玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11283.75-0.855.593087.886.69857.17N/A-
2024/10286.21-0.346.222804.146.81869.05N/A-
2024/9287.21-2.845.92517.936.87878.810.24-
2024/8295.63-0.117.462230.727.0869.890.24-
2024/7295.976.356.071935.096.93856.160.25-
2024/6278.29-1.286.311639.127.08828.410.25-
2024/5281.915.16.261360.837.24822.740.25-
2024/4268.22-1.617.791078.937.51800.00.25-
2024/3272.625.195.95810.717.41810.710.26-
2024/2259.16-7.0812.03538.098.16813.390.26-
2024/1278.931.314.8278.934.8822.930.26-
2023/12275.32.455.93169.359.19813.430.29-
2023/11268.7-0.268.272894.059.52809.330.29-
2023/10269.43-0.658.692625.359.64815.730.29-
2023/9271.2-1.419.992355.929.75825.310.25-
2023/8275.1-1.47.242084.729.72815.880.25-
2023/7279.016.599.251809.6210.11806.060.25-
2023/6261.76-1.329.291530.6110.27775.860.25-
2023/5265.296.6211.591268.8410.48771.390.25-
2023/4248.81-3.296.611003.5610.19737.420.26-
2023/3257.2811.2210.85754.7411.42754.740.27-
2023/2231.32-13.0811.03497.4611.71757.40.27-
2023/1266.142.3812.31266.1412.31774.240.26-
2022/12259.954.7510.792902.4210.47755.970.29-
2022/11248.160.1110.062642.4710.44742.590.29-
2022/10247.870.539.542394.3210.48750.960.29-
2022/9246.56-3.8812.542146.4510.58758.470.23-
2022/8256.530.4418.871899.8810.34751.410.23-
2022/7255.386.6216.31643.369.11732.610.24-
2022/6239.50.7417.851387.987.89710.610.23-
2022/5237.731.867.651148.486.02703.20.23-
2022/4233.380.5510.14910.755.6673.80.24-
2022/3232.0911.44.84677.374.12677.370.25-
2022/2208.33-12.070.52445.283.75679.910.25-
2022/1236.950.986.76236.956.76697.030.24-
2021/12234.634.063.122627.271.65686.360.27-
2021/11225.46-0.353.952392.641.5670.810.27-
2021/10226.273.284.42167.181.26661.140.28-
2021/9219.081.52-0.891940.910.9654.440.23-
2021/8215.79-1.72-4.671721.831.14638.580.24-
2021/7219.578.05-4.781506.042.03643.620.24-
2021/6203.21-7.97-6.261286.473.29635.930.24-
2021/5220.834.215.791083.255.31654.070.23-
2021/4211.89-4.2711.88862.425.18640.490.23-
2021/3221.356.817.72650.533.17650.530.24-
2021/2207.24-6.624.67429.180.97656.690.23-
2021/1221.94-2.44-2.24221.94-2.24666.320.23-
2020/12227.514.92.312584.560.99661.10.25-
2020/11216.870.074.412357.050.87654.660.25-
2020/10216.72-1.96-0.452140.180.52664.150.25-
2020/9221.06-2.342.621923.460.64678.040.22-
2020/8226.37-1.832.141702.40.38673.780.22-
2020/7230.616.363.011476.030.12656.140.22-
2020/6216.83.860.491245.42-0.39614.930.22-
2020/5208.7410.21-3.751028.62-0.57603.60.23-
2020/4189.39-7.82-8.44819.890.26592.840.23-
2020/3205.473.78-0.77630.53.21630.50.23-
2020/2197.98-12.81.76425.025.26647.380.22-
2020/1227.052.18.51227.058.510.0N/A-
2019/12222.367.053.882558.994.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1278.932023/1266.142022/1236.952021/1221.942020/1227.05
2024/2259.162023/2231.322022/2208.332021/2207.242020/2197.98
2024/3272.622023/3257.282022/3232.092021/3221.352020/3205.47
2024/4268.222023/4248.812022/4233.382021/4211.892020/4189.39
2024/5281.912023/5265.292022/5237.732021/5220.832020/5208.74
2024/6278.292023/6261.762022/6239.52021/6203.212020/6216.8
2024/7295.972023/7279.012022/7255.382021/7219.572020/7230.61
2024/8295.632023/8275.12022/8256.532021/8215.792020/8226.37
2024/9287.212023/9271.22022/9246.562021/9219.082020/9221.06
2024/10286.212023/10269.432022/10247.872021/10226.272020/10216.72
2024/11283.752023/11268.72022/11248.162021/11225.462020/11216.87
N/AN/A2023/12275.32022/12259.952021/12234.632020/12227.51
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 113.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)118.256.328.98
24Q2 (19)111.222.145.92
24Q1 (18)108.891.726.2
23Q4 (17)107.05-1.355.46
23Q3 (16)108.513.346.96
23Q2 (15)105.02.415.99
23Q1 (14)102.531.05.33
22Q4 (13)101.510.063.42
22Q3 (12)101.452.47.96
22Q2 (11)99.071.786.56
22Q1 (10)97.34-0.8310.95
21Q4 (9)98.154.4519.71
21Q3 (8)93.971.0818.29
21Q2 (7)92.975.9738.95
21Q1 (6)87.737.041.89
20Q4 (5)81.993.2134.54
20Q3 (4)79.4418.730.0
20Q2 (3)66.918.220.0
20Q1 (2)61.831.460.0
19Q4 (1)60.940.00.0

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