玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)360.00.00.5816.0-77.611.0653.62-58.596.499.81-9.9916.32-3.9414.379.73-17.61-31.532.70-33.82-62.711.2920.56-80.210.44-36.23-57.280.2116.67-77.421.67-54.5-77.221.2920.56-80.21-7.14-37.37-16.18
24Q2 (19)360.00.00.50-90.74-80.770.69-85.98-73.865.919.4427.6516.99-10.3450.0911.81-37.28-20.524.08-65.54-51.831.07-89.57-87.090.69-69.2-28.120.18-90.77-80.853.67-71.33-56.051.07-89.57-87.090.1114.84-8.75
24Q1 (18)360.00.05.40120.41167.334.9268.49149.755.40-44.1167.3318.9510.56155.7418.8331.3112.2811.8448.3728.8410.2699.614.372.2463.5229.411.95121.59167.1212.8083.3834.610.2699.614.3715.3457.5041.27
23Q4 (17)360.012.52.45-5.411850.02.9214.061268.09.6633.98585.4317.1420.11442.4114.340.91-19.937.9810.22592.595.14-21.17447.31.3733.012840.00.88-5.381860.06.98-4.773134.785.14-21.17447.323.09-2.905.52
23Q3 (16)360.012.52.59-0.38639.582.56-3.03681.827.2155.72485.5614.2726.061140.8714.21-4.37-39.277.24-14.52153.476.52-21.35148.661.037.29743.750.93-1.06720.07.33-12.22158.556.52-21.35148.6639.4114.1715.49
23Q2 (15)360.012.52.6028.71461.112.6434.01571.434.63129.21433.0911.3252.771668.7514.86-11.39-34.658.47-7.83126.598.29-15.67123.010.9641.18580.00.9428.77508.78.35-12.2122.458.29-15.67123.0193.63785.78461.00
23Q1 (14)3612.512.52.021542.86401.491.97888.0439.662.02201.51401.497.41134.491040.016.77-6.37-20.829.19667.28127.679.83764.19129.810.681460.0409.090.731560.0447.629.514234.78128.859.83764.19129.81154.63806.84465.59
22Q4 (13)320.00.0-0.1470.8357.58-0.2543.1835.9-1.99-6.42-21.343.16174.78426.6717.91-23.46-40.52-1.6288.0493.05-1.4888.9691.69-0.0568.7564.29-0.0566.6754.55-0.2398.1698.72-1.4888.9691.69127.2352.0832.30
22Q3 (12)320.00.0-0.4833.3315.79-0.4421.4341.33-1.87-34.53-42.751.1579.69721.4323.402.95.12-13.5457.593.02-13.4062.8189.69-0.1620.040.74-0.1534.7816.67-12.5266.3490.46-13.4062.8189.6939.0712.9312.44
22Q2 (11)320.00.0-0.72-7.46-188.0-0.563.45-5.66-1.39-107.46-90.410.64-1.54-8.5722.747.372.66-31.864.07-18.84-36.03-9.28-211.95-0.29.09-5.26-0.23-9.52-187.5-37.19-12.83-221.99-36.03-9.28-211.953.40-55.24-22.63
22Q1 (10)320.00.0-0.67-103.03-39.58-0.58-48.7228.4-0.6759.15-39.580.658.3312.0721.18-29.660.86-33.21-42.5335.74-32.97-85.02-24.89-0.22-57.1426.67-0.21-90.91-40.0-32.96-83.42-16.76-32.97-85.02-24.89168.45-30.46-0.36
21Q4 (9)320.03.23-0.3342.11-206.45-0.3948.0-218.18-1.64-25.19-31.20.6328.57-58.3330.1135.27-18.53-23.3087.98-298.3-17.8286.29-365.97-0.1448.15-182.35-0.1138.89-210.0-17.9786.31-273.12-17.8286.29-365.97124.28-42.953.25
21Q3 (8)320.00.0-0.57-128.046.73-0.75-41.5135.9-1.31-79.4516.560.14-80.0-85.8622.260.582.76-193.85-623.05-376.29-129.98-1025.37-274.8-0.27-42.1132.5-0.18-125.047.06-131.29-1036.71-306.72-129.98-1025.37-274.8-29.66-40.04-3.47
21Q2 (7)320.00.0-0.2547.92-78.57-0.5334.5759.54-0.73-52.08-52.080.720.69204.3522.155.48-55.58-26.8148.1287.93-11.5556.2540.74-0.1936.6762.75-0.0846.67-60.0-11.5559.0971.66-11.5556.2540.74-19.52-103.46-155.44
21Q1 (6)323.2310.34-0.48-254.84-41.18-0.81-345.45-107.69-0.4861.6-41.180.58-59.72-92.0421.00-43.18106.49-51.68-539.83-2249.09-26.40-494.03-1841.18-0.3-276.47-87.5-0.15-250.0-50.0-28.23-371.97-1560.59-26.40-494.03-1841.18-7.13-62.94-108.62
20Q4 (5)31-3.1210.710.31128.9763.160.33128.21450.0-1.2520.38-161.271.4445.45-88.5236.96203.45353.511.75128.873257.146.70119.321495.240.17142.5325.00.1129.41100.010.38132.161753.576.70119.321495.24--0.00
