玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.6227.67-16.3361.431.1616.98N/A-
2024/105.18-0.094.5654.823.7816.05N/A-
2024/95.19-8.727.8349.633.6917.854.91-
2024/85.68-18.564.2944.453.2318.614.71-
2024/76.9817.31.8138.763.0818.764.67-
2024/65.952.07-24.8531.793.3617.254.97-
2024/55.836.526.125.8413.1417.175.0-
2024/45.47-6.82.7720.0115.3815.25.65-
2024/35.8752.2430.3214.5420.9614.545.77-
2024/23.86-19.85-0.588.6715.3522.623.71-
2024/14.81-65.5132.374.8132.3726.673.14-
2023/1213.9576.4582.274.6827.726.823.06本月較去年同月增加,主係餘屋銷售增加及再生水廠投入產生營收所致。
2023/117.9159.5780.7760.7319.4917.674.64本月較去年同月增加,主係餘屋銷售增加及再生水廠投入產生營收所致。
2023/104.963.02-1.1852.8213.7215.215.39-
2023/94.81-11.7324.2647.8615.5217.114.73-
2023/85.45-20.49-11.0143.0514.6220.224.0-
2023/76.85-13.4259.637.619.6220.264.0本月較去年同月增加,主係去年底開始認列再生水廠營收所致。
2023/67.9244.1165.9530.7513.2918.734.4本月較去年同月增加,主係本月建案交屋增加及去年底始認列再生水廠營收所致。
2023/55.493.17-9.0722.832.0715.325.38-
2023/45.3218.1838.7117.346.1913.716.01-
2023/34.516.1315.4112.02-3.7912.026.92-
2023/23.886.71-10.437.51-12.5215.175.48-
2023/13.63-52.53-14.643.63-14.6415.675.31-
2022/127.6675.06-56.9358.48-6.617.054.71本月減少主要係去年有建案完工,陸續交屋所致。
2022/114.37-12.77-27.6950.8213.3613.266.06-
2022/105.0129.5510.1946.4419.7615.015.35-
2022/93.87-36.7850.6941.4321.0314.295.6本月較去年同月增加,主係本月工進增加所致。
2022/86.1242.6-3.3637.5618.6315.195.26-
2022/74.29-9.9752.8231.4424.1315.115.29因去年同月受新冠肺炎疫情全國發布三級警戒影響,致子公司百貨業及飯店業營收下滑。
2022/64.77-21.0418.127.1420.5514.655.5-
2022/56.0457.491.7122.3721.0913.785.84本月較去年同月增加,主係本月建案交屋增加所致。
2022/43.84-1.65-10.9116.336.5612.076.67-
2022/33.9-9.88-2.0912.4913.412.496.48-
2022/24.331.6929.88.5922.1926.373.07-
2022/14.26-76.0515.324.2615.3228.092.88-
2021/1217.78193.91108.1762.61-7.9328.382.84本月增加主要係建案完工陸續交屋所致。
2021/116.0532.94-6.844.83-24.6113.176.12-
2021/104.5577.1619.8338.78-26.7913.465.99-
2021/92.57-59.46-69.9734.23-30.3911.727.48本月較去年同月減少,主係去年同月建案交屋增加所致。
2021/86.34125.5221.5131.66-22.0513.196.64-
2021/72.81-30.42-63.7625.32-28.4710.08.76本月較去年同月減少,主係去年同月建案交屋增加所致。
2021/64.0428.16-21.6922.51-18.5711.57.41-
2021/53.15-26.85-25.8718.47-17.8611.457.44-
2021/44.318.067.5715.32-15.9911.637.32-
2021/33.9919.49-10.6211.02-22.6211.027.83-
2021/23.34-9.65-31.497.03-28.115.575.54-
2021/13.69-56.76-24.733.69-24.7318.734.61-
2020/128.5431.57-8.1268.017.5118.834.57-
2020/116.4970.9494.859.4610.218.844.57本月較去年同月增加,主係本月建案交屋增加所致。
2020/103.8-55.6-6.8152.974.6317.574.9-
2020/98.5564.02-21.2649.175.6421.524.1-
2020/85.21-32.7540.3140.6213.8318.134.86-
2020/77.7650.3653.4635.410.7517.165.14本月較去年同月增加,主係本月建案交屋增加所致。
2020/65.1621.327.627.652.7313.416.98-
2020/54.256.144.2822.491.6812.727.36-
2020/44.0-10.21-1.618.241.0913.337.02-
2020/34.46-8.41-4.2814.241.8714.246.6-
2020/24.87-0.7328.149.784.9519.074.92-
2020/14.91-47.23-11.024.91-11.020.0N/A-
2019/129.3178.9815.563.25-80.220.0N/A本年度累計較去年累計減少主係建案交屋已趨於尾聲所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.812023/13.632022/14.262021/13.692020/14.91
2024/23.862023/23.882022/24.332021/23.342020/24.87
2024/35.872023/34.52022/33.92021/33.992020/34.46
2024/45.472023/45.322022/43.842021/44.312020/44.0
2024/55.832023/55.492022/56.042021/53.152020/54.25
2024/65.952023/67.922022/64.772021/64.042020/65.16
2024/76.982023/76.852022/74.292021/72.812020/77.76
2024/85.682023/85.452022/86.122021/86.342020/85.21
2024/95.192023/94.812022/93.872021/92.572020/98.55
2024/105.182023/104.962022/105.012021/104.552020/103.8
2024/116.622023/117.912022/114.372021/116.052020/116.49
N/AN/A2023/1213.952022/127.662021/1217.782020/128.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 23.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)22.319.4743.29
24Q2 (19)20.3812.7241.72
24Q1 (18)18.084.8762.74
23Q4 (17)17.2410.7380.15
23Q3 (16)15.578.2895.85
23Q2 (15)14.3829.43117.55
23Q1 (14)11.1116.0977.48
22Q4 (13)9.5720.3869.68
22Q3 (12)7.9520.278.31
22Q2 (11)6.615.5915.56
22Q1 (10)6.2610.9911.79
21Q4 (9)5.64-23.1637.56
21Q3 (8)7.3428.3241.15
21Q2 (7)5.722.148.33
21Q1 (6)5.636.5991.13
20Q4 (5)4.1-21.15-49.26
20Q3 (4)5.2-1.520.0
20Q2 (3)5.2880.20.0
20Q1 (2)2.93-63.740.0
19Q4 (1)8.080.00.0

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