玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1115.19-10.1-0.35189.224.2249.8N/A0.387.46-
2024/1016.89-4.674.42173.9926.9153.23N/A0.677.07-
2024/917.72-4.835.8157.129.8354.890.00.956.4-
2024/818.620.3350.07139.3829.1555.510.00.535.45係因去年度散裝航運市況不佳所致,今年度已有明顯回升。
2024/718.551.1750.71120.7726.5255.850.00.614.92係因去年度散裝航運市況不佳所致,今年度已有明顯回升。
2024/618.34-3.2720.33102.2423.0255.40.00.834.31-
2024/518.964.7115.0483.9223.6254.40.00.713.48-
2024/418.14.4216.2665.026.3748.750.00.772.77-
2024/317.3430.2430.0546.9430.8346.950.00.672.0-
2024/213.31-18.3244.0429.6231.3247.270.00.721.33-
2024/116.3-7.7222.2416.322.2449.20.00.60.6-
2023/1217.6615.9117.72169.95-31.7849.080.01.364.42-
2023/1115.24-5.79-11.17152.3-34.8944.460.00.233.07-
2023/1016.1823.96-17.06137.09-36.6641.630.00.352.83-
2023/913.055.2-30.31121.0-38.4637.760.00.432.48-
2023/812.40.75-40.16107.92-39.2239.950.00.192.06-
2023/712.31-19.21-47.4595.45-39.144.030.0-0.031.87-
2023/615.24-7.52-40.8883.11-37.6647.290.01.211.89-
2023/516.485.82-37.667.89-36.9445.380.00.490.69-
2023/415.5716.81-35.1551.43-36.8338.140.00.380.21-
2023/313.3344.25-39.4935.88-37.6435.90.00.05-0.17-
2023/29.24-30.69-43.0922.56-36.5637.580.0-0.26-0.22-
2023/113.33-11.14-30.9513.33-30.9545.490.00.040.04-
2022/1215.01-12.53-27.17249.1329.9651.670.00.1314.2-
2022/1117.16-12.04-15.58233.9336.7555.390.00.3814.03-
2022/1019.54.16-6.55216.4643.6358.960.00.8113.6-
2022/918.72-9.679.55196.6251.4562.880.00.9412.73因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/820.73-11.521.34177.5757.5569.930.01.0811.75因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/723.43-9.1239.88156.7563.9575.620.01.3410.66因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/625.78-2.471.32133.3369.0876.210.02.169.31因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/526.419.9881.1107.6668.7772.460.01.757.17因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/424.028.9973.7681.4365.5462.290.01.865.43因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/322.0335.6960.7457.5462.6357.580.01.573.6因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/216.24-15.9155.7935.5663.9356.150.00.872.03因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2022/119.31-6.2871.3419.3171.3460.240.01.161.16因整體運價上漲,致營收增加。
2021/1220.611.3982.69191.6960.5561.80.01.4811.09主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/1120.32-2.6392.67171.0658.3358.290.01.339.61主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/1020.8722.1391.72150.754.6655.050.01.388.27主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/917.090.0467.65129.8250.0950.920.01.86.89主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/817.082.0158.39112.7147.7448.880.00.925.08主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/716.7511.362.6495.646.0146.380.00.864.16主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/615.053.1666.3178.8642.9443.450.00.753.3主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/514.585.5258.463.7938.3142.110.00.62.55主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/413.820.8353.5849.1933.2637.950.00.751.95主係去年因BDI指數下跌及COVID-19疫情影響而使營業收入大幅減少,今年因後疫情經濟復甦,航運需求回溫,營收已漸回穩所致。
2021/313.7131.5145.8935.3826.7435.40.00.71.2-
2021/210.42-7.5123.4121.6917.1432.970.00.240.5-
2021/111.27-0.0711.9311.2711.9333.10.00.260.26-
2020/1211.286.930.36119.39-13.6932.710.00.390.18-
2020/1110.55-3.11-4.49108.03-15.031.630.00.1-0.23-
2020/1010.896.79-8.1697.44-16.0431.870.00.07-0.33-
2020/910.19-5.48-14.0486.5-16.9931.280.00.05-0.4-
2020/810.794.74-11.2776.28-17.3830.130.00.1-0.46-
2020/710.313.81-12.8165.48-18.3428.550.00.0-0.56-
2020/69.05-1.73-21.0455.16-19.3227.250.0-0.16-0.57-
2020/59.212.3-21.4146.12-18.9827.60.0-0.05-0.41-
2020/49.0-4.21-19.7536.91-18.3526.840.0-0.2-0.36-
2020/39.411.24-19.2127.91-17.8927.910.0-0.12-0.16-
2020/28.45-16.11-19.8418.52-17.229.750.0-0.09-0.04-
2020/110.07-10.4-14.8910.07-14.890.0N/A0.050.05-
2019/1211.241.75-5.96138.335.860.0N/A0.162.97-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.32023/113.332022/119.312021/111.272020/110.07
2024/213.312023/29.242022/216.242021/210.422020/28.45
2024/317.342023/313.332022/322.032021/313.712020/39.4
2024/418.12023/415.572022/424.022021/413.822020/49.0
2024/518.962023/516.482022/526.412021/514.582020/59.21
2024/618.342023/615.242022/625.782021/615.052020/69.05
2024/718.552023/712.312022/723.432021/716.752020/710.3
2024/818.622023/812.42022/820.732021/817.082020/810.79
2024/917.722023/913.052022/918.722021/917.092020/910.19
2024/1016.892023/1016.182022/1019.52021/1020.872020/1010.89
2024/1115.192023/1115.242022/1117.162021/1120.322020/1110.55
N/AN/A2023/1217.662022/1215.012021/1220.612020/1211.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.03-2.1818.88
24Q2 (19)4.12-21.82-9.05
24Q1 (18)5.2717.63-1.5
23Q4 (17)4.4832.15-9.13
23Q3 (16)3.39-25.17-39.36
23Q2 (15)4.53-15.33-34.73
23Q1 (14)5.358.52-16.8
22Q4 (13)4.93-11.81-9.87
22Q3 (12)5.59-19.459.18
22Q2 (11)6.947.9343.09
22Q1 (10)6.4317.5533.96
21Q4 (9)5.476.84-7.13
21Q3 (8)5.125.5720.75
21Q2 (7)4.851.0411.24
21Q1 (6)4.8-18.51-4.19
20Q4 (5)5.8938.9210.3
20Q3 (4)4.24-2.750.0
20Q2 (3)4.36-12.970.0
20Q1 (2)5.01-6.180.0
19Q4 (1)5.340.00.0

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