玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.7975.56125.710.0000115.07-43.49-55.890.0000119.26-13.19-48.93-4.19-106.32-115.3
24Q2 (19)0.4573.0828.570.0000203.64-42.23-22.230.0000137.38-45.41-21.2466.26-34.32-24.22
24Q1 (18)0.26-55.93-62.320.0000352.53127.88165.880.0000251.6436.154.94100.89434.29438.33
23Q4 (17)0.5968.57-35.870.000-100.0154.70-40.756.960.000-100.0184.89-20.8266.03-30.18-210.23-137.64
23Q3 (16)0.350.02.940.000-100.0260.89-0.37-3.790.000-100.0233.5033.87129.7827.38-68.69-83.87
23Q2 (15)0.35-49.28-64.650.000-100.0261.8597.49183.570.000-100.0174.427.3959.5687.44393.23619.55
23Q1 (14)0.69-25.0-52.740.00-100.0-100.0132.5934.53112.380.00-100.0-100.0162.4145.8489.07-29.82-134.8-27.65
22Q4 (13)0.92170.59-4.17942.1758.641004.0298.56-63.664.240.10-33.33-90.65111.369.58-8.07-12.70-107.4850.24
22Q3 (12)0.34-65.66-67.62593.89-9.611342.53271.18193.68212.060.157.14-93.21101.62-7.04-28.87169.721108.44415.7
22Q2 (11)0.99-32.19-41.76657.01-26.12982.2192.3447.9172.920.1440.0-90.67109.3127.2510.7-16.8327.9561.62
22Q1 (10)1.4652.0813.18889.31942.081859.2662.43-33.97-11.510.10-90.65-95.085.90-29.09-23.87-23.368.4642.01
21Q4 (9)0.96-8.57-29.4185.34107.2977.7994.558.841.781.07-51.58-43.68121.14-15.233.12-25.5252.53-13.88
21Q3 (8)1.05-38.24-11.0241.17-32.195.6786.9062.7312.232.2147.33-5.56142.8644.6833.81-53.76-22.6-99.18
21Q2 (7)1.7031.7839.3460.7133.75314.9753.40-24.31-28.411.50-25.0-75.8898.74-12.499.07-43.85-8.86-351.13
21Q1 (6)1.29-5.1524.0445.39-5.44430.8870.555.79-19.292.005.26-81.2112.8323.9927.77-40.28-79.74-513.55
20Q4 (5)1.3615.25130.5148.0023.2364.6766.69-13.87-56.431.90-18.8-78.4391.00-14.768.38-22.4116.97-128.76
20Q3 (4)1.18-3.280.038.96166.30.077.433.810.02.34-62.380.0106.7617.930.0-26.99-177.670.0
20Q2 (3)1.2217.310.014.6371.110.074.59-14.670.06.22-41.540.090.532.510.0-9.72-199.790.0
20Q1 (2)1.0476.270.08.55-17.230.087.41-42.890.010.6420.770.088.315.180.09.74-87.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.590.00.010.330.00.0153.050.00.08.810.00.083.960.00.077.910.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)2.00-48.850.000182.1295.050.000193.9990.82-11.870
2022 (9)3.91-12.135222.611613.2993.3713.850.07-94.17101.66-7.51-8.220
2021 (8)4.452.77304.83419.3982.01-2.621.20-80.71109.919.95-26.700
2020 (7)4.3353.5558.69137.3284.22-34.976.22-57.8699.96-10.06-9.520
2019 (6)2.82-19.224.73-26.62129.5124.014.7636.29111.14-13.7433.130
2018 (5)3.49-10.9733.70-73.6104.4412.3110.83278.67128.852.41-13.590
2017 (4)3.92-21.13127.64-93.4392.9926.572.861405.26125.8251.19-29.960
2016 (3)4.9739.611942.51136.373.47-28.240.19-56.8283.22-12.4-9.560
2015 (2)3.56-10.78822.06-62.98102.3911.80.44175.095.007.957.83109.36
2014 (1)3.9999.52220.83091.58-49.870.16088.00-34.853.74-92.15

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