玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.63-4.1820.4261.23-17.0523.01N/A-
2024/97.967.34-8.653.6-20.5721.850.42-
2024/87.4214.53-2.1545.64-22.3420.480.45-
2024/76.48-1.67-16.4638.22-25.3318.830.49-
2024/66.5914.21-4.0631.88-26.6217.570.5-
2024/55.7710.56-4.4825.29-30.8516.010.55-
2024/45.213.59-26.6219.52-36.0614.340.61-
2024/35.0322.96-41.6214.31-38.9314.310.61-
2024/24.09-21.01-45.389.28-37.3616.660.53-
2024/15.18-29.85-29.155.18-29.1519.490.45-
2023/127.396.75-20.8688.13-18.1620.640.44-
2023/116.929.25-22.380.74-17.921.970.42-
2023/106.33-27.27-29.7573.82-17.4722.620.4-
2023/98.7114.91-4.2167.48-16.0924.040.54-
2023/87.58-2.21-20.3658.77-17.622.20.58-
2023/77.7512.91-18.4951.19-17.1820.650.63-
2023/66.8613.71-26.6843.44-16.9420.010.85-
2023/56.04-15.06-31.636.58-14.8221.770.78-
2023/47.11-17.58-16.8830.54-10.4723.230.73-
2023/38.6215.06-2.3923.43-8.3323.430.71-
2023/27.492.44-8.9914.81-11.4624.150.69-
2023/17.32-21.64-13.867.32-13.8625.560.65-
2022/129.344.81-1.73107.699.227.260.6-
2022/118.91-1.220.8898.3510.3627.020.61-
2022/109.02-0.832.7389.4511.4127.630.6-
2022/99.09-4.463.6880.4312.4728.120.48-
2022/89.520.0713.2971.3413.728.390.48-
2022/79.511.5715.9661.8213.7727.70.49-
2022/69.366.0817.7452.3113.3826.740.49-
2022/58.833.2115.4542.9412.4726.210.5-
2022/48.55-3.2111.3234.1211.7225.620.51-
2022/38.847.2817.025.5611.8625.560.58-
2022/28.24-3.0413.016.739.3226.230.56-
2022/18.49-10.65.978.495.9726.820.55-
2021/129.57.63.9898.6110.6927.110.53-
2021/118.830.5911.0389.1111.4626.380.55-
2021/108.780.0712.3580.2811.525.950.56-
2021/98.774.3913.2171.5111.425.370.62-
2021/88.42.4312.3262.7411.1524.560.64-
2021/78.23.1313.2354.3310.9723.80.66-
2021/67.954.0213.6846.1310.5823.280.63-
2021/57.65-0.4610.5238.189.9622.880.64-
2021/47.681.7212.4730.539.8222.520.65-
2021/37.553.619.9322.858.9522.850.61-
2021/27.29-9.078.3415.38.4823.910.58-
2021/18.01-6.858.618.018.6124.570.56-
2020/128.68.2-10.8788.55-29.1924.370.62-
2020/117.951.78-12.9879.95-30.7323.460.64-
2020/107.811.51-14.2772.0-32.2522.990.65-
2020/97.72.88-16.8464.13-33.9922.420.83-
2020/87.483.26-22.6456.44-35.821.720.86-
2020/77.243.54-30.0548.96-37.4221.160.88-
2020/67.01.12-37.9241.72-38.5520.741.09-
2020/56.921.28-37.8734.72-38.6720.621.1-
2020/46.83-0.57-40.9127.8-38.8720.421.11-
2020/36.872.11-39.7120.97-38.1720.971.01-
2020/26.73-8.83-37.3314.11-37.3923.760.89-
2020/17.38-23.56-37.467.38-37.4626.170.81-
2019/129.655.63-29.35125.07-13.180.0N/A-
2019/119.140.27-27.67115.42-11.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.182023/17.322022/18.492021/18.012020/17.38
2024/24.092023/27.492022/28.242021/27.292020/26.73
2024/35.032023/38.622022/38.842021/37.552020/36.87
2024/45.212023/47.112022/48.552021/47.682020/46.83
2024/55.772023/56.042022/58.832021/57.652020/56.92
2024/66.592023/66.862022/69.362021/67.952020/67.0
2024/76.482023/77.752022/79.512021/78.22020/77.24
2024/87.422023/87.582022/89.522021/88.42020/87.48
2024/97.962023/98.712022/99.092021/98.772020/97.7
2024/107.632023/106.332022/109.022021/108.782020/107.81
N/AN/A2023/116.922022/118.912021/118.832020/117.95
N/AN/A2023/127.392022/129.342021/129.52020/128.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 25.47%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.2133.25-36.31
24Q2 (19)3.91-29.17-58.4
24Q1 (18)5.52-11.4-37.13
23Q4 (17)6.23-23.84-42.21
23Q3 (16)8.18-12.98-17.21
23Q2 (15)9.47.065.15
23Q1 (14)8.78-18.55-23.12
22Q4 (13)10.789.11-19.49
22Q3 (12)9.8810.5112.02
22Q2 (11)8.94-21.72-11.04
22Q1 (10)11.42-14.71-0.7
21Q4 (9)13.3951.81-20.16
21Q3 (8)8.82-12.24-23.7
21Q2 (7)10.05-12.61-22.69
21Q1 (6)11.5-31.43-26.89
20Q4 (5)16.7745.0710.26
20Q3 (4)11.56-11.080.0
20Q2 (3)13.0-17.360.0
20Q1 (2)15.733.420.0
19Q4 (1)15.210.00.0

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