玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.3142.8428.6943.8533.5312.35N/A-
2024/103.7111.4737.0238.5434.2210.62N/A-
2024/93.33-6.7411.8534.8333.9310.540.93-
2024/83.57-1.58-1.6531.536.7912.470.78-
2024/73.63-30.9949.0127.9244.012.870.76-
2024/65.2632.41121.9224.2943.2713.490.56增減異動達50%以上係因112年06月營收較低係受景氣循環影響所致。
2024/53.97-6.6831.3319.0330.4912.640.59-
2024/44.26-3.44125.2615.0630.2711.430.66增減異動達50%以上係因112年04月營收較低係受景氣循環影響所致。
2024/34.4159.529.6810.811.710.80.7-
2024/22.76-23.74-12.266.391.949.810.77-
2024/13.635.9916.313.6316.3111.170.67-
2023/123.42-17.03-19.8136.26-32.4410.250.7-
2023/114.1252.093.3932.84-33.539.810.73-
2023/102.71-8.99-39.4828.71-36.779.320.77-
2023/92.98-18.01-49.4426.0-36.479.050.71-
2023/83.6349.12-26.9823.03-34.298.440.76-
2023/72.442.76-45.5119.39-35.57.830.82-
2023/62.37-21.64-48.2416.96-33.767.290.95-
2023/53.0360.05-32.0814.58-30.68.320.83-
2023/41.89-44.4-54.6111.56-30.28.440.82受景氣循環影響,部分客戶遞延出貨。
2023/33.47.9-22.429.67-21.999.670.81-
2023/23.151.1-13.616.27-21.7610.530.75-
2023/13.12-26.92-28.573.12-28.5711.370.69-
2022/124.276.96-21.4853.67-6.2212.730.75-
2022/113.99-10.98-22.2449.4-4.6214.360.66-
2022/104.48-23.975.7245.42-2.6815.350.62-
2022/95.8918.428.7640.94-3.5215.340.7-
2022/84.9811.2912.0735.04-7.4314.030.77-
2022/74.47-2.394.730.07-10.0213.510.8-
2022/64.582.83-3.8725.6-12.1813.20.83-
2022/54.466.950.0721.02-13.813.00.85-
2022/44.17-4.98-31.6316.56-16.912.20.9-
2022/34.3820.17-23.412.4-10.4112.40.92-
2022/23.65-16.4-6.748.01-1.2513.440.84-
2022/14.36-19.673.854.363.8514.930.76-
2021/125.435.93-6.557.2340.0714.80.78-
2021/115.1321.0320.4851.847.7913.940.83-
2021/104.24-7.428.746.6751.5713.250.872020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2021年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/94.583.059.1442.4354.3113.291.072020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2021年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/84.443.9742.0537.8662.4313.481.052020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2021年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/74.27-10.3922.3733.4265.5913.491.052020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2021年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/64.777.0540.3529.1574.6315.310.822020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/54.45-26.9365.5324.3883.3816.270.772020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/46.096.45107.7919.9387.9115.730.82020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/35.7246.3170.1313.8480.3113.840.932020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/23.91-6.9189.538.1188.2513.920.932020年初受疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使近期營收較去年同期增加。
2021/14.2-27.6887.074.287.0714.270.912020年初受春節及疫情影響,出貨遞減,營收下滑,2020下半年客戶需求提升,致使1月營收較去年同期增加。
2020/125.8136.5133.8140.86-8.0613.360.71-
2020/114.2629.2920.9535.05-12.611.740.81-
2020/103.29-21.4715.430.79-15.8210.610.9-
2020/94.1934.1343.4127.5-18.4710.810.83-
2020/83.13-10.43-5.9623.31-24.3410.010.89-
2020/73.492.771.2820.18-26.569.570.93-
2020/63.426.26-24.5616.69-30.559.020.9-
2020/52.69-8.27-32.6713.3-31.938.990.9-
2020/42.93-12.83-32.5810.61-31.758.360.97-
2020/33.3662.99-16.817.67-31.427.670.89-
2020/22.06-8.11-39.234.31-39.698.650.79-
2020/12.25-48.27-40.12.25-40.10.0N/A-
2019/124.3423.39-12.3844.44-22.010.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.632023/13.122022/14.362021/14.22020/12.25
2024/22.762023/23.152022/23.652021/23.912020/22.06
2024/34.412023/33.42022/34.382021/35.722020/33.36
2024/44.262023/41.892022/44.172021/46.092020/42.93
2024/53.972023/53.032022/54.462021/54.452020/52.69
2024/65.262023/62.372022/64.582021/64.772020/63.4
2024/73.632023/72.442022/74.472021/74.272020/73.49
2024/83.572023/83.632022/84.982021/84.442020/83.13
2024/93.332023/92.982022/95.892021/94.582020/94.19
2024/103.712023/102.712022/104.482021/104.242020/103.29
2024/115.312023/114.122022/113.992021/115.132020/114.26
N/AN/A2023/123.422022/124.272021/125.432020/125.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 25.58%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.01-7.18-5.2
24Q2 (19)4.32-14.121.41
24Q1 (18)5.0342.926.38
23Q4 (17)3.52-16.78-47.38
23Q3 (16)4.23-0.7-49.04
23Q2 (15)4.267.04-31.18
23Q1 (14)3.98-40.51-25.33
22Q4 (13)6.69-19.428.65
22Q3 (12)8.334.0956.6
22Q2 (11)6.1916.148.79
22Q1 (10)5.332.5-17.62
21Q4 (9)5.2-1.89-7.14
21Q3 (8)5.3-6.8517.78
21Q2 (7)5.69-12.06158.64
21Q1 (6)6.4715.54181.3
20Q4 (5)5.624.44391.23
20Q3 (4)4.5104.550.0
20Q2 (3)2.2-4.350.0
20Q1 (2)2.3101.750.0
19Q4 (1)1.140.00.0

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