玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1126.16-6.5-2.73332.172.6684.99N/A-
2024/1027.98-9.316.59306.013.1586.71N/A-
2024/930.8510.68-4.93278.032.8189.310.64-
2024/827.88-8.84-5.47247.173.8793.310.61-
2024/730.58-12.282.58219.35.1998.50.58-
2024/634.865.433.03188.725.6396.090.61-
2024/533.0617.48.67153.866.2393.130.63-
2024/428.16-11.722.84120.85.5986.160.68-
2024/331.922.26-2.5992.636.4592.630.66-
2024/226.1-24.6517.560.7311.9191.910.67-
2024/134.6311.068.0434.638.0492.710.66-
2023/1231.1815.95-8.14354.74-5.1784.330.73-
2023/1126.892.454.84323.55-4.8885.60.72-
2023/1026.25-19.1212.0296.66-5.6788.20.7-
2023/932.4610.06-0.26270.41-7.0991.750.69-
2023/829.49-1.06-0.95237.96-7.9593.130.68-
2023/729.81-11.891.15208.47-8.8794.070.67-
2023/633.8311.2-9.55178.66-10.3591.640.75-
2023/530.4211.1-12.57144.82-10.5390.560.76-
2023/427.38-16.39-6.56114.4-9.9782.340.84-
2023/332.7547.481.4387.02-10.9987.020.86-
2023/222.21-30.72-21.7454.26-17.1288.210.85-
2023/132.06-5.57-13.5932.06-13.5991.660.81-
2022/1233.9532.36-16.07374.11-14.583.030.94-
2022/1125.659.45-27.82340.16-14.3481.630.96-
2022/1023.43-27.98-35.51314.51-13.0185.750.91-
2022/932.549.3-5.53291.07-10.591.780.89-
2022/829.771.03-18.89258.53-11.0996.650.84-
2022/729.47-21.22-18.52228.76-9.96101.680.8-
2022/637.417.493.24199.29-8.54101.520.85-
2022/534.818.7411.18161.88-10.8996.40.89-
2022/429.31-9.23-15.32127.08-15.4989.980.96-
2022/332.2913.78-20.6897.77-15.5497.770.93-
2022/228.38-23.5-21.5965.48-12.76105.930.86-
2022/137.1-8.28-4.5337.1-4.53113.090.8-
2021/1240.4513.82-7.29437.574.67112.330.72-
2021/1135.54-2.211.69397.126.07106.330.76-
2021/1036.345.494.97361.585.55107.50.75-
2021/934.45-6.14-11.7325.245.61107.320.78-
2021/836.711.494.71290.798.13109.110.77-
2021/736.17-0.185.76254.088.64103.70.8-
2021/636.2315.75-6.43217.929.13102.150.73-
2021/531.3-9.57-14.25181.6812.88106.630.7-
2021/434.62-14.965.26150.3820.84111.520.67-
2021/340.7112.4619.67115.7726.43115.770.58-
2021/236.2-6.8545.1875.0630.43118.690.56-
2021/138.86-10.9419.1638.8619.16114.320.59-
2020/1243.6437.1427.59418.019.82110.070.56-
2020/1131.82-8.0820.0374.388.07105.450.59-
2020/1034.62-11.2715.57342.567.08108.690.57-
2020/939.0211.323.87307.946.2108.270.55-
2020/835.052.57.78268.924.05107.980.55-
2020/734.2-11.691.2233.873.51109.430.55-
2020/638.736.0723.67199.673.92108.120.53-
2020/536.5111.0212.46160.950.07103.410.56-
2020/432.88-3.3211.17124.44-3.0591.830.63-
2020/334.0236.4312.7691.56-7.3191.560.66-
2020/224.93-23.55-12.1857.54-16.1491.740.66-
2020/132.61-4.63-18.9432.61-18.940.0N/A-
2019/1234.228.981.4380.61-4.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/134.632023/132.062022/137.12021/138.862020/132.61
2024/226.12023/222.212022/228.382021/236.22020/224.93
2024/331.92023/332.752022/332.292021/340.712020/334.02
2024/428.162023/427.382022/429.312021/434.622020/432.88
2024/533.062023/530.422022/534.82021/531.32020/536.51
2024/634.862023/633.832022/637.412021/636.232020/638.73
2024/730.582023/729.812022/729.472021/736.172020/734.2
2024/827.882023/829.492022/829.772021/836.712020/835.05
2024/930.852023/932.462022/932.542021/934.452020/939.02
2024/1027.982023/1026.252022/1023.432021/1036.342020/1034.62
2024/1126.162023/1126.892022/1125.652021/1135.542020/1131.82
N/AN/A2023/1231.182022/1233.952021/1240.452020/1243.64
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.16%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)6.2-13.4113.97
24Q2 (19)7.1631.3817.96
24Q1 (18)5.45-6.68-9.02
23Q4 (17)5.847.35-26.73
23Q3 (16)5.44-10.38-36.74
23Q2 (15)6.071.34-29.01
23Q1 (14)5.99-24.84-30.67
22Q4 (13)7.97-7.331.53
22Q3 (12)8.60.5820.96
22Q2 (11)8.55-1.0417.77
22Q1 (10)8.6410.0617.87
21Q4 (9)7.8510.4111.03
21Q3 (8)7.11-2.079.89
21Q2 (7)7.26-0.95-10.26
21Q1 (6)7.333.6814.53
20Q4 (5)7.079.2715.33
20Q3 (4)6.47-20.020.0
20Q2 (3)8.0926.410.0
20Q1 (2)6.44.40.0
19Q4 (1)6.130.00.0

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