玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.99-10.73.6452.69.0717.85N/A-
2024/96.730.012.6746.619.817.130.37-
2024/85.16-2.17.4939.9111.115.760.4-
2024/75.27-1.3421.5534.7511.6615.510.41-
2024/65.348.915.6929.4810.0615.490.4-
2024/54.9-6.56.5524.1411.0715.480.4-
2024/45.24-1.7612.4519.2412.2915.220.41-
2024/35.3415.1613.4713.9912.2313.990.39-
2024/24.6415.2621.968.6611.4817.20.32-
2024/14.02-52.931.444.021.4419.640.28-
2023/128.5420.8319.3363.847.2821.390.22-
2023/117.0722.414.055.295.6319.380.24-
2023/105.78-11.541.8248.225.8717.10.28-
2023/96.5336.114.5542.456.4515.660.52-
2023/84.810.77.3335.926.814.180.57-
2023/74.33-14.222.8931.126.7213.990.58-
2023/65.059.82.4626.797.3614.320.46-
2023/54.6-1.3239.4521.738.5713.970.47-
2023/44.66-0.872.5117.132.4813.170.5-
2023/34.723.776.0412.472.4612.470.45-
2023/23.8-4.120.837.760.4114.920.37-
2023/13.96-44.630.013.960.0117.920.31-
2022/127.165.310.6559.511.3719.630.23-
2022/116.819.830.2152.351.4718.720.24-
2022/105.67-9.160.6945.551.6616.390.28-
2022/96.2539.732.0539.871.814.930.4-
2022/84.476.122.4133.631.7613.610.44-
2022/74.21-14.581.6529.161.6612.440.48-
2022/64.9349.433.0524.951.6612.780.36-
2022/53.3-27.45-3.9420.021.3312.280.38-
2022/44.552.520.3116.722.4412.750.36-
2022/34.4417.695.1712.173.2612.170.33-
2022/23.77-4.893.277.732.1914.850.27-
2022/13.96-44.271.193.961.1917.860.22-
2021/127.114.840.3458.71.9419.530.15-
2021/116.7820.427.0751.582.1618.540.16-
2021/105.63-7.94-5.4344.81.4516.120.18-
2021/96.1240.220.1839.172.5314.630.45-
2021/84.365.331.2633.052.9813.290.5-
2021/74.14-13.4-4.1428.683.2412.360.53-
2021/64.7839.286.5824.544.6112.750.54-
2021/53.44-24.23-18.8119.754.1412.190.56-
2021/44.537.493.4816.3210.7312.40.55-
2021/34.2215.5611.0211.7813.811.780.49-
2021/23.65-6.8116.347.5715.4114.660.4-
2021/13.92-44.7414.563.9214.5617.340.33-
2020/127.0911.88-22.6757.58-2.5819.380.29-
2020/116.346.345.4650.491.0918.40.3-
2020/105.96-2.4711.1444.150.516.380.34-
2020/96.1141.7419.1138.2-0.9714.740.45-
2020/84.31-0.29-2.6732.09-4.0513.120.51-
2020/74.32-3.714.3427.78-4.2613.040.51-
2020/64.496.09-15.9323.46-5.713.10.54-
2020/54.23-3.4217.9618.97-2.912.410.56-
2020/44.3815.32-32.214.74-7.611.320.62-
2020/33.821.0919.9310.359.1610.350.61-
2020/23.14-8.241.286.563.7615.720.4-
2020/13.42-62.76.143.426.1418.590.34-
2019/129.1752.651.1459.1125.050.0N/A營收差異主要係因大型專案增加,本月份有部份大型專案交貨認列收入所致。
2019/116.0112.0629.749.9421.210.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.022023/13.962022/13.962021/13.922020/13.42
2024/24.642023/23.82022/23.772021/23.652020/23.14
2024/35.342023/34.72022/34.442021/34.222020/33.8
2024/45.242023/44.662022/44.552021/44.532020/44.38
2024/54.92023/54.62022/53.32021/53.442020/54.23
2024/65.342023/65.052022/64.932021/64.782020/64.49
2024/75.272023/74.332022/74.212021/74.142020/74.32
2024/85.162023/84.82022/84.472021/84.362020/84.31
2024/96.72023/96.532022/96.252021/96.122020/96.11
2024/105.992023/105.782022/105.672021/105.632020/105.96
N/AN/A2023/117.072022/116.82021/116.782020/116.34
N/AN/A2023/128.542022/127.162021/127.112020/127.09
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 50.0%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.03.09-2.53
24Q2 (19)4.85-1.6291.7
24Q1 (18)4.936.02142.86
23Q4 (17)4.65-9.3694.56
23Q3 (16)5.13102.7791.42
23Q2 (15)2.5324.638.58
23Q1 (14)2.03-15.069.73
22Q4 (13)2.39-10.8214.9
22Q3 (12)2.6815.0224.65
22Q2 (11)2.3325.9512.56
22Q1 (10)1.85-11.06-25.1
21Q4 (9)2.08-3.264.0
21Q3 (8)2.153.8634.38
21Q2 (7)2.07-16.19125.0
21Q1 (6)2.4723.577.7
20Q4 (5)2.025.044.93
20Q3 (4)1.673.910.0
20Q2 (3)0.92-33.810.0
20Q1 (2)1.390.720.0
19Q4 (1)1.380.00.0

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