玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/118.459.1931.2783.4739.6424.45N/A-
2024/107.74-6.2614.0975.0240.6524.0N/A-
2024/98.263.222.6767.2844.5126.630.31-
2024/88.0-22.8845.4759.0248.2127.510.3-
2024/710.3713.5789.1851.0248.6428.190.29本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求增加所致
2024/69.135.2396.6740.6540.9426.050.42本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求增加所致
2024/58.685.34102.731.5130.2422.80.48本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求增加所致
2024/48.2440.279.9822.8314.6617.130.64本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求增加所致
2024/35.8894.947.8814.59-4.8414.590.6-
2024/23.01-47.11-43.298.71-11.8513.580.64-
2024/15.717.2824.725.724.7217.00.51-
2023/124.86-24.49-40.1764.63-0.8718.080.43-
2023/116.44-5.09-28.8659.774.7219.950.39-
2023/106.780.7811.6753.3411.0419.010.41-
2023/96.7322.3716.6746.5510.9517.710.47-
2023/85.50.291.8439.8210.0415.630.54-
2023/75.4818.07-3.7734.3211.4814.410.58-
2023/64.648.46-13.4128.8414.9513.50.58-
2023/54.28-6.4628.7124.1922.6614.310.55-
2023/44.58-15.96-0.8919.9121.4315.340.51-
2023/35.452.4628.0515.3330.1915.330.58-
2023/25.3216.3281.659.8931.418.010.49本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求增加所致
2023/14.57-43.74-0.584.57-0.5821.740.41-
2022/128.12-10.2322.2965.223.4123.250.42-
2022/119.0549.048.6257.0823.5720.890.46-
2022/106.075.2832.3848.0319.7617.240.56-
2022/95.776.829.441.9618.1416.870.84-
2022/85.4-5.2315.136.1919.6616.460.86-
2022/75.76.2440.4530.7920.514.390.99-
2022/65.3661.2333.7425.0916.7313.310.88-
2022/53.33-27.97-10.4319.7212.8312.20.96-
2022/44.628.5845.4316.419.111.81.0-
2022/34.2545.350.6911.7811.2111.781.06-
2022/22.93-36.3344.477.5218.1914.170.88-
2022/14.6-30.795.924.65.9217.330.72-
2021/126.649.0923.9252.83-13.717.320.79-
2021/116.0932.7111.4846.19-17.3115.950.85-
2021/104.59-12.99-0.5940.1-20.4314.550.94-
2021/95.2712.394.4935.51-22.4314.021.01-
2021/84.6915.63-15.2630.24-25.7712.761.11-
2021/74.061.16-21.3825.55-27.4211.781.21-
2021/64.017.96-16.4821.49-28.4610.91.13-
2021/53.7116.94-29.8417.48-30.7411.121.11-
2021/43.18-24.82-49.9113.77-30.989.431.3-
2021/34.22108.55-35.4210.59-22.1510.591.0-
2021/22.03-53.32-27.666.37-9.8611.730.9-
2021/14.34-19.041.834.341.8315.160.7-
2020/125.36-1.85-24.2961.221.6515.440.63-
2020/115.4618.33-10.1755.865.115.120.64-
2020/104.62-8.53-3.4450.47.0815.20.64-
2020/95.05-8.86-0.6245.798.2715.740.63-
2020/85.547.2720.8340.749.4815.50.64-
2020/75.167.48-6.2135.27.8915.260.65-
2020/64.8-9.31.7730.0410.7516.440.56-
2020/55.29-16.5129.6925.2412.6418.180.51-
2020/46.34-3.0742.7419.958.8415.680.59-
2020/36.54133.6134.6913.6-1.9913.60.71-
2020/22.8-34.27-9.177.06-21.7414.140.69-
2020/14.26-39.81-28.274.26-28.270.0N/A-
2019/127.0816.4429.9360.23-2.50.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.72023/14.572022/14.62021/14.342020/14.26
2024/23.012023/25.322022/22.932021/22.032020/22.8
2024/35.882023/35.452022/34.252021/34.222020/36.54
2024/48.242023/44.582022/44.622021/43.182020/46.34
2024/58.682023/54.282022/53.332021/53.712020/55.29
2024/69.132023/64.642022/65.362021/64.012020/64.8
2024/710.372023/75.482022/75.72021/74.062020/75.16
2024/88.02023/85.52022/85.42021/84.692020/85.54
2024/98.262023/96.732022/95.772021/95.272020/95.05
2024/107.742023/106.782022/106.072021/104.592020/104.62
2024/118.452023/116.442022/119.052021/116.092020/115.46
N/AN/A2023/124.862022/128.122021/126.642020/125.36
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0814.2914.29
24Q2 (19)0.0740.0250.0
24Q1 (18)0.0566.6766.67
23Q4 (17)0.03-57.140.0
23Q3 (16)0.07250.00
23Q2 (15)0.02-33.33-33.33
23Q1 (14)0.030.0200.0
22Q4 (13)0.030200.0

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