-
2020/92.44-2.4977.5519.697.727.262.26本月營收較去年同期增加77.56%,主係:大型專案驗收所致
2020/82.57.9410.5417.252.048.491.93-
2020/72.32-36.88-12.6114.750.737.612.16-
2020/63.67126.9231.3812.433.686.932.32-
2020/51.62-1.589.648.76-4.736.172.61-
2020/41.64-43.51-6.997.14-7.485.652.85-
2020/32.91166.5730.45.5-7.635.52.69-
2020/21.09-26.93-13.142.59-30.4510.491.41-
2020/11.49-81.08-39.291.49-39.290.0N/A-
2019/127.9306.7739.4730.4-9.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.252023/12.672022/12.762021/13.182020/11.49
2024/21.642023/23.922022/22.422021/21.782020/21.09
2024/310.262023/32.612022/33.332021/31.882020/32.91
2024/42.932023/42.352022/42.42021/42.722020/41.64
2024/52.312023/52.632022/53.532021/52.42020/51.62
2024/62.992023/62.722022/64.752021/62.692020/63.67
2024/72.732023/72.632022/72.552021/72.862020/72.32
2024/82.362023/83.22022/82.572021/82.22020/82.5
2024/95.282023/94.062022/92.332021/92.072020/92.44
2024/104.072023/102.752022/102.732021/102.92020/102.32
2024/112.372023/113.662022/113.72021/113.312020/111.91
N/AN/A2023/126.522022/124.842021/126.922020/126.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 42.02%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.2720.0321.44
24Q2 (19)6.897.822.53
24Q1 (18)6.3921.0223.84
23Q4 (17)5.28-22.47-8.65
23Q3 (16)6.811.3418.43
23Q2 (15)6.7230.2361.54
23Q1 (14)5.16-10.73-16.1
22Q4 (13)5.780.5212.45
22Q3 (12)5.7538.22-16.55
22Q2 (11)4.16-32.36-30.67
22Q1 (10)6.1519.65-8.07
21Q4 (9)5.14-25.4-12.29
21Q3 (8)6.8914.8324.37
21Q2 (7)6.0-10.31-4.61
21Q1 (6)6.6914.16-4.29
20Q4 (5)5.865.78-8.29
20Q3 (4)5.54-11.920.0
20Q2 (3)6.29-10.010.0
20Q1 (2)6.999.390.0
19Q4 (1)6.390.00.0

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