玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.040.93-49.010.42-20.250.11N/A-
2024/90.041.71-54.780.38-15.50.130.6市場需求減少。
2024/80.04-37.08-37.080.34-6.610.130.61-
2024/70.0660.2-7.960.3-0.810.140.59-
2024/60.04-9.71-7.350.251.050.150.47-
2024/50.04-43.22-15.890.212.670.160.44-
2024/40.0750.8946.560.178.380.130.53-
2024/30.05246.6810.540.1-8.840.10.92-
2024/20.01-63.5-57.690.05-21.590.120.76本月適逢農曆春節連假,工作天數及訂單交貨需求減少。
2024/10.04-45.3513.860.0413.860.150.61-
2023/120.0764.4518.780.63-31.480.180.38-
2023/110.04-43.97-43.370.56-34.820.20.35-
2023/100.07-10.48-0.040.52-34.030.210.33-
2023/90.0841.55-1.430.45-37.540.20.54-
2023/80.06-7.96-24.40.36-42.320.160.68-
2023/70.0661.27-10.220.31-44.810.150.73-
2023/60.04-18.03-41.080.24-49.850.140.96-
2023/50.05-1.07-44.590.2-51.240.140.94客戶庫存調整、市場需求減少。
2023/40.0513.8-57.670.16-52.980.121.06客戶庫存調整、市場需求下降。
2023/30.0432.67-48.730.11-50.510.112.05市場需求減少、客戶庫存調整。
2023/20.03-1.77-42.660.06-51.610.121.8市場需求減少。
2023/10.03-42.99-58.040.03-58.040.161.35因市場需求減少及逢春節連假,致出貨量減少。
2022/120.06-21.6-35.490.92-32.070.21.27-
2022/110.07-1.09-16.770.86-31.830.231.13-
2022/100.07-11.7332.130.79-32.950.231.11-
2022/90.088.56-22.790.72-36.190.231.73-
2022/80.089.29-46.030.63-37.630.211.87-
2022/70.075.83-46.310.56-36.250.221.79-
2022/60.07-22.91-55.180.48-34.460.271.68疫情因素影響原物料進貨及成品出貨
2022/50.09-24.43-26.920.42-29.240.281.58-
2022/40.1137.85-15.780.33-29.820.251.77-
2022/30.0848.38-37.580.22-35.490.222.07-
2022/20.06-28.11-18.110.13-34.130.222.02-
2022/10.08-12.36-42.240.08-42.240.251.77-
2021/120.091.14-37.671.362.220.231.38-
2021/110.0957.02-6.311.277.030.251.27-
2021/100.06-48.42-55.011.188.180.311.04原物料短缺、交期延誤,影響訂單出貨。
2021/90.11-24.1-2.471.1216.330.380.55-
2021/80.148.7128.961.0118.780.420.5-
2021/70.13-11.6629.010.8717.260.40.53-
2021/60.1525.7147.250.7415.390.40.62-
2021/50.12-12.920.30.599.430.390.65-
2021/40.142.1722.910.4711.980.340.74-
2021/30.1394.66-8.540.348.090.340.71-
2021/20.07-49.296.510.222.720.350.69-
2021/10.13-5.4232.980.1332.980.370.65-
2020/120.1452.0518.661.33-20.130.360.5-
2020/110.09-24.6-27.591.18-23.160.330.55-
2020/100.1211.8-14.591.09-22.750.350.52-
2020/90.110.36-6.670.97-23.690.320.68-
2020/80.118.76-7.410.85-25.460.310.7-
2020/70.10.82-32.850.74-27.570.320.69-
2020/60.1-14.36-24.590.64-26.650.330.88-
2020/50.126.69-27.120.54-27.020.370.77-
2020/40.11-23.97-37.940.42-26.990.320.91-
2020/30.15126.6911.340.31-22.10.310.77-
2020/20.06-36.69-36.270.17-38.370.290.84-
2020/10.1-15.6-39.640.1-39.640.350.68-
2019/120.12-7.21-36.571.66-45.540.0N/A-
2019/110.13-11.06-38.681.54-46.130.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.042023/10.032022/10.082021/10.132020/10.1
2024/20.012023/20.032022/20.062021/20.072020/20.06
2024/30.052023/30.042022/30.082021/30.132020/30.15
2024/40.072023/40.052022/40.112021/40.142020/40.11
2024/50.042023/50.052022/50.092021/50.122020/50.12
2024/60.042023/60.042022/60.072021/60.152020/60.1
2024/70.062023/70.062022/70.072021/70.132020/70.1
2024/80.042023/80.062022/80.082021/80.142020/80.11
2024/90.042023/90.082022/90.082021/90.112020/90.11
2024/100.042023/100.072022/100.072021/100.062020/100.12
N/AN/A2023/110.042022/110.072021/110.092020/110.09
N/AN/A2023/120.072022/120.062021/120.092020/120.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。