玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.853.73-8.4530.44-19.218.59N/A-
2024/92.75-8.1-17.4327.59-20.188.710.82-
2024/82.990.66-21.1224.84-20.479.030.79-
2024/72.97-3.41-27.1721.85-20.389.180.78-
2024/63.07-1.82-19.7718.89-19.29.390.75-
2024/53.13-1.6-26.2715.81-19.099.470.75-
2024/43.180.8-19.8512.68-17.099.240.76-
2024/33.168.74-21.669.5-16.129.50.79-
2024/22.9-15.49-20.996.34-13.069.450.79-
2024/13.4410.32-5.013.44-5.019.620.78-
2023/123.111.42-13.7843.87-6.529.30.89-
2023/113.07-1.36-25.8140.75-5.919.510.87-
2023/103.11-6.44-25.2137.68-3.8110.230.81-
2023/93.33-12.19-20.9734.57-1.2611.20.72-
2023/83.79-7.05-11.4831.241.4211.70.69-
2023/74.086.39-4.4727.453.5112.160.67-
2023/63.83-9.77-8.8623.375.0412.050.68-
2023/54.256.965.9919.548.2812.250.67-
2023/43.97-1.465.6215.298.9311.680.71-
2023/34.039.6718.4411.3210.1511.320.79-
2023/23.681.627.897.296.0410.90.82-
2023/13.620.13-9.633.62-9.6311.370.79-
2022/123.61-12.730.8446.9312.1711.910.88-
2022/114.14-0.568.5943.3113.2312.510.84-
2022/104.16-1.1414.5439.1813.7412.660.83-
2022/94.21-1.6523.9735.0113.6512.760.86-
2022/84.280.313.2430.812.3712.760.86-
2022/74.271.5113.3726.5212.2312.480.88-
2022/64.214.9316.422.2512.0211.971.04-
2022/54.016.5816.7618.0511.0411.171.12-
2022/43.7610.4911.5114.049.5110.041.24-
2022/33.418.42-4.3410.288.7910.281.13-
2022/22.87-28.215.916.8816.7310.461.11-
2022/14.011.7425.974.025.9711.41.02-
2021/123.58-6.0214.8641.8311.9311.030.96-
2021/113.814.8725.1638.2511.6710.840.97-
2021/103.637.030.934.4410.3510.810.98-
2021/93.4-10.168.9130.818.3410.940.92-
2021/83.780.4214.9127.418.2711.160.9-
2021/73.764.2114.4223.637.2810.810.93-
2021/63.615.25-3.6719.866.0310.420.88-
2021/53.431.79-13.4916.258.4610.360.88-
2021/43.37-5.2217.6112.8216.369.640.95-
2021/33.5631.1228.759.4515.929.450.89-
2021/22.71-14.6111.085.899.349.010.94-
2021/13.181.887.893.187.899.340.9-
2020/123.122.46.9237.37-9.018.940.97-
2020/113.059.68-15.6534.25-10.238.940.97-
2020/102.78-10.97-25.431.21-9.669.180.95-
2020/93.12-5.21-18.7628.43-7.769.70.89-
2020/83.290.0-21.5725.31-6.210.330.84-
2020/73.29-12.27-12.4122.02-3.3611.010.79-
2020/63.75-5.46-4.3918.73-1.5810.580.79-
2020/53.9738.3927.6914.98-0.859.60.87-
2020/42.873.75-7.4111.02-8.248.071.04-
2020/32.7613.12-12.948.15-8.538.150.97-
2020/22.44-17.063.025.39-6.098.30.95-
2020/12.940.97-12.512.94-12.519.470.84-
2019/122.92-19.2226.3441.0845.720.0N/A-
2019/113.61-2.9866.1138.1647.450.0N/A因新產品出貨數量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.442023/13.622022/14.02021/13.182020/12.94
2024/22.92023/23.682022/22.872021/22.712020/22.44
2024/33.162023/34.032022/33.42021/33.562020/32.76
2024/43.182023/43.972022/43.762021/43.372020/42.87
2024/53.132023/54.252022/54.012021/53.432020/53.97
2024/63.072023/63.832022/64.212021/63.612020/63.75
2024/72.972023/74.082022/74.272021/73.762020/73.29
2024/82.992023/83.792022/84.282021/83.782020/83.29
2024/92.752023/93.332022/94.212021/93.42020/93.12
2024/102.852023/103.112022/104.162021/103.632020/102.78
N/AN/A2023/113.072022/114.142021/113.812020/113.05
N/AN/A2023/123.112022/123.612021/123.582020/123.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.5718.75-19.72
24Q2 (19)0.48-7.69-40.74
24Q1 (18)0.52-7.14-17.46
23Q4 (17)0.56-21.130.0
23Q3 (16)0.71-12.359.23
23Q2 (15)0.8128.57113.16
23Q1 (14)0.6312.565.79
22Q4 (13)0.56-13.8540.0
22Q3 (12)0.6571.0551.16
22Q2 (11)0.380.0-2.56
22Q1 (10)0.38-5.018.75
21Q4 (9)0.4-6.9821.21
21Q3 (8)0.4310.2630.3
21Q2 (7)0.3921.880
21Q1 (6)0.32-3.030
20Q4 (5)0.330.0153.85
20Q3 (4)0.3300.0

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