玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1017.28-3.12-4.03183.96-0.8556.3N/A-
2024/917.83-15.871.65166.68-0.5157.290.27-
2024/821.216.080.91148.85-0.7657.270.27-
2024/718.262.53-6.36127.65-1.0455.10.28-
2024/617.81-6.423.07109.39-0.0953.210.27-
2024/519.0316.282.5491.58-0.6852.990.27-
2024/416.37-6.94-7.8872.55-1.554.230.26-
2024/317.59-13.2410.3656.180.5256.180.26-
2024/220.2710.6711.1238.59-3.3958.540.25-
2024/118.32-8.18-15.618.32-15.655.040.27-
2023/1219.9518.9414.6222.2721.6654.730.3-
2023/1116.77-6.829.09202.3122.452.320.31-
2023/1018.02.614.51185.5423.7656.550.29-
2023/917.54-16.489.86167.5426.2658.050.31-
2023/821.07.713.15150.028.5157.780.31-
2023/719.512.8619.23128.9931.4155.340.32-
2023/617.28-6.939.6109.4933.8453.610.34-
2023/518.564.4564.7992.2132.8252.260.35去年度受疫情影響
2023/417.7711.4855.1673.6526.6351.950.35去年度受疫情影響
2023/315.94-12.6420.0755.8919.6355.890.36-
2023/218.24-15.9411.8539.9519.4657.360.35-
2023/121.7124.6826.721.7126.754.490.37-
2022/1217.4113.22-5.45182.696.5150.010.48-
2022/1115.37-10.73-0.61165.297.9548.570.49-
2022/1017.227.865.13149.918.9151.750.46-
2022/915.97-13.9723.19132.699.4250.880.51-
2022/818.5613.4931.42116.727.7747.290.55-
2022/716.3632.1557.5598.164.2339.990.65疫情影響
2022/612.389.8941.681.8-2.3735.090.74-
2022/511.26-1.64-14.6769.43-7.4935.980.72-
2022/411.45-13.72-22.4958.16-5.9641.030.64-
2022/313.27-18.62-9.9646.71-0.7746.710.47-
2022/216.31-4.79-4.3833.443.451.850.42-
2022/117.13-6.9512.117.1312.151.010.43-
2021/1218.4119.0220.39171.5212.7650.260.37-
2021/1115.47-5.5615.14153.1111.944.810.41-
2021/1016.3826.3913.23137.6411.5543.470.43-
2021/912.96-8.22-1.9121.2611.3337.470.45-
2021/814.1236.05-18.9108.313.1633.240.51-
2021/710.3818.77-25.4394.1720.2932.320.52-
2021/68.74-33.78-28.2483.7930.1836.710.43-
2021/513.2-10.65-5.3775.0543.8242.710.37-
2021/414.770.2270.9261.8561.7746.570.34去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/314.74-13.5993.2247.0859.147.080.33去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/217.0611.63116.5932.3447.2447.630.33去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/115.28-0.078.4715.288.4744.010.35-
2020/1215.2913.8212.62152.11-6.2843.20.36-
2020/1113.44-7.1310.69136.82-8.0141.120.38-
2020/1014.479.4918.02123.38-9.6745.10.35-
2020/913.21-24.136.74108.91-12.444.550.32-
2020/817.4225.18.1795.7-14.5243.520.33-
2020/713.9214.32.3278.28-18.3340.050.35-
2020/612.18-12.68-10.364.36-21.7534.770.33-
2020/513.9561.39-3.9352.18-24.0130.220.38-
2020/48.6413.29-28.1738.23-29.424.150.48-
2020/37.63-3.14-43.1829.59-29.7529.590.43-
2020/27.88-44.08-46.8121.96-23.4635.540.36-
2020/114.093.741.4214.091.4239.80.32-
2019/1213.5811.87-7.4162.32-0.170.0N/A-
2019/1112.14-0.98-2.72148.740.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.322023/121.712022/117.132021/115.282020/114.09
2024/220.272023/218.242022/216.312021/217.062020/27.88
2024/317.592023/315.942022/313.272021/314.742020/37.63
2024/416.372023/417.772022/411.452021/414.772020/48.64
2024/519.032023/518.562022/511.262021/513.22020/513.95
2024/617.812023/617.282022/612.382021/68.742020/612.18
2024/718.262023/719.52022/716.362021/710.382020/713.92
2024/821.22023/821.02022/818.562021/814.122020/817.42
2024/917.832023/917.542022/915.972021/912.962020/913.21
2024/1017.282023/1018.02022/1017.222021/1016.382020/1014.47
N/AN/A2023/1116.772022/1115.372021/1115.472020/1113.44
N/AN/A2023/1219.952022/1217.412021/1218.412020/1215.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 342.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)28.91-0.76-3.99
24Q2 (19)29.13-2.61-3.29
24Q1 (18)29.91-3.42-5.77
23Q4 (17)30.972.86-5.69
23Q3 (16)30.11-0.030.23
23Q2 (15)30.12-5.10.4
23Q1 (14)31.74-3.355.31
22Q4 (13)32.849.327.32
22Q3 (12)30.040.1312.09
22Q2 (11)30.0-0.4614.24
22Q1 (10)30.14-1.516.73
21Q4 (9)30.614.1819.16
21Q3 (8)26.82.0610.84
21Q2 (7)26.261.711.7
21Q1 (6)25.820.557.72
20Q4 (5)25.686.24.86
20Q3 (4)24.182.850.0
20Q2 (3)23.51-1.920.0
20Q1 (2)23.97-2.120.0
19Q4 (1)24.490.00.0

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