玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.856.32-8.0255.264.517.16N/A-
2024/95.5-5.05-16.1549.416.2216.580.76-
2024/85.89.926.4343.919.8916.970.75-
2024/75.27-10.58-2.0638.1110.4416.650.76-
2024/65.97.7810.2532.8312.7516.640.79-
2024/55.473.920.5126.9413.3216.310.8-
2024/45.27-5.3810.5721.4611.6215.930.82-
2024/35.579.314.7516.211.9616.20.8-
2024/25.09-8.019.6210.6310.5517.690.73-
2024/15.54-21.553.345.543.3419.090.68-
2023/127.068.6217.2866.4318.9519.920.64-
2023/116.52.0923.2759.3819.1519.430.66-
2023/106.36-3.0718.852.8818.6718.380.69-
2023/96.5720.5135.8846.5218.6517.40.68-
2023/85.451.1412.6439.9516.2216.180.74-
2023/75.390.6616.8934.5116.8115.280.78-
2023/65.3517.8115.3429.1216.814.650.82-
2023/54.54-4.6612.0923.7717.1314.160.85-
2023/44.76-1.8127.8719.2318.3913.870.87-
2023/34.8513.9319.5514.4715.5614.470.78-
2023/24.26-20.517.19.6113.6515.630.73-
2023/15.36-10.9619.455.3619.4516.640.68-
2022/126.0214.169.7155.8519.3116.640.69-
2022/115.27-1.619.8949.8320.5915.460.74-
2022/105.3610.8622.5244.5620.6715.020.76-
2022/94.83-0.0939.6439.2120.4214.270.76-
2022/84.844.9530.6434.3718.1414.080.77-
2022/74.61-0.6748.1929.5416.3113.30.81-
2022/64.6414.538.7724.9311.8712.410.82-
2022/54.058.7523.8520.297.1211.830.86-
2022/43.72-8.2-8.9116.243.6311.760.87-
2022/34.062.075.2512.528.0612.520.78-
2022/23.98-11.353.458.469.4513.940.7-
2022/14.48-18.2315.394.4815.3914.360.68-
2021/125.4824.7623.8546.812.9914.250.66-
2021/114.40.5511.1841.320.7312.230.77-
2021/104.3726.359.736.93-0.3711.530.81-
2021/93.46-6.53-11.3232.56-1.5810.270.7-
2021/83.719.05-3.9229.1-0.2810.150.71-
2021/73.11-6.98-12.5125.390.269.720.74-
2021/63.342.19-6.9522.292.3510.70.66-
2021/53.27-20.01-7.7518.944.1911.210.63-
2021/44.096.0827.4315.677.0811.790.6-
2021/33.850.3218.611.581.3611.580.57-
2021/23.84-1.1213.267.73-5.4812.160.55-
2021/13.89-12.23-18.773.89-18.7712.270.54-
2020/124.4312.0-21.5345.45-14.6312.370.52-
2020/113.95-0.79-12.9241.02-13.8111.840.54-
2020/103.982.14-14.0637.07-13.911.740.55-
2020/93.91.25-6.2133.08-13.8811.310.56-
2020/83.858.41-13.429.18-14.8111.00.57-
2020/73.55-1.06-17.8425.33-15.0310.690.59-
2020/63.591.3-17.4921.77-14.5510.350.58-
2020/53.5510.49-15.7218.18-13.9410.00.6-
2020/43.21-1.26-19.7814.64-13.59.850.61-
2020/33.25-4.19-22.7611.43-11.5611.430.5-
2020/23.39-29.09-22.648.18-6.1413.820.41-
2020/14.78-15.2210.574.7810.5714.970.38-
2019/125.6424.2820.5353.2418.20.0N/A-
2019/114.54-2.0815.9947.5917.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.542023/15.362022/14.482021/13.892020/14.78
2024/25.092023/24.262022/23.982021/23.842020/23.39
2024/35.572023/34.852022/34.062021/33.852020/33.25
2024/45.272023/44.762022/43.722021/44.092020/43.21
2024/55.472023/54.542022/54.052021/53.272020/53.55
2024/65.92023/65.352022/64.642021/63.342020/63.59
2024/75.272023/75.392022/74.612021/73.112020/73.55
2024/85.82023/85.452022/84.842021/83.72020/83.85
2024/95.52023/96.572022/94.832021/93.462020/93.9
2024/105.852023/106.362022/105.362021/104.372020/103.98
N/AN/A2023/116.52022/115.272021/114.42020/113.95
N/AN/A2023/127.062022/126.022021/125.482020/124.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 36.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.7257.820.28
24Q2 (19)1.09-8.4-22.14
24Q1 (18)1.190.08.18
23Q4 (17)1.19-16.781.71
23Q3 (16)1.432.145.93
23Q2 (15)1.427.2748.94
23Q1 (14)1.1-5.9866.67
22Q4 (13)1.17-13.3323.16
22Q3 (12)1.3543.62141.07
22Q2 (11)0.9442.4256.67
22Q1 (10)0.66-30.5313.79
21Q4 (9)0.9569.6463.79
21Q3 (8)0.56-6.67-1.75
21Q2 (7)0.63.4520.0
21Q1 (6)0.580.0-7.94
20Q4 (5)0.581.7526.09
20Q3 (4)0.5714.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.5-20.630.0
20Q1 (2)0.6336.960.0
19Q4 (1)0.460.00.0

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