玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.464.19278.682.16-14.6263.6412.20-3.94-73.5842.0616.96-38.7713.72-2.21-49.0540.5417.1-53.9
24Q2 (19)7.164.22153.02.5330.4110.012.70-4.08-60.4435.96-23.34-9.0114.0361.08-22.0634.62-32.7-35.43
24Q1 (18)6.8794.07188.661.943.19-10.1913.24-48.46-65.3146.91-2.9211.138.71-24.98-47.5651.44-17.56-19.35
23Q4 (17)3.5479.7126.921.8842.426.2125.69-44.36-56.0748.32-29.65-5.8811.61-56.89-47.3562.40-29.03-28.91
23Q3 (16)1.97-30.3962.811.32-42.61-14.2946.1743.83-38.7368.6973.8116.5626.9349.61-25.8187.9363.99-10.26
23Q2 (15)2.8318.9182.582.306.4831.4332.10-15.9-45.4539.52-6.37-24.1618.008.37-48.1153.62-15.93-29.69
23Q1 (14)2.3852.5637.572.1622.0320.6738.17-34.73-27.4542.21-17.78-17.0116.61-24.67-43.7763.78-27.33-13.73
22Q4 (13)1.5628.93-26.071.7714.94-16.1158.48-22.3935.6551.34-12.8818.8722.05-39.26-8.0587.77-10.4240.86
22Q3 (12)1.21-21.94-31.641.54-12.0-20.2175.3528.0646.7758.9313.0924.7536.304.6459.6397.9828.4829.18
22Q2 (11)1.55-10.4-30.181.75-2.23-11.6258.8411.8443.4452.112.4613.4134.6917.4383.5476.263.1512.03
22Q1 (10)1.73-18.01-32.681.79-15.17-8.6752.6122.0448.750.8617.769.3829.5423.1953.0673.9318.6518.16
21Q4 (9)2.1119.21-42.032.119.33-28.7243.11-16.0372.4443.19-8.5740.4123.985.4573.2762.31-17.8548.64
21Q3 (8)1.77-20.27-28.921.93-2.53-33.4551.3425.1640.5447.242.8150.7822.7420.32-8.0575.8511.4375.9
21Q2 (7)2.22-13.6276.191.981.02-12.7841.0215.94-43.3445.95-1.1814.5618.90-2.07-63.9168.078.7913.17
21Q1 (6)2.57-29.4176.341.96-33.78-11.3135.3841.52-64.0146.5051.1712.8619.3039.45-76.4462.5749.268.61
20Q4 (5)3.6446.18120.612.962.07-28.3325.00-31.56-54.6630.76-1.8239.6313.84-44.04-68.1841.92-2.7824.54
20Q3 (4)2.4997.620.02.9027.750.036.53-49.540.031.33-21.890.024.73-52.780.043.12-28.310.0
20Q2 (3)1.2635.480.02.272.710.072.40-26.360.040.11-2.650.052.37-36.060.060.154.410.0
20Q1 (2)0.93-43.640.02.21-46.490.098.3178.290.041.2087.020.081.9188.30.057.6171.150.0
19Q4 (1)1.650.00.04.130.00.055.140.00.022.030.00.043.500.00.033.660.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)15.43134.510.3748.7823.65-57.3835.19-32.789.63-62.4449.21-40.14
2022 (9)6.58-34.466.97-25.1355.4952.752.3533.4825.6430.3582.2147.09
2021 (8)10.0472.819.31-1.6936.34-42.1939.221.7419.67-59.9755.896.93
2020 (7)5.8138.669.47-29.2862.86-27.8438.5541.4249.14-31.8852.2723.77
2019 (6)4.1916.0713.3925.7387.11-13.9527.26-20.4372.14-19.1342.23-8.77
2018 (5)3.610.8410.65-11.84101.23-0.7934.2613.3389.200.5546.296.29
2017 (4)3.58-6.7712.08-47.91102.047.3130.2392.0688.719.7643.5545.07
2016 (3)3.8427.1523.19-66.6395.09-21.2215.74199.8180.82-22.0830.0234.98
2015 (2)3.02-1.6369.5057.38120.711.495.25-36.44103.721.0122.24-9.34
2014 (1)3.0741.4744.1647.3118.94-29.458.26-32.13102.68-32.2624.53-15.88

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