20Q3 (4)320.00.0-1.07-664.290.0-1.1710.690.0-1.57-227.080.00.99330.430.012.18-75.570.0-40.7081.680.0-34.68-77.940.0-0.421.570.0-0.34-580.00.0-32.2820.790.0-34.68-77.940.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)3210.340.0-0.1458.820.0-1.31-235.90.0-0.48-41.180.00.23-96.840.049.86390.270.0-222.18-9999.090.0-19.49-1333.090.0-0.51-218.750.0-0.0550.00.0-40.75-2297.060.0-19.49-1333.090.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)293.570.0-0.34-278.950.0-0.39-750.00.0-0.34-116.670.07.29-41.870.010.1724.790.0-2.20-728.570.0-1.36-423.810.0-0.16-500.00.0-0.1-300.00.0-1.70-403.570.0-1.36-423.810.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)280.00.00.190.00.00.060.00.02.040.00.012.540.00.08.150.00.00.350.00.00.420.00.00.040.00.00.050.00.00.560.00.00.420.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.7315.44-23.458.043.7315.96N/A-
2024/94.96-5.82-6.6552.2756.8516.320.0旅遊人數增加
2024/85.27-13.410.4547.368.9116.760.0旅遊人數增加
2024/76.0912.6636.042.0380.9217.070.0旅遊人數增加
2024/65.4-3.2323.2335.9591.6316.660.0旅遊人數增加
2024/55.58-1.7258.3430.54112.4819.120.0旅遊人數增加
2024/45.68-27.770.9224.96130.0320.40.0海外旅遊人數增加
2024/37.8614.56180.0319.28156.1219.270.0疫後出境旅遊需求強勁,且本月推出多項賞櫻產品組合等,致業績大幅提升。
2024/26.8650.58218.3711.41141.6515.680.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,本月因春節連續假期業績大幅提升。
2024/14.556.7677.34.5577.314.270.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,本月份因春節連續假期所以業績大幅提升。
2023/124.27-21.75177.250.19787.2117.20.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,山富採取全面佈局策略,十一月及十二月份旅展對公司營運有加分效果。
2023/115.45-27.11514.7945.931015.3418.250.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,山富採取全面佈局策略,十一月份旅展對公司營運有加分效果。
2023/107.4840.68896.2240.351148.5517.570.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,而山富採取全面佈局策略,隨著大環境對旅遊市場樂觀,十月份業績大幅提升主因為高雄郵輪營收。
2023/95.3211.431296.7333.321243.2114.560.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,而山富採取全面佈局策略,隨著大環境對旅遊市場樂觀,加上國人經濟能力好,對全年營運表現樂觀看待。
2023/84.776.62806.8528.01233.4813.630.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,而山富採取全面佈局策略,隨著大環境對旅遊市場樂觀,加上國人經濟能力好,對全年營運表現樂觀看待。
2023/74.472.081541.6723.231376.0912.380.0疫後國人以出境旅遊為主,而山富採取全面佈局策略,隨著大環境對旅遊市場樂觀,加上國人經濟能力好,對全年營運表現樂觀看待。
2023/64.3824.321960.4318.761341.4111.230.0國民對正常生活期待加上政府解除組團禁令,旅遊需求大幅提升,團體旅遊營收成長。
2023/53.536.081328.814.371220.459.650.0今年擺脫疫情影響,主要是直航歐洲及日韓東南亞航點受客戶支持,團體行程及獎勵旅遊招待團及國內旅遊持續昌旺
2023/43.3218.441650.1310.851188.978.280.0主要是長程線直航歐洲及日韓東南亞航點受穩固的前期客戶支持,系列的團體行程及獎勵旅遊招待團及國內旅遊持續昌旺
2023/32.8130.241440.257.531053.467.530.0長程線直航歐洲及日韓東南亞航點受穩固的前期客戶支持,系列的團體行程及獎勵旅遊招待團及國內旅遊持續昌旺,故營業額大幅成長
2023/22.15-16.13637.754.72903.746.260.0去年因疫情影響致營收偏低,今年民眾消費信心恢復,團體旅遊業績大幅成長,未來營收可期
2023/12.5766.911338.762.571338.764.990.0相較於去年受疫情影響致營收偏低,本年因國民對正常生活期待加上政府解除組團禁令,旅遊需求大幅提升,團體旅遊營收成長。
2022/121.5473.521018.545.66179.923.180.0去年因新冠肺炎疫情嚴重營收淨額低, 今年政府解除出入境管制促進國人觀光需求,回應於團體旅遊業績的復甦
2022/110.8918.1270.334.12118.662.020.0相較於去年受疫情影響致營收偏低,本年因國民對正常生活期待,旅遊需求大幅提升,加上政府解除組團禁令,團體旅遊營收成長。
2022/100.7597.24236.773.2396.571.660.0去年因疫情影響致觀光產業營收偏低,本年因國民對正常生活期待,政府解除組團禁令,團體旅遊營收成長。
2022/90.38-27.64290.872.4874.571.180.0去年因疫情影響致營收偏低,本年因國民對正常生活期待,團體旅遊業績微幅成長,期待國境開放,正常入出境,營收可期
2022/80.5393.021288.172.158.651.010.0去年因新冠肺炎疫情嚴重營收淨額低,本年因國民對正常生活期待,回應於團體旅遊業績的復甦
2022/70.2728.124707.231.5722.410.730.0去年因新冠肺炎疫情嚴重營收淨額低
2022/60.21-13.7860.061.31.660.650.0去年基期營業額太底, 本年預期疫情解封
