玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.3-3.1628.9537.5124.0513.65N/A-
2024/94.44-9.2624.233.223.4413.480.71-
2024/84.918.2532.0328.7623.3213.080.73-
2024/74.142.513.2623.8621.6712.080.79-
2024/64.043.7130.919.7223.611.310.82-
2024/53.915.5638.6115.6821.859.740.96-
2024/43.3736.2627.1811.7817.178.651.08-
2024/32.47-11.821.568.4113.588.411.18-
2024/22.81-10.3627.685.9419.489.71.02-
2024/13.13-16.8912.973.1312.9710.560.94-
2023/123.772.8810.1437.665.6210.770.99-
2023/113.669.69-13.0233.95.1410.581.01-
2023/103.34-6.72-0.0830.247.8710.631.01-
2023/93.58-3.547.826.98.9510.950.94-
2023/83.711.445.7123.329.1210.450.99-
2023/73.6618.4753.0319.619.799.551.08東南亞客戶RSE專案去年10月開始出貨,又部分6月訂單遞延到本月出貨。
2023/63.099.824.4415.953.128.551.22-
2023/52.816.0422.5412.872.87.91.32-
2023/42.658.8138.1410.05-1.627.281.43-
2023/32.4410.84-10.657.4-10.817.41.54-
2023/22.2-20.69-19.884.97-10.888.391.36-
2023/12.77-18.97-2.182.77-2.1810.41.09-
2022/123.42-18.7511.135.6644.0210.971.07-
2022/114.2126.0142.232.2448.710.871.08-
2022/103.340.6333.0828.0349.7310.171.15-
2022/93.32-5.4164.9624.6952.319.221.299月延續去年下半年暨今年東南亞及中國大陸新案出貨, 致營收大幅成長
2022/83.5146.8494.4821.3750.518.851.348月延續去年下半年暨今年東南亞及中國大陸新案出貨, 致營收大幅成長
2022/72.39-19.1324.8717.8644.117.641.56-
2022/62.9628.8678.0315.4747.627.171.656月延續去年下半年暨今年東南亞及中國大陸新案出貨, 致營收大幅成長
2022/52.2919.5328.412.5141.96.941.71-
2022/41.92-29.623.3110.2245.337.391.6-
2022/32.73-0.5952.968.360.418.31.15去年之新案量產,今年持續出貨
2022/22.74-3.1766.935.5864.328.651.11去年之新案量產,今年持續出貨
2022/12.83-7.9761.872.8361.878.871.08去年之新案量產,今年持續出貨
2021/123.083.9849.7324.7651.578.550.92109年係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110年新案量產,營收增加。
2021/112.9617.9367.1721.6851.837.481.05109年係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110年新案量產,營收增加。
2021/102.5124.7449.8118.7249.666.331.24-
2021/92.0111.527.7316.2149.645.731.15-
2021/81.8-5.7134.5814.253.375.381.23109年係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110年維持今年以來的出貨水平。
2021/71.9115.2857.8112.3956.555.361.23109/7係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110/7維持今年以來的出貨水平。
2021/61.66-7.0680.5810.4856.325.30.97109/6係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110/6維持今年以來的出貨水平。
2021/51.79-3.8176.358.8252.475.430.95109/5係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110/5維持今年以來的出貨水平。
2021/41.864.19171.017.0347.45.280.98109/4係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110/4疫情趨緩訂單增加
2021/31.788.4874.015.1826.675.180.86109/3係因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少,110/3疫情趨緩訂單增加
2021/21.64-6.1115.573.3910.825.450.81-
2021/11.75-14.876.711.756.715.580.8-
2020/122.0616.0936.416.33-25.825.50.79-
2020/111.775.684.814.28-30.395.020.87-
2020/101.686.360.9212.51-33.554.590.95-
2020/91.5817.48-17.2110.83-36.884.130.95-
2020/81.3410.56-27.999.26-39.343.471.13-
2020/71.2131.92-45.157.92-40.913.141.24-
2020/60.92-9.24-45.896.7-40.082.621.56係因受新冠肺炎的影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少
2020/51.0147.81-52.15.78-39.032.721.5係因受新冠肺炎的影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少
2020/40.69-33.09-65.84.77-35.293.131.31係因受新冠肺炎的影響,車廠停工,致營收大幅減少
2020/31.02-27.95-53.384.09-23.94.090.88訂單減少
2020/21.42-13.31-0.83.06-3.484.570.79-
2020/11.648.81-5.71.64-5.74.840.75-
2019/121.51-10.79-4.9922.0211.320.0N/A-
2019/111.691.7632.7320.5112.740.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.132023/12.772022/12.832021/11.752020/11.64
2024/22.812023/22.22022/22.742021/21.642020/21.42
2024/32.472023/32.442022/32.732021/31.782020/31.02
2024/43.372023/42.652022/41.922021/41.862020/40.69
2024/53.92023/52.812022/52.292021/51.792020/51.01
2024/64.042023/63.092022/62.962021/61.662020/60.92
2024/74.142023/73.662022/72.392021/71.912020/71.21
2024/84.92023/83.712022/83.512021/81.82020/81.34
2024/94.442023/93.582022/93.322021/92.012020/91.58
2024/104.32023/103.342022/103.342021/102.512020/101.68
N/AN/A2023/113.662022/114.212021/112.962020/111.77
N/AN/A2023/123.772022/123.422021/123.082020/122.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.47%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.18-10.0200.0
24Q2 (19)0.225.0185.71
24Q1 (18)0.16-5.88300.0
23Q4 (17)0.17183.3370.0
23Q3 (16)0.06-14.29-33.33
23Q2 (15)0.0775.0-36.36
23Q1 (14)0.04-60.0-97.74
22Q4 (13)0.111.1111.11
22Q3 (12)0.09-18.18200.0
22Q2 (11)0.11-93.791000.0
22Q1 (10)1.771866.678750.0
21Q4 (9)0.09200.0350.0
21Q3 (8)0.03200.050.0
21Q2 (7)0.01-50.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.020.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.020.0-33.33
20Q3 (4)0.02100.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.01-50.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.02-33.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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