2022/50.2529.9422.711.09-5.10.620.0-
2022/40.194.24-47.480.84-11.010.660.0-
2022/30.18-37.617.30.6511.660.650.0-
2022/20.2963.5443.320.4713.440.610.0因新冠肺炎疫情持續影響,致本年度營收較疫情前下降。
2022/10.1829.76-15.40.18-15.40.560.0因新冠肺炎疫情持續影響,致本年度營收較疫情前下降。
2021/120.14-42.54-74.262.02-79.680.60.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響,致本年度營收下降。
2021/110.247.4-54.471.88-79.990.560.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響,致本年度營收下降。
2021/100.22128.93-41.041.64-81.50.360.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響,致本年度營收下降。
2021/90.1156.96-72.271.42-83.290.140.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響,致本年度營收下降。
2021/80.04568.43-89.371.32-83.770.180.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響,致本年度營收下降。
2021/70.01-95.73-97.981.29-83.510.340.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/60.13-33.912.271.28-82.970.70.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/50.2-44.395108.81.15-84.490.730.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/40.36113.0231.660.95-87.20.740.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響團體旅遊
2021/30.17-16.67-61.950.58-91.980.580.0因新冠肺炎疫情影響團體旅遊
2021/20.2-3.46-93.250.41-93.930.950.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2021/10.21-60.51-94.470.21-94.471.270.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/120.531.61-83.519.95-80.721.440.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/110.5339.09-89.119.41-80.531.260.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/100.387.67-91.538.89-79.581.090.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/90.35-1.48-92.458.51-78.210.990.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/80.3626.6-90.578.16-76.290.760.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/70.28137.91-94.017.8-74.520.40.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/60.122966.58-97.117.52-70.980.230.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響暫停國外團體旅遊出團
2020/50.0-96.45-99.917.4-66.060.560.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響團體旅遊
2020/40.11-75.56-97.577.4-56.853.580.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響團體旅遊
2020/30.45-85.22-89.777.29-42.397.290.0因新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情影響團體旅遊
2020/23.02-20.97-39.116.84-17.4710.080.0-
2020/13.8217.8914.743.8214.7411.90.0-
2019/123.24-32.925.7951.6-0.280.0N/A-
2019/114.838.2116.4548.36-0.660.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)3612.59.64010.08050.14796.9614.78-25.998.0606.9404.0403.8903.480
2022 (9)320.0-1.990-1.8305.59176.7319.97-17.45-11.180-11.520-0.630-0.60-0.640
2021 (8)323.23-1.640-2.4402.02-79.724.1959.46-44.600-25.960-0.90-0.540-0.520
2020 (7)3110.71-1.250-2.5309.95-80.7215.1785.23-9.120-3.930-0.910-0.390-0.390
2019 (6)280.02.0378.071.11051.6-0.588.1915.191.071237.51.1179.030.551275.00.7373.810.5778.12
2018 (5)280.01.14-48.65-0.17051.92.257.11-20.20.08-94.240.62-49.590.04-94.290.42-48.150.32-49.21
2017 (4)280.02.2201.44050.76-4.788.9168.751.3901.2300.700.8100.630
2016 (3)280.0-2.680-1.89053.319.765.28-44.83-1.600-1.360-0.850-0.890-0.720
2015 (2)2821.743.9535.743.06268.6748.57-4.589.5722.072.09148.812.2976.151.01134.881.0229.111.1168.18
2014 (1)2327.782.915.820.83-17.050.98.997.8400.8401.3000.43-23.210.799.720.6626.92

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